Carson Kelly

Chicago CubsTwo-Way Player•2026

Reg0.282 / 4 HR / 30 RBI / 57 H / 0 SB / 63G

62.5% H O 0.562.5% TB O 0.550% 1B O 0.5

Season

All Carson Kelly props

Props — 202693 games with closing lines

Hits+Runs+RBIs

87g

avg 1.4

48.3%Over: 29-31-27

0vs O 1.5

Orioles7/7

P✓P✗P✓P✗✗✗

H: 37.8%(45)A: 26.8%(41)

SeasonalityAll lines

33%

46%

31%

29%

20%

Mar
1-2

Apr
10-12

May
9-20

Jun
8-20

Jul
1-4

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.1★★★★★

5-Star Games

4(4%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	0%(0-4)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	50%(2-2)	25%(1-3)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	58.8%(10-7)	11.8%(2-15)	17.6%(3-14)
★★★★★	44.4%(16-20)	0%(0-35)	13.9%(5-31)
★★★★★	32.3%(10-21)	3.2%(1-30)	16.7%(5-25)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Dean Kremer

7/8

Matchup data is limited but favors Kremer.

★★★★★vs Shane Baz

7/7

Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of .479 against right-handed batters who hit for high average like Kelly over the last 2 years.

★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore

7/5

Kelly has a wOBA of just .125 in eight PA's against Liberatore.

Game Log

Bet

105-207-141 Over86g · 453 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/7	@Orioles	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/7	@Orioles	O 0.5	0	P	-248
7/7	@Orioles	O 3.5	0	P	+393
7/7	@Orioles	O 4.5	0	P	+730
7/7	@Orioles	O 2.5	0	P	+207
7/7	@Orioles	O 5.5	0	P	—
7/7	@Orioles	O 6.5	0	P	—
7/5	vsCardinals	O 6.5	2	L	—
7/5	vsCardinals	O 5.5	2	L	—
7/5	vsCardinals	O 0.5	2	W	-290
7/5	vsCardinals	O 2.5	2	L	+189
7/5	vsCardinals	O 4.5	2	L	+700
7/5	vsCardinals	O 1.5	2	W	-115
7/5	vsCardinals	O 3.5	2	L	+380
7/4	vsCardinals	O 1.5	0	P	+115
7/4	vsCardinals	O 0.5	0	P	-220
7/4	vsCardinals	O 4.5	0	P	+850
7/4	vsCardinals	O 3.5	0	P	+425
7/4	vsCardinals	O 2.5	0	P	+230
7/3	vsCardinals	O 4.5	1	L	+640
7/3	vsCardinals	O 3.5	1	L	+380
7/3	vsCardinals	O 2.5	1	L	+185
7/3	vsCardinals	O 0.5	1	W	-287
7/3	vsCardinals	O 1.5	1	L	-114
7/3	vsCardinals	O 5.5	1	L	—
7/3	vsCardinals	O 6.5	1	L	—
7/1	vsPadres	O 1.5	0	P	-130
7/1	vsPadres	O 0.5	0	P	-325
7/1	vsPadres	O 3.5	0	P	+260
7/1	vsPadres	O 4.5	0	P	+450
7/1	vsPadres	O 2.5	0	P	+150
6/30	vsPadres	O 5.5	3	L	—
6/30	vsPadres	O 4.5	3	L	+350
6/30	vsPadres	O 0.5	3	W	-360
6/30	vsPadres	O 3.5	3	L	+230
6/30	vsPadres	O 2.5	3	W	+130
6/30	vsPadres	O 6.5	3	L	—
6/30	vsPadres	O 1.5	3	W	-150
6/29	vsPadres	O 1.5	0	P	-125
6/29	vsPadres	O 5.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	O 6.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	O 4.5	0	P	+506
6/29	vsPadres	O 2.5	0	P	+154
6/29	vsPadres	O 0.5	0	P	-296
6/29	vsPadres	O 3.5	0	P	+283
6/28	@Brewers	O 0.5	0	L	—
6/28	@Brewers	O 1.5	0	L	—
6/28	@Brewers	O 2.5	0	L	+278
6/28	@Brewers	O 3.5	0	L	+538
6/28	@Brewers	O 4.5	0	L	+1040

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Carson Kelly hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5?

Carson Kelly hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5 48.3% of the time in 2026, going 29-31-27 with an average actual of 1.3.

Is Carson Kelly over 1.5 hits+runs+rbis a good bet?

Based on 87 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carson Kelly over 1.5 hits+runs+rbis at best closing odds has returned +$67 (+0.77% ROI). The hit rate is 48.3% with an average actual of 1.3.

What is Carson Kelly's hits+runs+rbis average this season?

Carson Kelly averages 1.3 hits+runs+rbis per game in 2026 across 87 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.