Gabriel Arias

New York Mets•2026

.235AVG5HR11RBI13R31H4SB42G

86.1% SO O 0.556.4% H O 0.556.4% TB O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Gabriel Arias goes over 0.5 strikeouts 86.1% of the time (31-5-14)

Props — 202657 games with closing lines

Hits

57g

avg 0.6

56.4%Over: 22-17-18

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✓✓PP

H: 55.6%(18)A: 30.6%(36)

Home Runs

57g

avg 0.1

12.8%Over: 5-34-18

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✗✗PP

H: 16.7%(18)A: 5.6%(36)

RBIs

57g

avg 0.2

17.9%Over: 7-32-18

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✓✗PP

H: 16.7%(18)A: 11.1%(36)

Runs Scored

57g

avg 0.3

33.3%Over: 13-26-18

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✓✗PP

H: 44.4%(18)A: 13.9%(36)

Total Bases

57g

avg 0.8

56.4%Over: 22-17-18

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✓✓PP

H: 55.6%(18)A: 31.4%(35)

Strikeouts

56g

avg 1

82.1%Over: 32-7-17

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✓✓PP✗P✓P

H: 70.6%(17)A: 56.3%(32)

Stolen Bases

56g

avg 0.1

7.7%Over: 3-36-17

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✗✗PP

H: 11.1%(18)A: 2.9%(35)

Walks

55g

avg 0.1

17.9%Over: 7-32-16

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✓✗PP

H: 27.8%(18)A: 5.9%(34)

Doubles

53g

avg 0

8.1%Over: 3-34-16

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✓✗PP

H: 5.9%(17)A: 5.9%(34)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

53g

avg 1.1

37.8%Over: 14-23-16

0vs O 1.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✓✗PP

H: 47.1%(17)A: 18.2%(33)

Singles

53g

avg 0.5

43.2%Over: 16-21-16

0vs O 0.5

Nationals8/14

PP✗✗PP✓✓PP

H: 41.2%(17)A: 23.5%(34)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

1.9★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Arias's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	0%(0-3)	0%(0-3)
★★★★★	37.5%(3-5)	0%(0-8)	0%(0-8)
★★★★★	36%(9-16)	12%(3-22)	20%(5-20)
★★★★★	38.9%(7-11)	11.1%(2-16)	11.1%(2-16)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bryce Miller

8/23

Miller has allowed a wOBA of just .285 against bottom-tier hitters like Arias over the last 2 years.

★★★★★vs Kade Anderson

8/22

Arias has a wOBA of just .212 in his last 30 PA's.

★★★★★vs Walker Buehler

8/17

Arias is batting just .214 (12-for-56) against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Buehler over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

240-1081-534 Over1855 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Result	Odds
8/14	vsNationals	Doubles	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Hits	O 1.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Hits	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Home Runs	O 1.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Home Runs	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	RBIs	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	RBIs	O 1.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Runs Scored	O 1.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Runs Scored	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Total Bases	O 1.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Singles	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Total Bases	O 4.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Total Bases	O 2.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Total Bases	O 3.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Total Bases	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Walks	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Strikeouts	O 1.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Hits	O 2.5	P	+2600
8/14	vsNationals	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Singles	O 1.5	P	+910
8/14	vsNationals	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Strikeouts	O 2.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Strikeouts	O 0.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	P	—
8/14	vsNationals	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	P	+10000
8/14	vsNationals	Hits	O 3.5	P	+6000
8/14	vsNationals	RBIs	O 4.5	P	+6000
8/14	vsNationals	RBIs	O 2.5	P	+2200
8/14	vsNationals	RBIs	O 3.5	P	+4000
8/14	vsNationals	Runs Scored	O 2.5	P	+4500
8/14	vsNationals	Doubles	O 1.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Hits	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Home Runs	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	RBIs	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Runs Scored	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Total Bases	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Walks	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Doubles	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Hits	O 1.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Runs Scored	O 1.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	RBIs	O 1.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Singles	O 0.5	P	—
8/5	@Guardians	Strikeouts	O 2.5	P	—

New York Mets Teammates

View all

Bo Bichette Carson Benge Marcus Semien Brett Baty Francisco Alvarez A.J. Ewing Juan Soto Francisco Lindor Jared Young Luis Torrens Mark Vientos Luis Robert Jr.Tyrone Taylor Jorge Polanco MJ Melendez

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on hits 0.5?

Gabriel Arias hits the over on hits 0.5 56.4% of the time in 2026, going 22-17-18 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$314.

How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Gabriel Arias hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.8% of the time in 2026, going 5-34-18 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$396.

How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Gabriel Arias hits the over on rbis 0.5 17.9% of the time in 2026, going 7-32-18 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,137.

How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Gabriel Arias hits the over on runs scored 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 13-26-18 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$107.

How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on total bases 0.5?

Gabriel Arias hits the over on total bases 0.5 56.4% of the time in 2026, going 22-17-17 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$57.

What are Gabriel Arias's best prop bets in 2026?

Gabriel Arias's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 86.1% (31-5); Hits O 0.5 at 56.4% (22-17); Total Bases O 0.5 at 56.4% (22-17).

Stars

HitsO 0.5

Home RunsO 0.5

RBIsO 0.5

★★★★★

66.7%(2-1)

0%(0-3)

★★★★★

37.5%(3-5)

0%(0-8)

★★★★★

36%(9-16)

12%(3-22)

20%(5-20)

★★★★★

38.9%(7-11)

11.1%(2-16)

Date ↓

Opp

Market

Line

Actual

Result

Odds