Patrick Bailey

Patrick Bailey

Cleveland GuardiansPosition Player2026
Reg0.140 / 2 HR / 8 RBI / 14 H / 2 SB / 33G
53.1% HRR O 0.548.4% SO O 0.546.9% H O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Patrick Bailey goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 53.1% of the time (17-15-14)

Props — 202648 games with closing lines

Hits

48g
avg 0.3
46.9%Over: 15-17-16
1vs O 0.5+108
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 31.6%(19)A: 28.6%(28)
avg 0.1
6.1%Over: 2-31-15
1vs O 0.5+1880
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 5.3%(19)A: 3.6%(28)

RBIs

47g
avg 0.2
19.4%Over: 6-25-16
1vs O 0.5+349
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 15.8%(19)A: 10.7%(28)
avg 0.1
16.1%Over: 5-26-16
1vs O 0.5+270
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 15.8%(19)A: 7.1%(28)
avg 0.5
45.2%Over: 14-17-16
4vs O 0.5-105
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 31.6%(19)A: 30.8%(26)
avg 0.6
48.4%Over: 15-16-15
0vs O 0.5-153
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 36.8%(19)A: 29.6%(27)
avg 0
3.1%Over: 1-31-14
0vs O 0.5+660
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 5.3%(19)A: 0%(27)
avg 0.6
53.1%Over: 17-15-14
3vs O 0.5-122
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 42.1%(19)A: 33.3%(27)
avg 0.2
34.4%Over: 11-21-14
0vs O 0.5+160
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 21.1%(19)A: 25.9%(27)
avg 0.1
16.7%Over: 5-25-14
0vs O 0.5+226
@Tigers5/21
PPPPP
H: 21.1%(19)A: 4%(25)
avg 0
7.4%Over: 2-25-11
0vs O 0.5+1450
@Tigers5/21
PPPP
H: 11.8%(17)A: 0%(21)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
1.9
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
49
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Bailey's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
0%(0-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)
37.5%(3-5)0%(0-8)25%(2-6)
21.1%(4-15)0%(0-19)0%(0-19)
47.1%(8-9)11.8%(2-15)25%(4-12)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Cristopher Sanchez
5/22

Bailey is batting just .137 (7-for-51) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Sanchez over the last 2 seasons.

vs Casey Mize
5/21

Bailey is batting just .056 in his last 18 AB's.

vs Brenan Hanifee
5/20

Hanifee has allowed a slugging percentage of .476 against hitters like Bailey over the last two years, but Bailey is batting just .219 (37-for-169) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Hanifee.

Game Log

Bet
$
121-795-399 Over1315 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/21@TigersDoublesO 0.50L+660
5/21@TigersHitsO 1.51L+680
5/21@TigersHitsO 2.51L+4000
5/21@TigersHitsO 0.51W+108
5/21@TigersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.53L+920
5/21@TigersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.53W-122
5/21@TigersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.53W+200
5/21@TigersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.53W+445
5/21@TigersHome RunsO 1.51L+35000
5/21@TigersHome RunsO 0.51W+1880
5/21@TigersRBIsO 1.51L+1200
5/21@TigersRBIsO 0.51W+349
5/21@TigersRuns ScoredO 1.51L+1900
5/21@TigersRuns ScoredO 0.51W+270
5/21@TigersSinglesO 0.50L+160
5/21@TigersStolen BasesO 0.50L+1450
5/21@TigersTotal BasesO 2.54W+770
5/21@TigersTotal BasesO 1.54W+337
5/21@TigersTotal BasesO 4.54L+3000
5/21@TigersTotal BasesO 3.54W+1300
5/21@TigersSinglesO 1.50L+1120
5/21@TigersStrikeoutsO 0.50L-153
5/21@TigersStrikeoutsO 1.50L+422
5/21@TigersWalksO 0.50L+226
5/21@TigersHitsO 3.51L+6000
5/21@TigersHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.53L+1450
5/21@TigersRBIsO 4.51L+6000
5/21@TigersRBIsO 3.51L+5000
5/21@TigersRBIsO 2.51L+4000
5/21@TigersRuns ScoredO 2.51L+5500
5/21@TigersTotal BasesO 0.54W-105
5/20@TigersHitsO 0.50L-110
5/20@TigersHitsO 1.50L+600
5/20@TigersHome RunsO 0.50L+1000
5/20@TigersDoublesO 0.50L+650
5/20@TigersHitsO 2.50L+3500
5/20@TigersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.51L+160
5/20@TigersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.51L+700
5/20@TigersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.51W-160
5/20@TigersHome RunsO 1.50L+15000
5/20@TigersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.51L+330
5/20@TigersRBIsO 0.51W+273
5/20@TigersRBIsO 1.51L+850
5/20@TigersRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1700
5/20@TigersRuns ScoredO 0.50L+200
5/20@TigersSinglesO 0.50L+150
5/20@TigersTotal BasesO 2.50L+550
5/20@TigersTotal BasesO 4.50L+2000
5/20@TigersTotal BasesO 1.50L+250
5/20@TigersTotal BasesO 3.50L+750

Cleveland Guardians Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on hits 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on hits 0.5 46.9% of the time in 2026, going 15-17-16 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$335.
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on home runs 0.5 6.1% of the time in 2026, going 2-31-15 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$429.
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on rbis 0.5 19.4% of the time in 2026, going 6-25-16 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$655.
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on runs scored 0.5 16.1% of the time in 2026, going 5-26-16 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,381.
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on total bases 0.5 45.2% of the time in 2026, going 14-17-14 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$505.
What are Patrick Bailey's best prop bets in 2026?
Patrick Bailey's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 53.1% (17-15); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 48.4% (15-16); Hits O 0.5 at 46.9% (15-17).

Patrick Bailey 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.48 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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