
63.6% HRR O 0.554.2% H O 0.554.2% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Gabriel Arias goes over 0.5 strikeouts 81% of the time (17-4-5)
Props — 202632 games with closing lines
avg 1.1
63.6%Over: 14-8-6
6vs O 0.5-250
vs
White Sox7/5
✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✓P
H: 69.2%(13)A: 33.3%(15)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
31Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Arias's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 38.5%(5-8) | 15.4%(2-11) | 23.1%(3-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(5-5) | 20%(2-8) | 20%(2-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Taj Bradley
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Arias.
★★★★★vs Chris Murphy
7/5Right-handed batters with high strikeout rates like Arias are batting just .111 (1-for-9) against Murphy over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
7/4Arias is batting .304 (24-for-79) against bottom tier right-handers over the last two years but is batting just .214 (3-for-14) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Burke.
Game Log
Bet
$
138-624-213 Over975 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | vs | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +440 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -180 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +340 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 6 | W | +110 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 6 | W | -250 |
| 7/5 | vs | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 7/5 | vs | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +660 |
| 7/5 | vs | RBIs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +578 |
| 7/5 | vs | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1100 |
| 7/5 | vs | RBIs | O 0.5 | 3 | W | +200 |
| 7/5 | vs | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +145 |
| 7/5 | vs | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +101 |
| 7/5 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 7/5 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +500 |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +340 |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 5 | W | +155 |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +1200 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +720 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 6 | W | — |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 6 | W | +420 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +210 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 6 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vs | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +206 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +2000 |
| 7/5 | vs | RBIs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +1600 |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 7/5 | vs | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vs | Strikeouts | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +960 |
| 7/5 | vs | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -299 |
| 7/5 | vs | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +193 |
| 7/5 | vs | Singles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +650 |
| 7/5 | vs | RBIs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +4000 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +12500 |
| 7/5 | vs | RBIs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +6000 |
| 7/5 | vs | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 7/5 | vs | Doubles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vs | Runs Scored | O 3.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -185 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +270 |
| 7/4 | vs | Walks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | — |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on hits 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on hits 0.5 54.2% of the time in 2026, going 13-11-8 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$55.
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on home runs 0.5 16.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-20-8 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$1,085.
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on rbis 0.5 20.8% of the time in 2026, going 5-19-8 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$461.
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on runs scored 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-16-8 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2.
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on total bases 0.5 54.2% of the time in 2026, going 13-11-7 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$149.
What are Gabriel Arias's best prop bets in 2026?
Gabriel Arias's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 63.6% (14-8); Hits O 0.5 at 54.2% (13-11); Total Bases O 0.5 at 54.2% (13-11).

Inside Edge