Carson Kelly

Chicago CubsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.297 / 2 HR / 17 RBI / 35 H / 0 SB / 36G

69.7% HRR O 0.567.6% H O 0.567.6% TB O 0.5

Season

All Carson Kelly props

Props — 202649 games with closing lines

Home Runs

48g

avg 0

5.6%Over: 2-34-12

0vs O 0.5+1120

Brewers5/20

✗✗✗✗P✗P✗P✗

H: 4%(25)A: 4.5%(22)

Seasonality

Mar

0%0-4

Apr

8%2-23

May

0%0-19

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(2%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	55.6%(5-4)	0%(0-9)	11.1%(1-8)
★★★★★	50%(12-12)	0%(0-23)	16.7%(4-20)
★★★★★	41.7%(5-7)	8.3%(1-11)	18.2%(2-9)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti

5/22

Kelly has a wOBA of just .244 in his last 44 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Arrighetti over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison

5/20

Kelly batted just .242 (51-for-211) when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski

5/19

Kelly is batting just .143 (1-7) against Misiorowski.

Game Log

Bet

2-72-24 Over47g · 98 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Result	Odds
5/20	vsBrewers	O 0.5	L	+1120
5/20	vsBrewers	O 1.5	L	+25000
5/19	vsBrewers	O 1.5	L	+17500
5/19	vsBrewers	O 0.5	L	+1000
5/18	vsBrewers	O 1.5	L	+7500
5/18	vsBrewers	O 0.5	L	+536
5/18	vsBrewers	O 2.5	L	+40000
5/17	@White Sox	O 0.5	L	+760
5/17	@White Sox	O 1.5	L	+10000
5/16	@White Sox	O 1.5	P	+9700
5/16	@White Sox	O 0.5	P	+720
5/15	@White Sox	O 0.5	L	+690
5/15	@White Sox	O 1.5	L	+10000
5/14	@Braves	O 1.5	P	+10000
5/14	@Braves	O 0.5	P	+860
5/13	@Braves	O 0.5	L	+710
5/13	@Braves	O 1.5	L	+8700
5/12	@Braves	O 0.5	P	+810
5/12	@Braves	O 1.5	P	+10000
5/10	@Rangers	O 0.5	L	+770
5/10	@Rangers	O 1.5	L	+10000
5/9	@Rangers	O 0.5	L	+720
5/9	@Rangers	O 1.5	L	+10000
5/8	@Rangers	O 1.5	L	+12500
5/8	@Rangers	O 0.5	L	+760
5/7	vsReds	O 1.5	P	+10000
5/7	vsReds	O 0.5	P	+730
5/6	vsReds	O 0.5	L	+920
5/6	vsReds	O 1.5	L	+12500
5/5	vsReds	O 0.5	P	+680
5/5	vsReds	O 1.5	P	+10000
5/4	vsReds	O 1.5	L	+4500
5/4	vsReds	O 0.5	L	+410
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	L	+7000
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	L	+520
5/2	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	P	+12500
5/2	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	P	+790
5/1	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	L	+1200
5/1	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	L	+20000
4/29	@Padres	O 0.5	P	+790
4/29	@Padres	O 1.5	P	+10000
4/28	@Padres	O 0.5	L	+800
4/28	@Padres	O 1.5	L	+12500
4/26	@Dodgers	O 0.5	L	+520
4/26	@Dodgers	O 1.5	L	+5500
4/25	@Dodgers	O 0.5	P	+575
4/24	@Dodgers	O 0.5	L	+570
4/24	@Dodgers	O 1.5	L	+7000
4/23	vsPhillies	O 1.5	L	+10000
4/23	vsPhillies	O 0.5	L	+630

Chicago Cubs Teammates

View all

Ian Happ Michael Busch Dansby Swanson Pete Crow-Armstrong Alex Bregman Nico Hoerner Seiya Suzuki Moisés Ballesteros Miguel Amaya Matt Shaw Michael Conforto Shota Imanaga Edward Cabrera Jameson Taillon Colin Rea

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Carson Kelly hits the over on home runs 0.5 5.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-34-12 with an average actual of 0.

Is Carson Kelly over 0.5 home runs a good bet?

Based on 48 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carson Kelly over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$2,220 (-46.25% ROI). The hit rate is 5.6% with an average actual of 0.

What is Carson Kelly's home runs average this season?

Carson Kelly averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 48 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.