_Tonight's #1 home-run threat
Unlock the top launch and the full board with Pro.
898989216 more launches locked
Upgrade to Pro for every hitter's chance to homer, the pitch they punish, and their Inside Edge grade.
Chance to homer blends the hitter's xwOBA / slugging / hard-hit vs each of the starter's pitch types (all pitchers, sample-shrunk), the starter's HR vulnerability, park HR factor, wind, and Inside Edge grade, then maps that to a probability calibrated on two seasons of graded HR results. It estimates who is most likely to go deep — it is not a betting tip, and no home run is guaranteed.
Inside Edge