Carson Kelly

Chicago Cubs•Two-Way Player•2026

.262AVG7HR43RBI43R79H0SB91G

60.9% H O 0.560.9% TB O 0.549.4% SO O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Carson Kelly goes over 0.5 hits 60.9% of the time (56-36-40)

Props — 2026132 games with closing lines

Hits

132g

avg 0.6

60.9%Over: 56-36-40

0vs O 0.5

Mariners8/22

P✓✗✓PP✓P✗✓

H: 43.1%(65)A: 40.6%(64)

Home Runs

131g

avg 0

7.7%Over: 7-84-40

0vs O 0.5

Mariners8/22

P✗✗✗PP✗P✗✗

H: 4.7%(64)A: 6.3%(64)

RBIs

131g

avg 0.3

26.1%Over: 24-68-39

0vs O 0.5

Mariners8/22

P✗✗✗PP✗P✗✓

H: 20%(65)A: 15.9%(63)

Runs Scored

131g

avg 0.2

37%Over: 34-58-39

0vs O 0.5

Mariners8/22

P✗✗✓PP✗P✗✓

H: 23.1%(65)A: 27%(63)

Total Bases

131g

avg 0.7

60.9%Over: 56-36-39

0vs O 0.5

Mariners8/22

P✓✗✓PP✓P✗✓

H: 43.1%(65)A: 41.9%(62)

Strikeouts

127g

avg 0.5

48.9%Over: 44-46-37

0vs O 0.5-250

Mariners8/22

P✗✓✗PP✓P✓✗

H: 36.5%(63)A: 32.8%(61)

Doubles

126g

avg 0

12.5%Over: 11-77-38

0vs O 0.5

Mariners8/22

P✗✗✗PP✗P✗✗

H: 4.8%(63)A: 11.5%(61)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

126g

avg 1.1

47.7%Over: 42-46-38

0vs O 1.5

Mariners8/22

P✓✗✓PP✗P✗✓

H: 34.9%(63)A: 31.1%(61)

Singles

126g

avg 0.5

48.9%Over: 43-45-38

0vs O 0.5

Mariners8/22

P✓✗✓PP✓P✗✓

H: 39.7%(63)A: 29.5%(61)

Walks

122g

avg 0.2

31.1%Over: 28-62-32

0vs O 0.5

Mariners8/22

P✗✗✗PP✗✓✗P

H: 20.3%(59)A: 25%(60)

Stolen Bases

112g

avg 0

0%Over: 0-83-29

0vs O 0.5+1700

Mariners8/22

P✗✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 0%(57)A: 0%(53)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.1★★★★★

5-Star Games

7(5%)

Total Matchups

132

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	37.5%(3-5)	0%(0-8)	12.5%(1-7)
★★★★★	66.7%(4-2)	16.7%(1-5)	33.3%(2-4)
★★★★★	53.8%(14-12)	15.4%(4-22)	26.9%(7-19)
★★★★★	40%(20-30)	0%(0-49)	14%(7-43)
★★★★★	34.1%(14-27)	4.9%(2-39)	17.5%(7-33)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bryce Miller

8/23

Miller has allowed a wOBA of just .252 against right-handed batters who hit for high average like Kelly over the last 2 years.

★★★★★vs Kade Anderson

8/22

Kelly has a wOBA of just .250 in his last 34 PA's.

★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock

8/21

Kelly is batting just .167 (1-6) against Hancock.

Game Log

Bet

583-2367-1224 Over4174 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
8/22	@Mariners	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+10000
8/22	@Mariners	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+2100
8/22	@Mariners	RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 6.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+1100
8/22	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+288
8/22	@Mariners	Walks	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Strikeouts	O 0.5	0	P	-250
8/22	@Mariners	Singles	O 1.5	0	P	+740
8/22	@Mariners	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+1700
8/22	@Mariners	Doubles	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/22	@Mariners	Total Bases	O 5.5	0	P	—
8/21	@Mariners	Total Bases	O 0.5	2	W	—
8/21	@Mariners	Hits	O 0.5	2	W	-145
8/21	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	2	W	+140
8/21	@Mariners	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	L	+170
8/21	@Mariners	Doubles	O 0.5	0	L	+600
8/21	@Mariners	RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	+270
8/21	@Mariners	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+1000
8/21	@Mariners	Walks	O 0.5	0	L	—
8/21	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	2	W	-200
8/21	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	2	L	+650
8/21	@Mariners	Singles	O 0.5	2	W	+110
8/21	@Mariners	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	L	+1300
8/21	@Mariners	RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+950
8/21	@Mariners	Hits	O 1.5	2	W	+460
8/21	@Mariners	Strikeouts	O 1.5	1	L	—
8/21	@Mariners	Total Bases	O 3.5	2	L	+850
8/21	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	2	L	—
8/21	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	2	L	—
8/21	@Mariners	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	2	L	+290

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on hits 0.5?

Carson Kelly hits the over on hits 0.5 60.9% of the time in 2026, going 56-36-40 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$49.

How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Carson Kelly hits the over on home runs 0.5 7.7% of the time in 2026, going 7-84-40 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$3,365.

How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Carson Kelly hits the over on rbis 0.5 26.1% of the time in 2026, going 24-68-39 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,650.

How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Carson Kelly hits the over on runs scored 0.5 37% of the time in 2026, going 34-58-39 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$385.

How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on total bases 0.5?

Carson Kelly hits the over on total bases 0.5 60.9% of the time in 2026, going 56-36-38 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$182.

What are Carson Kelly's best prop bets in 2026?

Carson Kelly's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits O 0.5 at 60.9% (56-36); Total Bases O 0.5 at 60.9% (56-36); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 49.4% (44-45).

Stars

HitsO 0.5

Home RunsO 0.5

RBIsO 0.5

★★★★★

37.5%(3-5)

0%(0-8)

12.5%(1-7)

★★★★★

66.7%(4-2)

16.7%(1-5)

33.3%(2-4)

★★★★★

53.8%(14-12)

15.4%(4-22)

26.9%(7-19)

★★★★★

40%(20-30)

0%(0-49)

14%(7-43)

★★★★★

34.1%(14-27)

4.9%(2-39)

17.5%(7-33)

Date ↓

Opp

Market

Line

Actual

Result

Odds