
62.5% H O 0.562.5% TB O 0.550% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Carson Kelly propsProps — 202693 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
84g0%Over: 0-60-24
0vs O 0.5+2200
@
Orioles7/7
P✗P✗P✗P✗✗✗
H: 0%(42)A: 0%(40)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(4%)
Total Matchups
92Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 11.8%(2-15) | 17.6%(3-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(16-20) | 0%(0-35) | 13.9%(5-31) |
| ★★★★★ | 32.3%(10-21) | 3.2%(1-30) | 16.7%(5-25) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
7/7Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of .479 against right-handed batters who hit for high average like Kelly over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
7/5Kelly has a wOBA of just .125 in eight PA's against Liberatore.
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
7/4Kelly batted just .239 (89-for-372) when hitting at home the last 2 years.
Game Log
Bet
$
0-61-25 Over82g · 86 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 7/5 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 7/5 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1280 |
| 7/4 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 7/3 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 7/1 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 6/30 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 6/29 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2300 |
| 6/28 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 6/27 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/26 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/25 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/24 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/24 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +3300 |
| 6/23 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 6/22 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +3500 |
| 6/21 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 6/19 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 6/17 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1760 |
| 6/16 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +3900 |
| 6/16 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 6/15 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1700 |
| 6/14 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 6/13 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 6/12 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 6/11 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 6/10 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/9 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 6/6 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 6/5 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 6/4 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1700 |
| 6/2 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/31 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/30 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 5/29 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/27 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/26 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/25 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/24 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/23 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1700 |
| 5/22 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/20 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/19 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/18 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/17 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/16 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 5/15 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/14 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 5/13 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/12 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 0% of the time in 2026, going 0-60-24 with an average actual of 0.
Is Carson Kelly over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 84 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carson Kelly over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$5,900 (-70.24% ROI). The hit rate is 0% with an average actual of 0.
What is Carson Kelly's stolen bases average this season?
Carson Kelly averages 0 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 84 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge