Washington Nationals64.7% ER O 2.564.3% HA O 5.557.1% K O 3.5
Season
All Trevor Williams propsProps — 202517 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
13g38.5%Over: 5-8
9vs O 15.5+130
vs
Tigers7/2
Tigers7/2✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✗✓✗
H: 42.9%(7)A: 20%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Williams's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(4-2) | 66.7%(4-2) | 16.7%(1-5) | 20%(1-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
7/2Current Tigers hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
★★★★★
7/1Current Tigers hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
★★★★★
6/24Current Padres hitters have struck out just 17.2% of the time against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
5-10 Over13g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | vsTigers | O 15.5 | 9 | L | +130 |
| 7/2 | vsTigers | O 14.5 | 9 | L | -150 |
| 6/24 | @ Padres | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +122 |
| 6/19 | vs Rockies | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -125 |
| 6/14 | vs Marlins | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -102 |
| 6/3 | vs Cubs | O 15.5 | 13 | L | +105 |
| 5/28 | @ Mariners | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +128 |
| 5/22 | vs Braves | O 15.5 | 11 | L | +136 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 15.5 | 13 | L | -118 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 16.5 | 13 | L | -115 |
| 4/28 | vs Mets | O 15.5 | 16 | W | +175 |
| 4/23 | vs Orioles | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +158 |
| 4/17 | @ Pirates | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +135 |
| 4/12 | @Marlins | O 15.5 | 14 | L | +105 |
| 4/1 | @ Blue Jays | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -155 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Trevor Williams hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Trevor Williams hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 33.3% of the time in 2025, going 4-8 with an average actual of 14.3.
Is Trevor Williams over 15.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 13 games in 2025, betting $100 on Trevor Williams over 15.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$254 (-19.54% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 14.3.
What is Trevor Williams's outs recorded average this season?
Trevor Williams averages 14.3 outs recorded per game in 2025 across 13 games. The primary line is set at 15.5.
Inside Edge