Cleveland Guardians72.2% K O 5.558.8% HA O 4.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Gavin Williams propsProps — 202620 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
19g44.4%Over: 8-10-1
3vs O 2.5+126
vs
White Sox7/3
White Sox7/3✓✗✗✓P✓✓✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(6)A: 50%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
7(37%)
Total Matchups
19Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Williams's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 42.9%(3-4) | 20%(1-4) | 71.4%(5-2) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Anthony Kay
7/3Current White Sox hitters have struck out 26.4% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock
6/28Current Mariners hitters have struck out 23% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Anthony Kay
6/22Current White Sox hitters have struck out 26.8% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
12-11-2 Over19g · 25 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 3 | W | — |
| 7/3 | vsWhite Sox | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +126 |
| 6/28 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +114 |
| 6/28 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 6/22 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 6/22 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -176 |
| 6/17 | @ Brewers | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +120 |
| 6/14 | vs Tigers | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +110 |
| 6/14 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -167 |
| 6/8 | vs Yankees | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +120 |
| 6/8 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 6/3 | @Yankees | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 5/27 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -162 |
| 5/27 | vsNationals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +130 |
| 5/22 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 5/17 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 5/10 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -126 |
| 5/5 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 4/29 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -121 |
| 4/24 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +125 |
| 4/18 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -133 |
| 4/13 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +127 |
| 4/7 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -117 |
| 4/1 | @ Dodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -128 |
| 3/27 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on earned runs 2.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 6-7-1 with an average actual of 2.6.
Is Gavin Williams over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 19 games in 2026, betting $100 on Gavin Williams over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$127 (-6.68% ROI). The hit rate is 46.2% with an average actual of 2.6.
What is Gavin Williams's earned runs average this season?
Gavin Williams averages 2.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 19 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge