Cleveland Guardians54.7% SO O 0.551.9% HRR O 0.546.3% H O 0.5
Season
All Patrick Bailey propsProps — 202680 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
68g4.1%Over: 2-47-19
0vs O 0.5+2400
@
Twins7/7
Twins7/7✗✗P✗✗P✗✗✗✗
H: 5.9%(34)A: 0%(34)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
89Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bailey's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 21.4%(3-11) | 0%(0-14) | 14.3%(2-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 31%(9-20) | 0%(0-29) | 6.9%(2-27) |
| ★★★★★ | 39.4%(13-20) | 6.1%(2-31) | 15.6%(5-27) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Taj Bradley
7/7Bailey is batting just .196 (44-for-224) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Bradley over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Chris Murphy
7/5Bailey is batting just .143 (1-for-7) against left-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Murphy over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
7/4Bailey is batting just .174 (4-for-23) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Burke over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-51-21 Over68g · 74 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5600 |
| 7/7 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2400 |
| 7/5 | vs White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1420 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 7/2 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 7/2 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/30 | vs Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +5900 |
| 6/28 | vs Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 6/27 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 6/27 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/26 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2300 |
| 6/24 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1780 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/21 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 6/20 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2100 |
| 6/19 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1540 |
| 6/17 | @ Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 6/17 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3900 |
| 6/14 | vs Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1500 |
| 6/12 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 6/9 | vs Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 6/8 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 6/7 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 6/6 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 6/5 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 6/3 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 6/2 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/31 | vs Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 5/30 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1450 |
| 5/29 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/26 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/25 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/23 | @ Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/21 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1450 |
| 5/20 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1250 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1450 |
| 5/17 | vs Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1500 |
| 5/15 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/12 | vs Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/11 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 5/6 | vs Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1450 |
| 5/5 | @ Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 5/4 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 5/3 | @ Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1500 |
| 5/2 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/1 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 4.1% of the time in 2026, going 2-47-19 with an average actual of 0.
Is Patrick Bailey over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 68 games in 2026, betting $100 on Patrick Bailey over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$601 (-8.84% ROI). The hit rate is 4.1% with an average actual of 0.
What is Patrick Bailey's stolen bases average this season?
Patrick Bailey averages 0 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 68 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge