Cleveland Guardians54.7% SO O 0.551.9% HRR O 0.546.3% H O 0.5
Season
All Patrick Bailey propsProps — 202680 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
79g18.9%Over: 10-43-26
0vs O 0.5+179
@
Twins7/7
Twins7/7✗✗P✓✗P✗✗✗✗
H: 16.2%(37)A: 9.5%(42)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
89Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bailey's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 21.4%(3-11) | 0%(0-14) | 14.3%(2-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 31%(9-20) | 0%(0-29) | 6.9%(2-27) |
| ★★★★★ | 39.4%(13-20) | 6.1%(2-31) | 15.6%(5-27) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Taj Bradley
7/7Bailey is batting just .196 (44-for-224) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Bradley over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Chris Murphy
7/5Bailey is batting just .143 (1-for-7) against left-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Murphy over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
7/4Bailey is batting just .174 (4-for-23) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Burke over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
12-137-67 Over79g · 216 props
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on runs scored 0.5 18.9% of the time in 2026, going 10-43-26 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Patrick Bailey over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 79 games in 2026, betting $100 on Patrick Bailey over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$1,991 (-25.2% ROI). The hit rate is 18.9% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Patrick Bailey's runs scored average this season?
Patrick Bailey averages 0.2 runs scored per game in 2026 across 79 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge