Patrick Bailey

Cleveland GuardiansPosition Player•2026

Reg0.140 / 2 HR / 8 RBI / 14 H / 2 SB / 33G

53.1% HRR O 0.548.4% SO O 0.546.9% H O 0.5

Season

All Patrick Bailey props

Props — 202648 games with closing lines

Home Runs

48g

avg 0.1

6.1%Over: 2-31-15

1vs O 0.5+1880

Tigers5/21

✓✗PP✗P✗✗PP

H: 5.3%(19)A: 3.6%(28)

Seasonality

Mar

0%0-5

Apr

3.8%1-25

May

5.9%1-16

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

1.9★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(2%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Bailey's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	37.5%(3-5)	0%(0-8)	25%(2-6)
★★★★★	21.1%(4-15)	0%(0-19)	0%(0-19)
★★★★★	47.1%(8-9)	11.8%(2-15)	25%(4-12)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Cristopher Sanchez

5/22

Bailey is batting just .137 (7-for-51) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Sanchez over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Casey Mize

5/21

Bailey is batting just .056 in his last 18 AB's.

★★★★★vs Brenan Hanifee

5/20

Hanifee has allowed a slugging percentage of .476 against hitters like Bailey over the last two years, but Bailey is batting just .219 (37-for-169) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Hanifee.

Game Log

Bet

2-64-30 Over47g · 96 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/21	@Tigers	O 1.5	1	L	+35000
5/21	@Tigers	O 0.5	1	W	+1880
5/20	@Tigers	O 0.5	0	L	+1000
5/20	@Tigers	O 1.5	0	L	+15000
5/19	@Tigers	O 0.5	0	P	+850
5/19	@Tigers	O 1.5	0	P	+10000
5/18	@Tigers	O 0.5	0	P	+1340
5/18	@Tigers	O 1.5	0	P	+25000
5/17	vsReds	O 1.5	0	L	+12500
5/17	vsReds	O 0.5	0	L	+880
5/16	vsReds	O 0.5	0	P	+1060
5/16	vsReds	O 1.5	0	P	+25000
5/15	vsReds	O 1.5	0	L	+25000
5/15	vsReds	O 0.5	0	L	+1040
5/12	vsAngels	O 0.5	0	L	+1200
5/12	vsAngels	O 1.5	0	L	+17500
5/11	vsAngels	O 0.5	0	P	+1200
5/11	vsAngels	O 1.5	0	P	+6600
5/9	@Giants	O 1.5	0	P	+10000
5/9	@Giants	O 0.5	0	P	+900
5/8	@Giants	O 0.5	0	P	+1500
5/8	@Giants	O 1.5	0	P	+40000
5/6	vsPadres	O 0.5	0	L	+1120
5/6	vsPadres	O 1.5	0	L	+20000
5/5	@Giants	O 0.5	0	P	+1540
5/5	@Giants	O 1.5	0	P	+40000
5/4	@Giants	O 0.5	0	P	+1350
5/4	@Giants	O 1.5	0	P	+22500
5/3	@Rays	O 0.5	0	P	+880
5/3	@Rays	O 1.5	0	P	+10000
5/2	@Rays	O 1.5	0	L	+10000
5/2	@Rays	O 0.5	0	L	+1100
5/1	@Rays	O 0.5	0	L	+1200
5/1	@Rays	O 1.5	0	L	+17500
4/30	@Phillies	O 0.5	0	L	+1120
4/30	@Phillies	O 1.5	0	L	+20000
4/30	@Phillies	O 0.5	0	L	+920
4/29	@Phillies	O 1.5	0	P	+17500
4/29	@Phillies	O 0.5	0	P	+1080
4/28	@Phillies	O 1.5	0	L	+12500
4/28	@Phillies	O 0.5	0	L	+820
4/26	vsMarlins	O 0.5	0	L	+1350
4/26	vsMarlins	O 1.5	0	L	+12500
4/25	vsMarlins	O 1.5	0	L	+15000
4/25	vsMarlins	O 0.5	0	L	+1400
4/24	@Giants	O 1.5	0	P	+25000
4/24	@Giants	O 0.5	0	P	+1550
4/23	vsDodgers	O 1.5	0	L	+35000
4/23	vsDodgers	O 0.5	0	L	+1550
4/22	vsDodgers	O 0.5	1	W	+1550

Cleveland Guardians Teammates

View all

Chase DeLauter Steven Kwan Brayan Rocchio Daniel Schneemann Kyle Manzardo Rhys Hoskins Bo Naylor Travis Bazzana David Fry Austin Hedges Juan Brito George Valera Gabriel Arias Joey Cantillo Tanner Bibee

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Patrick Bailey hits the over on home runs 0.5 6.1% of the time in 2026, going 2-31-15 with an average actual of 0.

Is Patrick Bailey over 0.5 home runs a good bet?

Based on 48 games in 2026, betting $100 on Patrick Bailey over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$429 (+8.94% ROI). The hit rate is 6.1% with an average actual of 0.

What is Patrick Bailey's home runs average this season?

Patrick Bailey averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 48 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.