Gavin Williams

Gavin Williams

Cleveland GuardiansPitcher2026
Reg3.95 ERA / 123 K / 104.7 IP / 10.6 K/9 / 18G
72.2% K O 5.558.8% HA O 4.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
Best Performer

Gavin Williams goes over 3.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (17-0-2)

Props — 202620 games with closing lines

avg 6.2
72.2%Over: 13-5-2
6vs O 5.5-194
vsWhite Sox7/3
P
H: 63.6%(11)A: 66.7%(9)
avg 16
50%Over: 9-9-2
14vs O 17.5-124
vsWhite Sox7/3
P
H: 45.5%(11)A: 42.9%(7)
avg 2.4
44.4%Over: 8-10-1
3vs O 2.5+126
vsWhite Sox7/3
P
H: 33.3%(6)A: 50%(8)
avg 4.7
55.6%Over: 10-8-1
5vs O 4.5-135
vsWhite Sox7/3
P
H: 50%(10)A: 62.5%(8)
avg 1.9
44.4%Over: 8-10-1
2vs O 1.5-153
vsWhite Sox7/3
P
H: 20%(5)A: 28.6%(7)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.4
5-Star Games
7(37%)
Total Matchups
19
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Williams's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 5.5Outs RecordedO 17.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 2.5
85.7%(6-1)42.9%(3-4)20%(1-4)71.4%(5-2)0%(0-4)
50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)100%(2-0)0%(0-2)
60%(3-2)50%(2-2)50%(1-1)25%(1-3)66.7%(2-1)
100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
50%(2-2)33.3%(1-2)75%(3-1)50%(2-2)33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Anthony Kay
7/3

Current White Sox hitters have struck out 26.4% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

vs Emerson Hancock
6/28

Current Mariners hitters have struck out 23% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

vs Anthony Kay
6/22

Current White Sox hitters have struck out 26.8% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
122-121-23 Over266 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 5.56W-194
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 7.56L+230
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 6.56L+112
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 2.56W
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 3.56W-1200
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 4.56W-400
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 8.56L+470
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 9.56L+800
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 1.56W
7/3vsWhite SoxEarned RunsO 1.53W
7/3vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 17.514L-124
7/3vsWhite SoxHits AllowedO 4.55W-135
7/3vsWhite SoxWalks AllowedO 1.52W-153
7/3vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 10.56L+1540
7/3vsWhite SoxEarned RunsO 2.53W+126
7/3vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 18.514L
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 3.56W-2100
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 9.56L+630
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 5.56W-275
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 7.56L+152
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 6.56L-135
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 4.56W-550
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 8.56L+303
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 1.56W
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 2.56W
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 10.56L+1180
6/28vsMarinersHits AllowedO 4.56W-150
6/28vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 17.515L-158
6/28vsMarinersEarned RunsO 2.52L+114
6/28vsMarinersWalks AllowedO 1.53W-173
6/28vsMarinersPitcher KsO 11.56L
6/28vsMarinersEarned RunsO 1.52W-175
6/22@White SoxOuts RecordedO 17.515L-107
6/22@White SoxEarned RunsO 2.52L+120
6/22@White SoxHits AllowedO 4.55W-130
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 4.58W-375
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 7.58W+221
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 5.58W-175
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 3.58W-800
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 8.58L+440
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 2.58W
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 6.58W+116
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 1.58W
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 9.58L+860
6/22@White SoxPitcher KsO 10.58L+1700
6/22@White SoxWalks AllowedO 1.51L-190
6/22@White SoxEarned RunsO 1.52W-176
6/22@White SoxWalks AllowedO 2.51L+152
6/17@BrewersPitcher KsO 3.54W-1200
6/17@BrewersPitcher KsO 6.54L-110

Cleveland Guardians Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 72.2% of the time in 2026, going 13-5-2 with an average actual of 6.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$305.
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 8-8-2 with an average actual of 15.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$214.
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on earned runs 2.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 6-7-1 with an average actual of 2.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$31.
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 58.8% of the time in 2026, going 10-7-1 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$159.
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 27.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-8-1 with an average actual of 1.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$504.
What are Gavin Williams's best prop bets in 2026?
Gavin Williams's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 5.5 at 72.2% (13-5); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 58.8% (10-7); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 50% (8-8).

Gavin Williams 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.20 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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