Gabriel Arias

Gabriel Arias

Cleveland GuardiansPosition Player2026
Reg0.221 / 4 HR / 9 RBI / 17 H / 1 SB / 24G
63.6% HRR O 0.554.2% H O 0.554.2% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Gabriel Arias goes over 0.5 strikeouts 81% of the time (17-4-5)

Props — 202632 games with closing lines

Hits

32g
avg 0.5
54.2%Over: 13-11-8
2vs O 0.5-180
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 50%(16)A: 33.3%(15)
avg 0.1
16.7%Over: 4-20-8
1vs O 0.5+660
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 18.8%(16)A: 6.7%(15)

RBIs

32g
avg 0.2
20.8%Over: 5-19-8
3vs O 0.5+200
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 18.8%(16)A: 13.3%(15)
avg 0.3
33.3%Over: 8-16-8
1vs O 0.5+145
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 43.8%(16)A: 6.7%(15)
avg 0.9
54.2%Over: 13-11-8
5vs O 0.5
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 53.3%(15)A: 33.3%(15)
avg 1.1
41.7%Over: 10-14-7
3vs O 1.5+193
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 13.3%(15)A: 53.3%(15)
avg 0
4.2%Over: 1-23-7
0vs O 0.5+875
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 6.7%(15)A: 0%(15)
avg 0.2
20.8%Over: 5-19-6
0vs O 0.5+206
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 28.6%(14)A: 6.7%(15)
avg 0.1
9.1%Over: 2-20-6
0vs O 0.5+440
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 7.7%(13)A: 6.7%(15)
avg 1.1
63.6%Over: 14-8-6
6vs O 0.5-250
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 69.2%(13)A: 33.3%(15)
avg 0.3
36.4%Over: 8-14-6
1vs O 0.5+101
vsWhite Sox7/5
P
H: 38.5%(13)A: 20%(15)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
1.9
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
31
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Arias's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
20%(1-4)0%(0-5)0%(0-5)
38.5%(5-8)15.4%(2-11)23.1%(3-10)
50%(5-5)20%(2-8)20%(2-8)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Taj Bradley
7/7

Matchup data is limited but favors Arias.

vs Chris Murphy
7/5

Right-handed batters with high strikeout rates like Arias are batting just .111 (1-for-9) against Murphy over the last 2 seasons.

vs Sean Burke
7/4

Arias is batting .304 (24-for-79) against bottom tier right-handers over the last two years but is batting just .214 (3-for-14) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Burke.

Game Log

Bet
$
138-624-213 Over975 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/5vsWhite SoxDoublesO 0.50L+440
7/5vsWhite SoxHitsO 0.52W-180
7/5vsWhite SoxHitsO 1.52W+340
7/5vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.56W+110
7/5vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.56W-250
7/5vsWhite SoxHome RunsO 1.51L+10000
7/5vsWhite SoxHome RunsO 0.51W+660
7/5vsWhite SoxRBIsO 1.53W+578
7/5vsWhite SoxRuns ScoredO 1.51L+1100
7/5vsWhite SoxRBIsO 0.53W+200
7/5vsWhite SoxRuns ScoredO 0.51W+145
7/5vsWhite SoxSinglesO 0.51W+101
7/5vsWhite SoxStolen BasesO 0.50L+875
7/5vsWhite SoxStolen BasesO 1.50L+8000
7/5vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 3.55W+500
7/5vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 2.55W+340
7/5vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 1.55W+155
7/5vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 4.55W+1200
7/5vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.56W+720
7/5vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.56W
7/5vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.56W+420
7/5vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.56W+210
7/5vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.56L
7/5vsWhite SoxWalksO 0.50L+206
7/5vsWhite SoxHitsO 2.52L+2000
7/5vsWhite SoxRBIsO 2.53W+1600
7/5vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 5.55L
7/5vsWhite SoxTotal BasesO 0.55W
7/5vsWhite SoxHome RunsO 2.51L
7/5vsWhite SoxStrikeoutsO 2.53W+960
7/5vsWhite SoxStrikeoutsO 0.53W-299
7/5vsWhite SoxStrikeoutsO 1.53W+193
7/5vsWhite SoxSinglesO 1.51L+650
7/5vsWhite SoxRBIsO 3.53L+4000
7/5vsWhite SoxHitsO 3.52L+12500
7/5vsWhite SoxRBIsO 4.53L+6000
7/5vsWhite SoxRuns ScoredO 2.51L+8000
7/5vsWhite SoxDoublesO 1.50L
7/5vsWhite SoxRuns ScoredO 3.51L
7/4vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+900
7/4vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L
7/4vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-185
7/4vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+500
7/4vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L
7/4vsWhite SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+270
7/4vsWhite SoxWalksO 0.51W
7/4vsWhite SoxHitsO 2.50L
7/4vsWhite SoxHitsO 1.50L
7/4vsWhite SoxHitsO 0.50L
7/4vsWhite SoxHome RunsO 1.50L

Cleveland Guardians Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on hits 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on hits 0.5 54.2% of the time in 2026, going 13-11-8 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$55.
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on home runs 0.5 16.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-20-8 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$1,085.
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on rbis 0.5 20.8% of the time in 2026, going 5-19-8 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$461.
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on runs scored 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-16-8 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2.
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on total bases 0.5 54.2% of the time in 2026, going 13-11-7 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$149.
What are Gabriel Arias's best prop bets in 2026?
Gabriel Arias's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 63.6% (14-8); Hits O 0.5 at 54.2% (13-11); Total Bases O 0.5 at 54.2% (13-11).

Gabriel Arias 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.32 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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