Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians80% K O 5.575% OUT O 17.566.7% HA O 4.5
Season
All Gavin Williams propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
11g70%Over: 7-3-1
18vs O 17.5-167
vs
Reds5/17
Reds5/17✓P✓✓✓✓✓✗✗✓
H: 66.7%(6)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(27%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Williams's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | — | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Cristopher Sanchez
5/22Pitchers with similar repertoires to Williams have an ERA of 5.10 against the Phillies over the last year.
★★★★★vs Brady Singer
5/17Current Reds hitters are batting .219 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Andrew Morris
5/10Twins hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Williams.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-5-1 Over11g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | vsReds | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -167 |
| 5/16 | vsReds | O 17.5 | 0 | P | -150 |
| 5/10 | vs Twins | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +138 |
| 5/10 | vsTwins | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -152 |
| 5/5 | @ Royals | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -168 |
| 5/5 | @Royals | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +140 |
| 4/29 | vs Rays | O 17.5 | 23 | W | +100 |
| 4/24 | @ Blue Jays | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -130 |
| 4/18 | vs Orioles | O 17.5 | 21 | W | +100 |
| 4/13 | @ Cardinals | O 17.5 | 15 | L | +108 |
| 4/7 | vsRoyals | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -130 |
| 4/7 | vsRoyals | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -115 |
| 4/1 | @ Dodgers | O 15.5 | 21 | W | +130 |
| 3/27 | @ Mariners | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +125 |
| 3/27 | @Mariners | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -161 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Gavin Williams hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Gavin Williams hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 6-2-1 with an average actual of 16.4.
Is Gavin Williams over 17.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Gavin Williams over 17.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$292 (+26.55% ROI). The hit rate is 75% with an average actual of 16.4.
What is Gavin Williams's outs recorded average this season?
Gavin Williams averages 16.4 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 17.5.