Inside Edge
Chicago Cubs69.7% HRR O 0.567.6% H O 0.567.6% TB O 0.5
Season
All Carson Kelly propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
44g0%Over: 0-34-10
0vs O 0.5+2200
vs
Brewers5/20
Brewers5/20✗✗✗✗P✗P✗P✗
H: 0%(24)A: 0%(19)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 55.6%(5-4) | 0%(0-9) | 11.1%(1-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(12-12) | 0%(0-23) | 16.7%(4-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 41.7%(5-7) | 8.3%(1-11) | 18.2%(2-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/22Kelly has a wOBA of just .244 in his last 44 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Arrighetti over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/20Kelly batted just .242 (51-for-211) when hitting at home over the last year.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/19Kelly is batting just .143 (1-7) against Misiorowski.
Game Log
Bet
$
0-34-10 Over43g · 44 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/17 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 5/15 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/14 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 5/13 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 5/10 | @ Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/7 | vs Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1700 |
| 5/6 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1400 |
| 5/4 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/2 | vs Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 5/1 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/29 | @ Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1280 |
| 4/28 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/26 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/24 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/23 | vs Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/22 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 4/21 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 4/20 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 4/19 | vs Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/18 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 4/17 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/15 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1500 |
| 4/14 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/13 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/12 | vs Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1280 |
| 4/10 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 4/8 | @ Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 4/6 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/5 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/5 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 4/3 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 4/1 | vs Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 3/31 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 3/30 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 3/29 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 3/28 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 3/26 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Carson Kelly hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 0% of the time in 2026, going 0-34-10 with an average actual of 0.
Is Carson Kelly over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 44 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carson Kelly over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$3,400 (-77.27% ROI). The hit rate is 0% with an average actual of 0.
What is Carson Kelly's stolen bases average this season?
Carson Kelly averages 0 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 44 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.