Carson Kelly

Chicago CubsTwo-Way Player•2026

Reg0.282 / 4 HR / 30 RBI / 57 H / 0 SB / 63G

62.5% H O 0.562.5% TB O 0.550% 1B O 0.5

Season

All Carson Kelly props

Props — 202693 games with closing lines

Strikeouts

89g

avg 0.3

49.2%Over: 31-32-26

0vs O 0.5-140

Orioles7/7

P✓P✓P✗P✗✗✓

H: 40%(45)A: 28.6%(42)

SeasonalityAll lines

50%

36%

39%

26%

40%

Mar
2-2

Apr
9-16

May
11-17

Jun
7-20

Jul
2-3

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.1★★★★★

5-Star Games

4(4%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	0%(0-4)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	50%(2-2)	25%(1-3)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	58.8%(10-7)	11.8%(2-15)	17.6%(3-14)
★★★★★	44.4%(16-20)	0%(0-35)	13.9%(5-31)
★★★★★	32.3%(10-21)	3.2%(1-30)	16.7%(5-25)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Shane Baz

7/7

Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of .479 against right-handed batters who hit for high average like Kelly over the last 2 years.

★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore

7/5

Kelly has a wOBA of just .125 in eight PA's against Liberatore.

★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy

7/4

Kelly batted just .239 (89-for-372) when hitting at home the last 2 years.

Game Log

Bet

36-93-52 Over87g · 181 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/7	@Orioles	O 1.5	0	P	+452
7/7	@Orioles	O 0.5	0	P	-140
7/5	vsCardinals	O 1.5	1	L	+400
7/5	vsCardinals	O 0.5	1	W	-153
7/4	vsCardinals	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/4	vsCardinals	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/3	vsCardinals	O 1.5	1	L	+660
7/3	vsCardinals	O 0.5	1	W	-101
7/1	vsPadres	O 1.5	0	P	+587
7/1	vsPadres	O 0.5	0	P	-111
6/30	vsPadres	O 0.5	0	L	-123
6/30	vsPadres	O 1.5	0	L	+522
6/29	vsPadres	O 0.5	0	P	-126
6/29	vsPadres	O 1.5	0	P	+513
6/28	@Brewers	O 1.5	0	L	+183
6/28	@Brewers	O 0.5	0	L	-344
6/28	@Brewers	O 2.5	0	L	+950
6/27	@Brewers	O 1.5	0	L	+251
6/27	@Brewers	O 0.5	0	L	-241
6/26	@Brewers	O 0.5	1	W	-407
6/26	@Brewers	O 1.5	1	L	+157
6/26	@Brewers	O 2.5	1	L	+800
6/25	@Mets	O 1.5	0	L	+315
6/25	@Mets	O 0.5	0	L	-195
6/24	@Mets	O 1.5	0	P	—
6/24	@Mets	O 0.5	0	P	—
6/24	@Mets	O 1.5	0	L	+296
6/24	@Mets	O 0.5	0	L	-206
6/23	@Mets	O 1.5	0	L	+323
6/23	@Mets	O 0.5	0	L	-191
6/22	@Mets	O 1.5	0	P	+336
6/22	@Mets	O 0.5	0	P	-184
6/21	vsBlue Jays	O 1.5	0	P	+215
6/21	vsBlue Jays	O 0.5	0	P	-287
6/21	vsBlue Jays	O 2.5	0	P	+1120
6/20	vsBlue Jays	O 0.5	0	P	—
6/20	vsBlue Jays	O 1.5	0	P	—
6/19	vsBlue Jays	O 1.5	1	L	+379
6/19	vsBlue Jays	O 0.5	1	W	-164
6/17	vsRockies	O 1.5	1	L	+571
6/17	vsRockies	O 0.5	1	W	-112
6/16	vsRockies	O 1.5	0	P	+870
6/16	vsRockies	O 0.5	0	P	+122
6/15	vsRockies	O 0.5	0	P	-117
6/15	vsRockies	O 1.5	0	P	+543
6/14	@Giants	O 1.5	0	L	+455
6/14	@Giants	O 0.5	0	L	-136
6/13	@Giants	O 1.5	0	P	+426
6/13	@Giants	O 0.5	0	P	-148
6/12	@Giants	O 1.5	1	L	+480

Chicago Cubs Teammates

View all

Ian Happ Pete Crow-Armstrong Michael Busch Dansby Swanson Alex Bregman Nico Hoerner Seiya Suzuki Moisés Ballesteros Miguel Amaya Matt Shaw Michael Conforto Nicky Lopez Shota Imanaga Colin Rea Edward Cabrera

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?

Carson Kelly hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 49.2% of the time in 2026, going 31-32-26 with an average actual of 0.4.

Is Carson Kelly over 0.5 strikeouts a good bet?

Based on 89 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carson Kelly over 0.5 strikeouts at best closing odds has returned -$1,063 (-11.94% ROI). The hit rate is 49.2% with an average actual of 0.4.

What is Carson Kelly's strikeouts average this season?

Carson Kelly averages 0.4 strikeouts per game in 2026 across 89 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.