Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians80% K O 5.575% OUT O 17.566.7% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer
Gavin Williams goes over 3.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0-1)
Props — 202611 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(27%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Williams's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | — | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Cristopher Sanchez
5/22Pitchers with similar repertoires to Williams have an ERA of 5.10 against the Phillies over the last year.
★★★★★vs Brady Singer
5/17Current Reds hitters are batting .219 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Andrew Morris
5/10Twins hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Williams.
Game Log
Bet
$
68-55-8 Over131 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | vs Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 7 | L | +640 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 7 | L | +1040 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -167 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +105 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 7 | L | +320 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -3300 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -750 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -350 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +200 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | -175 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -110 |
| 5/17 | vsReds | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +121 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 0 | P | -150 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 0 | P | -3500 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 0 | P | +120 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -900 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 0 | P | +235 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 0 | P | +470 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 0 | P | -350 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 0 | P | -168 |
| 5/10 | vs Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | -107 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +171 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +313 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | +580 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -1080 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -424 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -204 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 6 | L | +1720 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 10 | W | +103 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +138 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -126 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 6 | L | +1000 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -152 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 5/5 | @ Royals | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -168 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -128 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -2600 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -700 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -289 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +162 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +320 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +640 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 7 | L | +1000 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 7 | L | +1780 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +140 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -125 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +144 |
| 4/29 | vs Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -110 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 80% of the time in 2026, going 8-2-1 with an average actual of 6.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$380.
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 6-2-1 with an average actual of 16.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$262.
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on earned runs 1.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 2-3 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$158.
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-3 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$258.
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$204.
What are Gavin Williams's best prop bets in 2026?
Gavin Williams's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 5.5 at 80% (8-2); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 75% (6-2); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 66.7% (6-3).