Cleveland Guardians60.9% HRR O 0.552% H O 0.552% TB O 0.5
Season
All Gabriel Arias propsProps — 202633 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
33g32%Over: 8-17-8
0vs O 0.5
@
Twins7/7
Twins7/7✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✗
H: 43.8%(16)A: 6.3%(16)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
31Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Arias's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 38.5%(5-8) | 15.4%(2-11) | 23.1%(3-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(5-5) | 20%(2-8) | 20%(2-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Taj Bradley
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Arias.
★★★★★vs Chris Murphy
7/5Right-handed batters with high strikeout rates like Arias are batting just .111 (1-for-9) against Murphy over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
7/4Arias is batting .304 (24-for-79) against bottom tier right-handers over the last two years but is batting just .214 (3-for-14) against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Burke.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-66-20 Over32g · 94 props
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Gabriel Arias hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Gabriel Arias hits the over on runs scored 0.5 32% of the time in 2026, going 8-17-8 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Gabriel Arias over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 33 games in 2026, betting $100 on Gabriel Arias over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$2 (-0.06% ROI). The hit rate is 32% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Gabriel Arias's runs scored average this season?
Gabriel Arias averages 0.2 runs scored per game in 2026 across 33 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge