Chicago Cubs62.5% H O 0.562.5% TB O 0.550% 1B O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Carson Kelly goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 65% of the time (39-21-25)
Props — 202692 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
91g37.5%Over: 24-40-27
1vs O 0.5+127
vs
Cardinals7/5
Cardinals7/5✓P✗P✗P✗✗✗✗
H: 25.5%(47)A: 23.8%(42)
Total Bases
91g62.5%Over: 40-24-27
1vs O 0.5-235
vsCardinals7/5
Cardinals7/5✓P✓P✓P✗✓✗✗
H: 44.7%(47)A: 41.5%(41)
avg 1.4
48.3%Over: 29-31-26
2vs O 1.5-115
vsCardinals7/5
Cardinals7/5✓P✗P✓P✗✗✗✗
H: 37.8%(45)A: 27.5%(40)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(4%)
Total Matchups
92Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 11.8%(2-15) | 17.6%(3-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(16-20) | 0%(0-35) | 13.9%(5-31) |
| ★★★★★ | 32.3%(10-21) | 3.2%(1-30) | 16.7%(5-25) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
7/7Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of .479 against right-handed batters who hit for high average like Kelly over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
7/5Kelly has a wOBA of just .125 in eight PA's against Liberatore.
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
7/4Kelly batted just .239 (89-for-372) when hitting at home the last 2 years.
Game Log
Bet
$
416-1530-817 Over2763 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -290 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +189 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +700 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -115 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +380 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Walks | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +163 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -115 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +300 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -195 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +187 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +127 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +900 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +150 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +1300 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +370 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +600 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1800 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Singles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +510 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1280 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -235 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1900 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +400 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -153 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Walks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +1140 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Hits | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5500 |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Doubles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vsCardinals | Runs Scored | O 3.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +115 |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -220 |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsCardinals | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on hits 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on hits 0.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 40-24-28 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$60.
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on home runs 0.5 6.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-59-28 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,990.
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on rbis 0.5 23.4% of the time in 2026, going 15-49-27 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,967.
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on runs scored 0.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 24-40-27 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$216.
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on total bases 0.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 40-24-26 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$42.
What are Carson Kelly's best prop bets in 2026?
Carson Kelly's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits O 0.5 at 62.5% (40-24); Total Bases O 0.5 at 62.5% (40-24); Singles O 0.5 at 50% (30-30).
Inside Edge