Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians42.9% H O 0.533.3% R O 0.533.3% TB O 0.5
Season
Props — 20267 games with closing lines
Hits
7g42.9%O/U: 3-4
1vs O 0.5-118
vs
Cubs4/3
Cubs4/3✓✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 100%(1)A: 33.3%(6)
RBIs
7g28.6%O/U: 2-5
1vs O 0.5+290
vsCubs4/3
Cubs4/3✓✓✗✗✗✗✗
H: 100%(1)A: 16.7%(6)
Stolen Bases
6g0%O/U: 0-6
0vs O 0.5+1200
vsCubs4/3
Cubs4/3✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(1)A: 0%(5)
Runs Scored
6g33.3%O/U: 2-4
1vs O 0.5+200
vsCubs4/3
Cubs4/3✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 100%(1)A: 20%(5)
Total Bases
6g33.3%O/U: 2-4
4vs O 0.5-125
vsCubs4/3
Cubs4/3✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 100%(1)A: 20%(5)
Walks
6g33.3%O/U: 2-4
1vs O 0.5+236
vsCubs4/3
Cubs4/3✓✗✓✗✗✗
H: 100%(1)A: 20%(5)
Home Runs
4g0%O/U: 0-4
0vs O 0.5+650
@
Dodgers3/30
Dodgers3/30✗✗✗✗
A: 0%(4)
Strikeouts
3g33.3%O/U: 1-2
1vs O 1.5+175
vsCubs4/3
Cubs4/3✗✓✗
H: 0%(1)A: 50%(2)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Arias's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shota Imanaga
4/4Imanaga has allowed a wOBA of just .285 against bottom-tier hitters like Arias over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Cade Horton
4/3Arias is batting just .184 (7-for-38) against top tier right-handers like Horton over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
4/1Arias is batting just .159 (7-for-44) against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Yamamoto over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
12-33 Over45 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/3 | vsCubs | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -118 |
| 4/3 | vsCubs | RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +290 |
| 4/3 | vsCubs | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +200 |
| 4/3 | vsCubs | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +175 |
| 4/3 | vsCubs | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 4/3 | vsCubs | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 4/3 | vsCubs | Walks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +236 |
| 4/1 | @Dodgers | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1250 |
| 4/1 | @Dodgers | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +103 |
| 4/1 | @Dodgers | RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +342 |
| 4/1 | @Dodgers | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +250 |
| 4/1 | @Dodgers | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +130 |
| 4/1 | @Dodgers | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 4 | W | +100 |
| 4/1 | @Dodgers | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +262 |
| 3/31 | @Dodgers | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 3/31 | @Dodgers | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 3/31 | @Dodgers | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +360 |
| 3/31 | @Dodgers | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +250 |
| 3/31 | @Dodgers | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 3/31 | @Dodgers | Walks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +287 |
| 3/31 | @Dodgers | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 3/30 | @Dodgers | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1260 |
| 3/30 | @Dodgers | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -138 |
| 3/30 | @Dodgers | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +249 |
| 3/30 | @Dodgers | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +184 |
| 3/30 | @Dodgers | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +238 |
| 3/30 | @Dodgers | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 3/30 | @Dodgers | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 3/29 | @ Mariners | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1050 |
| 3/29 | @Mariners | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -130 |
| 3/29 | @Mariners | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 3/29 | @Mariners | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 3/29 | @Mariners | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 3/29 | @Mariners | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 3/29 | @Mariners | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +254 |
| 3/27 | @Mariners | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 3/27 | @Mariners | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +400 |
| 3/27 | @Mariners | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 3/27 | @Mariners | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 3/27 | @Mariners | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +260 |
| 3/27 | @Mariners | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 3/27 | @Mariners | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +281 |
| 3/26 | @Mariners | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +111 |
| 3/26 | @Mariners | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 3/26 | @Mariners | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +425 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
Does Gabriel Arias hit the over on hits 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on hits 0.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$101.
Does Gabriel Arias hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on rbis 0.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$132.
Does Gabriel Arias hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 0% of the time in 2026, going 0-6 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$600.
Does Gabriel Arias hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on runs scored 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$50.
Does Gabriel Arias hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on total bases 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$220.
Does Gabriel Arias hit the over on walks 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on walks 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$123.