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Players/MLB/New York Mets/Gabriel Arias/Home Runs
Gabriel Arias

Gabriel Arias

New York Mets•2026
.235AVG5HR11RBI13R31H4SB42G
.235AVG5HR11RBI13R31H4SB42G
86.1% SO O 0.556.4% H O 0.556.4% TB O 0.5
Season
All Gabriel Arias props

Props — 202657 games with closing lines

Home Runs

57g
avg 0.1
12.8%Over: 5-34-18
0vs O 0.5
vsNationals8/14
PP✗✗PP✗✗PP
H: 16.7%(18)A: 5.6%(36)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
25%
7%
8%
0%
Mar
0-5
Apr
2-6
Jun
1-13
Jul
2-23
Aug
0-5
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
64
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Arias's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★66.7%(2-1)0%(0-3)0%(0-3)
★★★★★37.5%(3-5)0%(0-8)0%(0-8)
★★★★★36%(9-16)12%(3-22)20%(5-20)
★★★★★38.9%(7-11)11.1%(2-16)11.1%(2-16)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bryce Miller
8/23

Miller has allowed a wOBA of just .285 against bottom-tier hitters like Arias over the last 2 years.

★★★★★vs Kade Anderson
8/22

Arias has a wOBA of just .212 in his last 30 PA's.

★★★★★vs Walker Buehler
8/17

Arias is batting just .214 (12-for-56) against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Buehler over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
5-101-41 Over54g · 147 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/14vsNationalsO 1.50P—
8/14vsNationalsO 0.50P—
8/5@GuardiansO 0.50P—
8/4vsMetsO 0.50L+650
8/4vsMetsO 1.50L+8000
8/4vsMetsO 2.50L—
8/2vsDiamondbacksO 1.50L+8800
8/2vsDiamondbacksO 0.50L+650
8/2vsDiamondbacksO 2.50L—
8/1@GuardiansO 0.50P—
7/31@GuardiansO 1.50P+6700
7/31@GuardiansO 0.50P—
7/29@RedsO 1.50L+6500
7/29@RedsO 0.50L+470
7/29@RedsO 2.50L—
7/28@RedsO 1.50P—
7/28@RedsO 0.50P—
7/28@RedsO 0.50L+470
7/28@RedsO 1.50L+5200
7/28@RedsO 2.50L—
7/27@RedsO 1.50P+6100
7/27@RedsO 0.50P+526
7/27@RedsO 2.50P+40000
7/25@RaysO 2.50L—
7/25@RaysO 1.50L+7500
7/25@RaysO 0.50L+600
7/24@RaysO 1.50L+10000
7/24@RaysO 0.50L+690
7/24@RaysO 2.50L—
7/22@GuardiansO 0.50P+600
7/22@GuardiansO 1.50P+6500
7/22@GuardiansO 2.50P—
7/21vsTwinsO 1.50L+10000
7/21vsTwinsO 0.50L+600
7/21vsTwinsO 2.50L—
7/20@GuardiansO 1.50P+10000
7/20@GuardiansO 0.50P+650
7/20@GuardiansO 2.50P—
7/19vsPiratesO 1.50L+12500
7/19vsPiratesO 0.50L+800
7/19vsPiratesO 2.50L—
7/18vsPiratesO 1.50L+7600
7/18vsPiratesO 0.50L+600
7/18vsPiratesO 2.50L—
7/18vsPiratesO 1.50L—
7/18vsPiratesO 0.50L—
7/18vsPiratesO 2.50L—
7/17@GuardiansO 1.50P+7000
7/17@GuardiansO 0.50P+600
7/17@GuardiansO 2.50P—

New York Mets Teammates

View all
Bo BichetteCarson BengeMarcus SemienBrett BatyFrancisco AlvarezA.J. EwingJuan SotoFrancisco LindorJared YoungLuis TorrensMark VientosLuis Robert Jr.Tyrone TaylorJorge PolancoMJ Melendez

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.8% of the time in 2026, going 5-34-18 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Gabriel Arias over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 57 games in 2026, betting $100 on Gabriel Arias over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$396 (+6.95% ROI). The hit rate is 12.8% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Gabriel Arias's home runs average this season?
Gabriel Arias averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 57 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Gabriel Arias 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.57 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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