Cleveland Guardians66.7% H O 0.566.7% HRR O 0.566.7% TB O 0.5
Props — 20269 games with closing lines
Home Runs
9g11.1%Over: 1-8
0vs O 0.5+600
vs
Mariners6/28
Mariners6/28✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(3)A: 16.7%(6)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Watson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock
6/28Watson is batting .400 over the last 5 days.
★★★★★vs Logan Gilbert
6/27Matchup data is limited but favors Watson.
★★★★★vs Erick Fedde
6/24Matchup data is limited but favors Fedde.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-26 Over9g · 27 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/28 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 6/28 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/28 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/27 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/27 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 6/27 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/26 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 6/26 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/26 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/24 | @ White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/24 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 6/24 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +680 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/22 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 6/22 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 6/22 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/21 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 6/21 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/21 | @Astros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/20 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 6/20 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/20 | @Astros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/19 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 6/19 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/19 | @Astros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Kahlil Watson hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Kahlil Watson hits the over on home runs 0.5 11.1% of the time in 2026, going 1-8 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Kahlil Watson over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Kahlil Watson over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$120 (-13.33% ROI). The hit rate is 11.1% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Kahlil Watson's home runs average this season?
Kahlil Watson averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge