Patrick Bailey

Cleveland GuardiansPosition Player•2026

Reg0.179 / 2 HR / 12 RBI / 30 H / 2 SB / 57G

54.7% SO O 0.551.9% HRR O 0.546.3% H O 0.5

Season

All Patrick Bailey props

Props — 202680 games with closing lines

Home Runs

80g

avg 0

3.6%Over: 2-53-25

0vs O 0.5+900

Twins7/7

✗✗P✗✗P✗✗✗✗

H: 2.7%(37)A: 2.4%(42)

SeasonalityAll lines

Mar
0-5

Apr
1-25

May
1-24

Jun
0-20

Jul
0-4

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

1.8★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(1%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Bailey's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	21.4%(3-11)	0%(0-14)	14.3%(2-12)
★★★★★	31%(9-20)	0%(0-29)	6.9%(2-27)
★★★★★	39.4%(13-20)	6.1%(2-31)	15.6%(5-27)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Taj Bradley

7/7

Bailey is batting just .196 (44-for-224) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Bradley over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Chris Murphy

7/5

Bailey is batting just .143 (1-for-7) against left-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Murphy over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Sean Burke

7/4

Bailey is batting just .174 (4-for-23) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Burke over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

2-120-53 Over79g · 175 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Result	Odds
7/7	@Twins	O 1.5	L	+10000
7/7	@Twins	O 0.5	L	+900
7/7	@Twins	O 2.5	L	—
7/5	vsWhite Sox	O 1.5	L	+22500
7/5	vsWhite Sox	O 0.5	L	+900
7/5	vsWhite Sox	O 2.5	L	—
7/4	vsWhite Sox	O 0.5	P	—
7/4	vsWhite Sox	O 1.5	P	—
7/4	vsWhite Sox	O 2.5	P	—
7/2	vsWhite Sox	O 0.5	L	+1000
7/2	vsWhite Sox	O 1.5	L	+22500
7/2	vsWhite Sox	O 2.5	L	—
6/30	vsRangers	O 1.5	L	+15000
6/30	vsRangers	O 0.5	L	+900
6/30	vsRangers	O 2.5	L	—
6/29	vsRangers	O 0.5	P	+900
6/29	vsRangers	O 1.5	P	+10000
6/29	vsRangers	O 2.5	P	—
6/28	vsMariners	O 1.5	L	—
6/28	vsMariners	O 0.5	L	—
6/28	vsMariners	O 2.5	L	—
6/27	vsMariners	O 1.5	L	+12500
6/27	vsMariners	O 0.5	L	+1050
6/27	vsMariners	O 2.5	L	—
6/26	vsMariners	O 1.5	L	+22500
6/26	vsMariners	O 0.5	L	+1000
6/26	vsMariners	O 2.5	L	—
6/24	@White Sox	O 1.5	L	+10000
6/24	@White Sox	O 0.5	L	+710
6/24	@White Sox	O 2.5	L	—
6/23	@White Sox	O 1.5	P	—
6/23	@White Sox	O 0.5	P	—
6/23	@White Sox	O 2.5	P	—
6/21	@Astros	O 0.5	L	+800
6/21	@Astros	O 1.5	L	+10000
6/21	@Astros	O 2.5	L	—
6/20	@Astros	O 0.5	L	+875
6/20	@Astros	O 1.5	L	+10000
6/20	@Astros	O 2.5	L	—
6/19	@Astros	O 1.5	L	+17500
6/19	@Astros	O 0.5	L	+980
6/19	@Astros	O 2.5	L	—
6/17	@Brewers	O 1.5	L	+25000
6/17	@Brewers	O 0.5	L	+1120
6/17	@Brewers	O 2.5	L	—
6/14	vsTigers	O 1.5	P	+22500
6/14	vsTigers	O 0.5	P	+1200
6/12	vsTigers	O 1.5	L	+17500
6/12	vsTigers	O 0.5	L	+920
6/9	vsYankees	O 1.5	P	+10000

Cleveland Guardians Teammates

View all

Brayan Rocchio Steven Kwan Chase DeLauter Kyle Manzardo Daniel Schneemann Rhys Hoskins Travis Bazzana Austin Hedges David Fry Gabriel Arias Bo Naylor Kahlil Watson Juan Brito Petey Halpin George Valera

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Patrick Bailey hits the over on home runs 0.5 3.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-53-25 with an average actual of 0.

Is Patrick Bailey over 0.5 home runs a good bet?

Based on 80 games in 2026, betting $100 on Patrick Bailey over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,671 (-20.89% ROI). The hit rate is 3.6% with an average actual of 0.

What is Patrick Bailey's home runs average this season?

Patrick Bailey averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 80 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.