Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians80% K O 5.575% OUT O 17.566.7% HA O 4.5
Season
All Gavin Williams propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g40%Over: 4-6
2vs O 2.5+115
vs
Reds5/17
Reds5/17✗✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 25%(4)A: 100%(1)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(27%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Williams's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | — | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Cristopher Sanchez
5/22Pitchers with similar repertoires to Williams have an ERA of 5.10 against the Phillies over the last year.
★★★★★vs Brady Singer
5/17Current Reds hitters are batting .219 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Andrew Morris
5/10Twins hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Williams.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-6 Over10g · 10 props
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on earned runs 1.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 2-3 with an average actual of 2.
Is Gavin Williams over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Gavin Williams over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$208 (-20.8% ROI). The hit rate is 40% with an average actual of 2.
What is Gavin Williams's earned runs average this season?
Gavin Williams averages 2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.