Inside Edge
Chicago Cubs69.7% HRR O 0.567.6% H O 0.567.6% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Carson Kelly goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 69.7% of the time (23-10-11)
Props — 202649 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
48g37.8%Over: 14-23-11
0vs O 0.5+185
vs
Brewers5/20
Brewers5/20✗✗✓✗P✗P✓P✗
H: 26.9%(26)A: 28.6%(21)
avg 1.2
69.7%Over: 23-10-11
0vs O 0.5-200
vsBrewers5/20
Brewers5/20✗✗✓✓P✓P✓P✗
H: 54.2%(24)A: 50%(20)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 55.6%(5-4) | 0%(0-9) | 11.1%(1-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(12-12) | 0%(0-23) | 16.7%(4-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 41.7%(5-7) | 8.3%(1-11) | 18.2%(2-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/22Kelly has a wOBA of just .244 in his last 44 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Arrighetti over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/20Kelly batted just .242 (51-for-211) when hitting at home over the last year.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/19Kelly is batting just .143 (1-7) against Misiorowski.
Game Log
Bet
$
246-790-330 Over1366 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +460 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Hits | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -143 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -200 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +300 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +119 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +1020 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Singles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +810 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Hits | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -222 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +268 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Walks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +460 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Hits | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Hits | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +300 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +273 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +195 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +230 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on hits 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on hits 0.5 67.6% of the time in 2026, going 25-12-12 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$282.
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on home runs 0.5 5.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-34-12 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,220.
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on rbis 0.5 21.6% of the time in 2026, going 8-29-11 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,365.
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on runs scored 0.5 37.8% of the time in 2026, going 14-23-11 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$181.
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on total bases 0.5 67.6% of the time in 2026, going 25-12-10 with an average actual of 1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$276.
What are Carson Kelly's best prop bets in 2026?
Carson Kelly's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 69.7% (23-10); Hits O 0.5 at 67.6% (25-12); Total Bases O 0.5 at 67.6% (25-12).