Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians53.1% HRR O 0.548.4% SO O 0.546.9% H O 0.5
Season
All Patrick Bailey propsProps — 202648 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
38g7.4%Over: 2-25-11
0vs O 0.5+1450
@
Tigers5/21
Tigers5/21✗✗P✗P✗✗P✗P
H: 11.8%(17)A: 0%(21)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bailey's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 37.5%(3-5) | 0%(0-8) | 25%(2-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 21.1%(4-15) | 0%(0-19) | 0%(0-19) |
| ★★★★★ | 47.1%(8-9) | 11.8%(2-15) | 25%(4-12) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Cristopher Sanchez
5/22Bailey is batting just .137 (7-for-51) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Sanchez over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Casey Mize
5/21Bailey is batting just .056 in his last 18 AB's.
★★★★★vs Brenan Hanifee
5/20Hanifee has allowed a slugging percentage of .476 against hitters like Bailey over the last two years, but Bailey is batting just .219 (37-for-169) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Hanifee.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-25-11 Over38g · 38 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1450 |
| 5/20 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1250 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1450 |
| 5/17 | vs Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1500 |
| 5/15 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/12 | vs Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/11 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 5/6 | vs Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1450 |
| 5/5 | @ Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 5/4 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 5/3 | @ Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1500 |
| 5/2 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/1 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/30 | @ Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 4/29 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1700 |
| 4/28 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/26 | vs Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/25 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +2000 |
| 4/24 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1450 |
| 4/23 | vs Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/21 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/18 | @ Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/16 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/15 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 4/14 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 4/11 | @ Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/10 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/8 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/7 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 4/6 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/5 | vs Mets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +2000 |
| 4/4 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/3 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 4/1 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 3/30 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 3/28 | vs Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 3/27 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 7.4% of the time in 2026, going 2-25-11 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Patrick Bailey over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 38 games in 2026, betting $100 on Patrick Bailey over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned +$1,599 (+42.08% ROI). The hit rate is 7.4% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Patrick Bailey's stolen bases average this season?
Patrick Bailey averages 0.1 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 38 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.