Cleveland Guardians53.8% SO O 0.552.8% HRR O 0.547.2% H O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Patrick Bailey goes over 0.5 strikeouts 53.8% of the time (28-24-23)
Props — 202679 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
78g19.2%Over: 10-42-26
0vs O 0.5+160
vs
White Sox7/5
White Sox7/5✗P✓✗P✗✗✗✗P
H: 16.2%(37)A: 9.8%(41)
Total Bases
78g18.9%Over: 10-43-25
1vs O 1.5+210
vsWhite Sox7/5
White Sox7/5✗P✓✗P✗✗✗✗P
H: 16.7%(36)A: 7.5%(40)
avg 0.8
52.8%Over: 28-25-24
1vs O 0.5-210
vsWhite Sox7/5
White Sox7/5✓P✓✗P✗✗✗✓P
H: 37.8%(37)A: 35%(40)
Strikeouts
75g53.8%Over: 28-24-23
0vs O 0.5-147
vsWhite Sox7/5
White Sox7/5✗P✓✓P✓✗✓✓P
H: 38.9%(36)A: 35.9%(39)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
89Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bailey's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 21.4%(3-11) | 0%(0-14) | 14.3%(2-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 32.1%(9-19) | 0%(0-28) | 7.1%(2-26) |
| ★★★★★ | 39.4%(13-20) | 6.1%(2-31) | 15.6%(5-27) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Taj Bradley
7/7Bailey is batting just .196 (44-for-224) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Bradley over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Chris Murphy
7/5Bailey is batting just .143 (1-for-7) against left-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Murphy over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
7/4Bailey is batting just .174 (4-for-23) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Burke over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
228-1399-711 Over2338 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -140 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +460 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +130 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -210 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +230 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +160 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +115 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1420 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +800 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +210 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +500 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +2000 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +270 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +550 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +910 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +195 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +3000 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 1 | W | — |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +446 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -147 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Singles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +690 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Hits | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +5500 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Doubles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | Runs Scored | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +1150 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +310 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | P | +600 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +140 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on hits 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on hits 0.5 47.2% of the time in 2026, going 25-28-26 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$528.
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on home runs 0.5 3.7% of the time in 2026, going 2-52-25 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,571.
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on rbis 0.5 17.3% of the time in 2026, going 9-43-26 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,573.
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on runs scored 0.5 19.2% of the time in 2026, going 10-42-26 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,891.
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on total bases 1.5 17.3% of the time in 2026, going 9-43-24 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,887.
What are Patrick Bailey's best prop bets in 2026?
Patrick Bailey's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 53.8% (28-24); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 52.8% (28-25); Hits O 0.5 at 47.2% (25-28).
Inside Edge