Carson Kelly

Chicago CubsTwo-Way Player•2026

Reg0.282 / 4 HR / 30 RBI / 57 H / 0 SB / 63G

62.5% H O 0.562.5% TB O 0.550% 1B O 0.5

Season

All Carson Kelly props

Props — 202693 games with closing lines

Runs Scored

92g

avg 0.4

37.5%Over: 24-40-28

0vs O 0.5

Orioles7/7

P✓P✗P✗P✗✗✗

H: 25.5%(47)A: 23.3%(43)

SeasonalityAll lines

40%

21%

25%

20%

Mar
0-5

Apr
10-15

May
6-23

Jun
7-21

Jul
1-4

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.1★★★★★

5-Star Games

4(4%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	0%(0-4)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	50%(2-2)	25%(1-3)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	58.8%(10-7)	11.8%(2-15)	17.6%(3-14)
★★★★★	44.4%(16-20)	0%(0-35)	13.9%(5-31)
★★★★★	32.3%(10-21)	3.2%(1-30)	16.7%(5-25)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Shane Baz

7/7

Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of .479 against right-handed batters who hit for high average like Kelly over the last 2 years.

★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore

7/5

Kelly has a wOBA of just .125 in eight PA's against Liberatore.

★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy

7/4

Kelly batted just .239 (89-for-372) when hitting at home the last 2 years.

Game Log

Bet

32-154-79 Over90g · 265 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/7	@Orioles	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/7	@Orioles	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/7	@Orioles	O 2.5	0	P	—
7/7	@Orioles	O 3.5	0	P	—
7/5	vsCardinals	O 0.5	1	W	+127
7/5	vsCardinals	O 1.5	1	L	+900
7/5	vsCardinals	O 2.5	1	L	+5500
7/5	vsCardinals	O 3.5	1	L	—
7/4	vsCardinals	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/4	vsCardinals	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/4	vsCardinals	O 2.5	0	P	+4000
7/3	vsCardinals	O 0.5	0	L	+115
7/3	vsCardinals	O 2.5	0	L	+6000
7/3	vsCardinals	O 1.5	0	L	+800
7/3	vsCardinals	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/1	vsPadres	O 0.5	0	P	+100
7/1	vsPadres	O 1.5	0	P	+550
7/1	vsPadres	O 2.5	0	P	+2500
7/1	vsPadres	O 3.5	0	P	—
6/30	vsPadres	O 0.5	0	L	-125
6/30	vsPadres	O 1.5	0	L	+500
6/30	vsPadres	O 2.5	0	L	+2700
6/30	vsPadres	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/29	vsPadres	O 0.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	O 1.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	O 2.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	O 3.5	0	P	—
6/28	@Brewers	O 1.5	0	L	+1300
6/28	@Brewers	O 0.5	0	L	—
6/28	@Brewers	O 2.5	0	L	+4500
6/27	@Brewers	O 0.5	0	L	+175
6/27	@Brewers	O 1.5	0	L	+1300
6/27	@Brewers	O 2.5	0	L	+4500
6/27	@Brewers	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/26	@Brewers	O 0.5	0	L	+270
6/26	@Brewers	O 1.5	0	L	+2200
6/26	@Brewers	O 2.5	0	L	+5500
6/26	@Brewers	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/25	@Mets	O 0.5	0	L	+165
6/25	@Mets	O 1.5	0	L	+1000
6/25	@Mets	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/25	@Mets	O 2.5	0	L	+4000
6/24	@Mets	O 0.5	0	P	—
6/24	@Mets	O 1.5	0	P	—
6/24	@Mets	O 0.5	2	W	+145
6/24	@Mets	O 1.5	2	W	+1000
6/24	@Mets	O 2.5	2	L	+7000
6/24	@Mets	O 3.5	2	L	—
6/23	@Mets	O 2.5	3	W	+7500
6/23	@Mets	O 0.5	3	W	+165

Chicago Cubs Teammates

View all

Ian Happ Pete Crow-Armstrong Michael Busch Dansby Swanson Alex Bregman Nico Hoerner Seiya Suzuki Moisés Ballesteros Miguel Amaya Matt Shaw Michael Conforto Nicky Lopez Shota Imanaga Colin Rea Edward Cabrera

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Carson Kelly hits the over on runs scored 0.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 24-40-28 with an average actual of 0.3.

Is Carson Kelly over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?

Based on 92 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carson Kelly over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$216 (-2.35% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 0.3.

What is Carson Kelly's runs scored average this season?

Carson Kelly averages 0.3 runs scored per game in 2026 across 92 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.