MLB · BvP LabToday, May 27
15 games·Savant xwOBA heatmap × every starter
HeatmapEury Pérez·MarlinsvsBlue Jayslineup
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
-5%
-1%
0%
—
—
HeatmapKevin Gausman·Blue JaysvsMarlinslineup
Wild card
Edwards is the matchup
Edwards posts .415 xwOBA on fastballs this season (313 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .322 on the same pitch type. Gausman's fastball: 53% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
-1%
—
+1%
HeatmapMiles Mikolas·NationalsvsGuardianslineup
Pitcher edge
Lineup soft on the SI
Martínez is the floor — .112 xwOBA against sinkers this year on 96 pitches faced. Mikolas's sinker: 24% usage.
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the CU
Lineup is +.029 xwOBA on curveballs vs league. Mikolas's curveball runs 14% of his mix — when it shows, it's the lineup's lane.
Wild card
Target Ramírez
Ramírez posts .440 xwOBA on fastballs this season (274 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .345 on the same pitch type. Mikolas's fastball: 25% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
-1%
-4%
+5%
+9%
+2%
HeatmapGavin Williams·GuardiansvsNationalslineup
Pitcher edge
CU is the lean
Lineup whiffs at 45% on curveballs this season. Wood is the cleanest target at .215 on 119 pitches faced. Williams's curveball: 22% usage.
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the ST
Lineup hard-hit rate on sweepers is 44% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. Williams throws his sweeper 27% of the time.
Wild card
Target Wood
Wood posts .492 xwOBA on fastballs this season (288 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .344 on the same pitch type. Williams's fastball: 27% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+3%
+8%
+7%
+6%
—
Home SP
Probable pitcher TBA
HeatmapDustin May·CardinalsvsBrewerslineup
Pitcher edge
Lineup soft on the ST
Lineup grades -.025 xwOBA on sweepers vs league. May's sweeper runs 19% of his arsenal.
Lineup edge
CU is the soft spot
Lineup hard-hit rate on curveballs is 58% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. May throws his curveball 7% of the time.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+2%
+2%
-8%
0%
+24%
HeatmapLogan Gilbert·MarinersvsAthleticslineup
Lineup edge
FF tilts hitter
Lineup hard-hit rate on fastballs is 46% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. Gilbert throws his fastball 32% of the time.
Wild card
Target Kurtz
Kurtz posts .443 xwOBA on fastballs this season (303 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .355 on the same pitch type. Gilbert's fastball: 32% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+9%
+3%
—
—
—
HeatmapJeffrey Springs·AthleticsvsMarinerslineup
Tonight's starter: SP LHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
-2%
0%
+4%
-1%
Oracle Park
HeatmapMichael Soroka·DiamondbacksvsGiantslineup
Pitcher edge
FF is the lean
Devers is the floor — .244 xwOBA against fastballs this year on 371 pitches faced. Soroka's fastball: 33% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
—
-7%
—
—
-5%
HeatmapTrevor McDonald·GiantsvsDiamondbackslineup
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the CH
Lineup grades +.013 xwOBA on changeups this year. Marte (.332) and Vargas (.328) lead it.
Wild card
Marte is the matchup
Marte posts .554 xwOBA on sinkers this season (107 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .361 on the same pitch type. McDonald's sinker: 60% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+2%
-1%
-1%
HeatmapCristopher Sánchez·PhilliesvsPadreslineup
Pitcher edge
Lineup soft on the SL
Lineup whiffs at 36% on sliders this season. Andujar is the cleanest target at .176 on 86 pitches faced. Sánchez's slider: 19% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP LHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
0%
+3%
-5%
HeatmapWalker Buehler·PadresvsPhillieslineup
Lineup edge
FC tilts hitter
Lineup hard-hit rate on cutters is 50% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. Buehler throws his cutter 24% of the time.
Wild card
Target Schwarber
Schwarber posts .580 xwOBA on sinkers this season (147 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .322 on the same pitch type. Buehler's sinker: 16% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+10%
-1%
0%
+13%
+7%
Home SP
Probable pitcher TBA
HeatmapSteven Matz·RaysvsOrioleslineup
Pitcher edge
Lineup soft on the SL
Lineup whiffs at 36% on sliders this season. Henderson is the cleanest target at .209 on 138 pitches faced. Matz's slider: 12% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP LHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+1%
+4%
-6%
+2%
HeatmapJameson Taillon·CubsvsPirateslineup
Lineup edge
FF tilts hitter
Lineup hard-hit rate on fastballs is 47% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. Taillon throws his fastball 29% of the time.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+2%
—
—
+4%
0%
HeatmapBubba Chandler·PiratesvsCubslineup
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the ST
Lineup grades +.023 xwOBA on sweepers this year. Bregman (.350) and Swanson (.347) lead it.
Wild card
Target Happ
Happ posts .487 xwOBA on sliders this season (102 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .272 on the same pitch type. Chandler's slider: 13% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+3%
+5%
-3%
+7%
HeatmapJosé Soriano·AngelsvsTigerslineup
Pitcher edge
CU tilts pitcher
Lineup grades -.030 xwOBA on curveballs vs league. Soriano's curveball runs 24% of his arsenal.
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the SL
Lineup hard-hit rate on sliders is 45% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. Soriano throws his slider 6% of the time.
Wild card
Target McGonigle
McGonigle posts .458 xwOBA on fastballs this season (255 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .332 on the same pitch type. Soriano's fastball: 24% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+3%
+3%
-3%
—
+8%
HeatmapCasey Mize·TigersvsAngelslineup
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the FF
Lineup hard-hit rate on fastballs is 47% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. Mize throws his fastball 34% of the time.
Wild card
Trout is the matchup
Trout posts .464 xwOBA on fastballs this season (442 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .342 on the same pitch type. Mize's fastball: 34% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+6%
—
-3%
+6%
HeatmapBryce Elder·BravesvsRed Soxlineup
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the SI
Lineup grades +.013 xwOBA on sinkers this year. Contreras (.533) and Duran (.457) lead it.
Wild card
Contreras sticks out
Contreras posts .533 xwOBA on sinkers this season (181 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .362 on the same pitch type. Elder's sinker: 24% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
-1%
-1%
+4%
—
-4%
HeatmapConnelly Early·Red SoxvsBraveslineup
Pitcher edge
Lineup soft on the CU
Lineup averages .239 xwOBA on curveballs this season (-.019 vs league). Olson (.202) and Albies (.276) are the softest spots.
Wild card
Olson is the matchup
Olson posts .458 xwOBA on fastballs this season (301 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .340 on the same pitch type. Early's fastball: 33% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP LHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
0%
-4%
-1%
+7%
+3%
HeatmapAndrew Abbott·RedsvsMetslineup
Lineup edge
CH tilts hitter
Lineup is +.013 xwOBA on changeups vs league. Abbott's changeup runs 19% of his mix — when it shows, it's the lineup's lane.
Wild card
Soto is the matchup
Soto posts .480 xwOBA on fastballs this season (151 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .351 on the same pitch type. Abbott's fastball: 47% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP LHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+4%
—
-1%
—
HeatmapHuascar Brazobán·MetsvsRedslineup
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the SI
Lineup grades +.018 xwOBA on sinkers this year. Stephenson (.625) and Stewart (.480) lead it.
Wild card
Target Stephenson
Stephenson posts .625 xwOBA on sinkers this season (88 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .368 on the same pitch type. Brazobán's sinker: 50% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+6%
-1%
HeatmapConnor Prielipp·TwinsvsWhite Soxlineup
Pitcher edge
SL tilts pitcher
Lineup whiffs at 37% on sliders this season. Acuña is the cleanest target at .126 on 85 pitches faced. Prielipp's slider: 35% usage.
Lineup edge
CU is the soft spot
Murakami carries the edge — .586 xwOBA on curveballs this season (93 pitches faced). Prielipp's curveball: 15% usage.
Wild card
Murakami is the matchup
Murakami posts .451 xwOBA on fastballs this season (279 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .346 on the same pitch type. Prielipp's fastball: 31% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP LHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
-6%
+6%
+2%
0%
+1%
HeatmapDavis Martin·White SoxvsTwinslineup
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the SL
Lineup grades +.014 xwOBA on sliders this year. Bell (.428) and Clemens (.360) lead it.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
-2%
-5%
-3%
+5%
—
HeatmapGerrit Cole·YankeesvsRoyalslineup
Pitcher has no qualifying Savant arsenal data yet — usually means the season just started or this is his first start.
HeatmapNoah Cameron·RoyalsvsYankeeslineup
Pitcher edge
Lineup soft on the FC
Lineup whiffs at 41% on cutters this season. Judge is the cleanest target at .290 on 87 pitches faced. Cameron's cutter: 19% usage.
Lineup edge
FF the lineup lane
Lineup hard-hit rate on fastballs is 49% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. Cameron throws his fastball 32% of the time.
Wild card
Bellinger sticks out
Bellinger whiffs at 19% on sliders this year vs 37% for the rest of the order. Cameron throws his slider 12% of the time.
Tonight's starter: SP LHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+5%
+8%
-9%
+1%
+1%
HeatmapMike Burrows·AstrosvsRangerslineup
Pitcher edge
CH is the lean
Lineup whiffs at 33% on changeups this season. Carter is the cleanest target at .158 on 123 pitches faced. Burrows's changeup: 28% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
-10%
+7%
0%
-2%
+2%
HeatmapJacob deGrom·RangersvsAstroslineup
Lineup edge
Bats wake on the FF
Lineup hard-hit rate on fastballs is 47% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. deGrom throws his fastball 44% of the time.
Wild card
Target Smith
Smith posts .422 xwOBA on sliders this season (127 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .284 on the same pitch type. deGrom's slider: 34% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+5%
+1%
+1%
-14%
HeatmapTomoyuki Sugano·RockiesvsDodgerslineup
Lineup edge
FF the lineup lane
Lineup hard-hit rate on fastballs is 51% this year — above the ~35% league baseline. Sugano throws his fastball 21% of the time.
Wild card
Freeman sticks out
Freeman posts .435 xwOBA on sliders this season (138 pitches faced). Rest of the order is at .308 on the same pitch type. Sugano's slider: 12% usage.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
+11%
—
+6%
+3%
—
HeatmapShohei Ohtani·DodgersvsRockieslineup
Pitcher edge
Lineup soft on the CU
Lineup grades -.020 xwOBA on curveballs vs league. Ohtani's curveball runs 11% of his arsenal.
Tonight's starter: SP RHP
Lineup
Lineup avg
-2%
+2%
—
+3%
Pitch-level data from Baseball Savant. The batter's xwOBA is against the pitch TYPE across all pitchers this season — not vs the specific starter — so combine with the column's usage % to read the matchup. Edge is shrunk to league baseline by pitches faced (empirical Bayes, k=200), then expressed as points above or below the league xwOBA on that pitch. Savant publishes per-batter performance only after a hitter has faced 121+ of a pitch type this season — empty cells reflect that floor.
Inside Edge