Kahlil Watson

Cleveland Guardians•2026

.239AVG1HR11RBI6R21H9SB27G

61.5% H O 0.546.2% HRR O 1.542.3% 1B O 0.5

Best Performer

Kahlil Watson goes over 0.5 hits 61.5% of the time (16-10-3)

Props — 202629 games with closing lines

Hits

29g

avg 0.7

61.5%Over: 16-10-3

0vs O 0.5-136

Twins7/22

P✓P✓✓✓P✓✓✗

H: 62.5%(16)A: 41.7%(12)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

29g

avg 1.3

46.2%Over: 12-14-3

0vs O 1.5+133

Twins7/22

P✓P✗✓✗P✓✓✗

H: 37.5%(16)A: 41.7%(12)

Home Runs

29g

avg 0

3.8%Over: 1-25-3

0vs O 0.5+610

Twins7/22

P✗P✗✗✗P✗✗✗

H: 0%(16)A: 8.3%(12)

RBIs

29g

avg 0.4

30.8%Over: 8-18-3

0vs O 0.5+230

Twins7/22

P✗P✗✓✗P✓✗✗

H: 18.8%(16)A: 33.3%(12)

Runs Scored

29g

avg 0.2

23.1%Over: 6-20-3

0vs O 0.5+165

Twins7/22

P✓P✗✗✗P✗✓✗

H: 18.8%(16)A: 25%(12)

Total Bases

29g

avg 1

38.5%Over: 10-16-3

0vs O 1.5+180

Twins7/22

P✓P✓✗✗P✓✓✗

H: 37.5%(16)A: 33.3%(12)

Doubles

29g

avg 0.2

23.1%Over: 6-20-3

0vs O 0.5+600

Twins7/22

P✓P✓✗✗P✗✓✗

H: 31.3%(16)A: 8.3%(12)

Singles

29g

avg 0.5

42.3%Over: 11-15-3

0vs O 0.5+156

Twins7/22

P✗P✗✓✓P✓✗✗

H: 37.5%(16)A: 33.3%(12)

Stolen Bases

29g

avg 0.3

26.9%Over: 7-19-3

0vs O 0.5+475

Twins7/22

P✗P✗✓✗P✓✗✗

H: 18.8%(16)A: 25%(12)

Walks

28g

avg 0.1

12%Over: 3-22-3

0vs O 0.5+271

Twins7/22

PP✗✗✗P✗✗✗✗

H: 6.7%(15)A: 16.7%(12)

Strikeouts

28g

avg 1.1

32%Over: 8-17-3

0vs O 1.5+265

Twins7/22

PP✓✗✓P✗✗✗✗

H: 26.7%(15)A: 33.3%(12)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.6★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Watson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	0%(0-4)	0%(0-4)
★★★★★	45.5%(5-6)	9.1%(1-10)	27.3%(3-8)
★★★★★	55.6%(5-4)	0%(0-9)	22.2%(2-7)
★★★★★	100%(4-0)	0%(0-4)	50%(2-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bailey Ober

7/22

Matchup data is limited but favors Watson.

★★★★★vs Kendry Rojas

7/21

Matchup data is limited but favors Rojas.

★★★★★vs Joe Ryan

7/20

Watson has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.8% in his last 34 AB's; League avg: 19%.

Game Log

Bet

169-811-110 Over1090 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/22	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-171
7/22	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+487
7/22	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+920
7/22	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	0	P	—
7/22	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+133
7/22	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+257
7/22	vsTwins	Walks	O 0.5	0	P	+271
7/22	vsTwins	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	+156
7/22	vsTwins	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-136
7/22	vsTwins	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+2400
7/22	vsTwins	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+436
7/22	vsTwins	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+610
7/22	vsTwins	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+7300
7/22	vsTwins	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+675
7/22	vsTwins	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+230
7/22	vsTwins	RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+1750
7/22	vsTwins	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	+1100
7/22	vsTwins	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	+165
7/22	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	P	-160
7/22	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 5.5	0	P	—
7/22	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	+334
7/22	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	P	+1120
7/22	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	P	+474
7/22	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+180
7/22	vsTwins	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+600
7/22	vsTwins	Singles	O 1.5	0	P	+1100
7/22	vsTwins	RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+3500
7/22	vsTwins	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	P	+265
7/22	vsTwins	Strikeouts	O 0.5	0	P	-232
7/22	vsTwins	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+475
7/22	vsTwins	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+3500
7/22	vsTwins	Doubles	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/22	vsTwins	Home Runs	O 2.5	0	P	—
7/22	vsTwins	Runs Scored	O 2.5	0	P	+4500
7/22	vsTwins	Hits	O 3.5	0	P	+5000
7/22	vsTwins	RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+5500
7/21	vsTwins	Doubles	O 0.5	1	W	+475
7/21	vsTwins	Hits	O 0.5	1	W	-135
7/21	vsTwins	Hits	O 1.5	1	L	+425
7/21	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	2	W	+135
7/21	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	2	W	-175
7/21	vsTwins	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+5500
7/21	vsTwins	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+775
7/21	vsTwins	RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+850
7/21	vsTwins	RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	+270
7/21	vsTwins	Runs Scored	O 1.5	1	L	+1050
7/21	vsTwins	Runs Scored	O 0.5	1	W	+165
7/21	vsTwins	Singles	O 0.5	0	L	+138
7/21	vsTwins	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	L	+520
7/21	vsTwins	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	L	+4000

Cleveland Guardians Teammates

View all

Jo Adell Brayan Rocchio Steven Kwan Chase DeLauter Travis Bazzana Patrick Bailey Kyle Manzardo Rhys Hoskins Nathaniel Lowe Daniel Schneemann Austin Hedges Gabriel Arias Petey Halpin David Fry Bo Naylor

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Kahlil Watson hit the over on hits 0.5?

Kahlil Watson hits the over on hits 0.5 61.5% of the time in 2026, going 16-10-3 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$98.

How often does Kahlil Watson hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5?

Kahlil Watson hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 12-14-3 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$37.

How often does Kahlil Watson hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Kahlil Watson hits the over on home runs 0.5 3.8% of the time in 2026, going 1-25-3 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,620.

How often does Kahlil Watson hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Kahlil Watson hits the over on rbis 0.5 30.8% of the time in 2026, going 8-18-3 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$323.

How often does Kahlil Watson hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Kahlil Watson hits the over on runs scored 0.5 23.1% of the time in 2026, going 6-20-3 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$705.

What are Kahlil Watson's best prop bets in 2026?

Kahlil Watson's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits O 0.5 at 61.5% (16-10); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 1.5 at 46.2% (12-14); Singles O 0.5 at 42.3% (11-15).

Stars

HitsO 0.5

Home RunsO 0.5

RBIsO 0.5

★★★★★

25%(1-3)

0%(0-4)

★★★★★

45.5%(5-6)

9.1%(1-10)

27.3%(3-8)

★★★★★

55.6%(5-4)

0%(0-9)

22.2%(2-7)

★★★★★

100%(4-0)

0%(0-4)

50%(2-2)

Date ↓

Opp

Market

Line

Actual

Result

Odds