Season
All Patrick Bailey propsProps — 2026110 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
95g4.2%Over: 3-68-24
0vs O 0.5+3300
@
Rockies8/22
Rockies8/22✗✗✓✗✗✗P✗✗✗
H: 6.4%(47)A: 0%(48)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
129Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bailey's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(3-4) | 28.6%(2-5) | 42.9%(3-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 38.1%(8-13) | 4.8%(1-20) | 28.6%(6-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 31.6%(12-26) | 5.3%(2-36) | 15.8%(6-32) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(14-28) | 4.8%(2-40) | 17.1%(7-34) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs George Klassen
8/24Bailey is batting .417 (5-for-12) over the last 5 days but is batting just .215 (14-for-65) against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like Klassen.
★★★★★vs Tomoyuki Sugano
8/23Matchup data is limited but favors Bailey.
★★★★★vs Gabriel Hughes
8/22Bailey has an OPS of .973 in 13 AB's over the last 5 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-75-28 Over95g · 106 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/22 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +3300 |
| 8/21 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 8/20 | vs Giants | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1700 |
| 8/19 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 8/18 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +3800 |
| 8/14 | vs Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 8/13 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 8/11 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 8/9 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1420 |
| 8/6 | vs Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2300 |
| 8/5 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 8/2 | vs Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 7/29 | @ Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2300 |
| 7/28 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1380 |
| 7/28 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 7/27 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1300 |
| 7/27 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 7/26 | @ Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/25 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 7/23 | vs Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 7/22 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 7/20 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 7/19 | vs Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 7/18 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 7/18 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 7/17 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 7/12 | @ Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +3100 |
| 7/11 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1050 |
| 7/11 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 7/10 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1920 |
| 7/10 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 7/9 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 7/7 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5600 |
| 7/7 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2400 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1420 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 7/2 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 7/2 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/30 | vs Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +5900 |
| 6/28 | vs Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 6/27 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 6/27 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/26 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2300 |
| 6/24 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1780 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/21 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 6/20 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2100 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Patrick Bailey hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Patrick Bailey hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 4.2% of the time in 2026, going 3-68-24 with an average actual of 0.
Is Patrick Bailey over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 95 games in 2026, betting $100 on Patrick Bailey over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$901 (-9.48% ROI). The hit rate is 4.2% with an average actual of 0.
What is Patrick Bailey's stolen bases average this season?
Patrick Bailey averages 0 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 95 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
