Patrick Bailey

Cleveland Guardians•2026

.194AVG7HR30RBI23R49H3SB84G

59.2% SO O 0.548.1% H O 0.532.5% 1B O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Patrick Bailey goes over 0.5 strikeouts 59.2% of the time (45-31-29)

Props — 2026109 games with closing lines

Hits

109g

avg 0.6

48.1%Over: 37-40-32

1vs O 0.5-219

Rockies8/22

✓✓✓✗✗P✓✗P✗

H: 36.5%(52)A: 30.4%(56)

Home Runs

109g

avg 0.2

9%Over: 7-71-31

0vs O 0.5+725

Rockies8/22

✗✓✗✗✗P✗✗P✗

H: 7.7%(52)A: 5.4%(56)

RBIs

108g

avg 0.6

28.9%Over: 22-54-32

1vs O 0.5+155

Rockies8/22

✓✓✓✗✓P✓✗P✗

H: 25%(52)A: 16.1%(56)

Runs Scored

108g

avg 0.3

22.4%Over: 17-59-32

0vs O 0.5+110

Rockies8/22

✗✓✓✗✗P✗✗P✗

H: 21.2%(52)A: 10.7%(56)

Total Bases

108g

avg 1.2

24.7%Over: 19-58-31

1vs O 1.5+135

Rockies8/22

✗✓✓✗✗P✓✗P✗

H: 23.5%(51)A: 10.9%(55)

Doubles

107g

avg 0.1

9.1%Over: 7-70-30

0vs O 0.5+392

Rockies8/22

✗✓✗✗✗P✓✗P✗

H: 9.6%(52)A: 3.6%(55)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

107g

avg 1.5

29.9%Over: 23-54-30

2vs O 1.5-130

Rockies8/22

✓✓✓✗✗P✓✗P✗

H: 26.9%(52)A: 16.4%(55)

Singles

107g

avg 0.3

32.5%Over: 25-52-30

1vs O 0.5-113

Rockies8/22

✓✗✓✗✗P✗✗P✗

H: 25%(52)A: 21.8%(55)

Strikeouts

105g

avg 0.7

59.2%Over: 45-31-29

1vs O 0.5-147

Rockies8/22

✓✓✓✓✓P✓✓P✓

H: 47.1%(51)A: 38.9%(54)

Walks

102g

avg 0.3

22.7%Over: 17-58-27

1vs O 0.5+254

Rockies8/22

✓✗✓✗✗✗✗P✓✓

H: 16%(50)A: 17.3%(52)

Stolen Bases

95g

avg 0

4.2%Over: 3-68-24

0vs O 0.5+3300

Rockies8/22

✗✗✓✗✗✗P✗✗✗

H: 6.4%(47)A: 0%(48)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(1%)

Total Matchups

128

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Bailey's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	50%(3-3)	33.3%(2-4)	50%(3-3)
★★★★★	38.1%(8-13)	4.8%(1-20)	28.6%(6-15)
★★★★★	31.6%(12-26)	5.3%(2-36)	15.8%(6-32)
★★★★★	33.3%(14-28)	4.8%(2-40)	17.1%(7-34)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Tomoyuki Sugano

8/23

Matchup data is limited but favors Bailey.

★★★★★vs Gabriel Hughes

8/22

Bailey has an OPS of .973 in 13 AB's over the last 5 days.

★★★★★vs Tanner Gordon

8/21

Matchup data is limited but favors Bailey.

Game Log

Bet

396-2085-914 Over3395 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
8/22	@Rockies	Hits	O 0.5	1	W	-219
8/22	@Rockies	Hits	O 2.5	1	L	+1120
8/22	@Rockies	Hits	O 1.5	1	L	+234
8/22	@Rockies	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+725
8/22	@Rockies	RBIs	O 0.5	1	W	+155
8/22	@Rockies	Total Bases	O 1.5	1	L	+135
8/22	@Rockies	RBIs	O 1.5	1	L	+475
8/22	@Rockies	Total Bases	O 2.5	1	L	+300
8/22	@Rockies	Total Bases	O 0.5	1	W	-225
8/22	@Rockies	RBIs	O 2.5	1	L	+1200
8/22	@Rockies	RBIs	O 4.5	1	L	+4500
8/22	@Rockies	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+7000
8/22	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	2	W	-293
8/22	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	2	L	+155
8/22	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	2	W	-130
8/22	@Rockies	Doubles	O 0.5	0	L	+392
8/22	@Rockies	Hits	O 3.5	1	L	+6000
8/22	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	2	L	+519
8/22	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	2	L	+290
8/22	@Rockies	Runs Scored	O 2.5	0	L	+3300
8/22	@Rockies	Singles	O 0.5	1	W	-113
8/22	@Rockies	Total Bases	O 4.5	1	L	+900
8/22	@Rockies	RBIs	O 3.5	1	L	+2500
8/22	@Rockies	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	L	+680
8/22	@Rockies	Total Bases	O 3.5	1	L	+475
8/22	@Rockies	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	L	+110
8/22	@Rockies	Strikeouts	O 0.5	1	W	-147
8/22	@Rockies	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	L	+3300
8/22	@Rockies	Walks	O 0.5	1	W	+254
8/22	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 6.5	2	L	—
8/22	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	2	L	—
8/22	@Rockies	Total Bases	O 6.5	1	L	—
8/22	@Rockies	Total Bases	O 5.5	1	L	—
8/22	@Rockies	Doubles	O 1.5	0	L	—
8/22	@Rockies	Singles	O 1.5	1	L	+515
8/22	@Rockies	Strikeouts	O 1.5	1	L	+425
8/22	@Rockies	Home Runs	O 2.5	0	L	—
8/21	@Rockies	Doubles	O 0.5	1	W	+404
8/21	@Rockies	Hits	O 0.5	2	W	-198
8/21	@Rockies	Hits	O 2.5	2	L	+1320
8/21	@Rockies	Hits	O 1.5	2	W	+269
8/21	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	6	W	+589
8/21	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	6	W	-264
8/21	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	6	W	+178
8/21	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	6	W	+328
8/21	@Rockies	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	6	W	-114
8/21	@Rockies	Home Runs	O 1.5	1	L	+8000
8/21	@Rockies	Home Runs	O 0.5	1	W	+625
8/21	@Rockies	Runs Scored	O 0.5	1	W	+116
8/21	@Rockies	Runs Scored	O 1.5	1	L	+750

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on hits 0.5?

Patrick Bailey hits the over on hits 0.5 48.1% of the time in 2026, going 37-40-32 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$751.

How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Patrick Bailey hits the over on home runs 0.5 9% of the time in 2026, going 7-71-31 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$729.

How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Patrick Bailey hits the over on rbis 0.5 28.9% of the time in 2026, going 22-54-32 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$554.

How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Patrick Bailey hits the over on runs scored 0.5 22.4% of the time in 2026, going 17-59-32 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,390.

How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on total bases 1.5?

Patrick Bailey hits the over on total bases 1.5 23.7% of the time in 2026, going 18-58-30 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,543.

What are Patrick Bailey's best prop bets in 2026?

Patrick Bailey's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 59.2% (45-31); Hits O 0.5 at 48.1% (37-40); Singles O 0.5 at 32.5% (25-52).

Stars

HitsO 0.5

Home RunsO 0.5

RBIsO 0.5

★★★★★

0%(0-1)

★★★★★

50%(3-3)

33.3%(2-4)

50%(3-3)

★★★★★

38.1%(8-13)

4.8%(1-20)

28.6%(6-15)

★★★★★

31.6%(12-26)

5.3%(2-36)

15.8%(6-32)

★★★★★

33.3%(14-28)

4.8%(2-40)

17.1%(7-34)

Date ↓

Opp

Market

Line

Actual

Result

Odds