Washington Nationals64.7% ER O 2.564.3% HA O 5.557.1% K O 3.5
Season
Best Performer
Trevor Williams goes over 2.5 earned runs 64.7% of the time (11-6)
Props — 202517 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Williams's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(4-2) | 66.7%(4-2) | 16.7%(1-5) | 20%(1-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
7/2Current Tigers hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
★★★★★
7/1Current Tigers hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
★★★★★
6/24Current Padres hitters have struck out just 17.2% of the time against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
43-44 Over87 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | vs Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -155 |
| 7/2 | vsTigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -120 |
| 7/2 | vsTigers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +100 |
| 7/2 | vsTigers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
| 7/2 | vsTigers | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 9 | L | +130 |
| 7/2 | vsTigers | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 9 | L | -150 |
| 6/24 | @ Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +125 |
| 6/24 | @Padres | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -135 |
| 6/24 | @Padres | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -135 |
| 6/24 | @Padres | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +125 |
| 6/24 | @Padres | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +122 |
| 6/19 | vs Rockies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -140 |
| 6/19 | vsRockies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -145 |
| 6/19 | vsRockies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +110 |
| 6/19 | vsRockies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 6/19 | vsRockies | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -125 |
| 6/14 | vs Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -150 |
| 6/14 | vsMarlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 6/14 | vsMarlins | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 6/14 | vsMarlins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +130 |
| 6/14 | vsMarlins | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -102 |
| 6/8 | vs Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -130 |
| 6/8 | vsRangers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 6/8 | vsRangers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 6/8 | vsRangers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 6/3 | vs Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -158 |
| 6/3 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +130 |
| 6/3 | vsCubs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -125 |
| 6/3 | vsCubs | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +105 |
| 6/3 | vsCubs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 6/3 | vsCubs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 13 | L | +105 |
| 5/28 | @ Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +124 |
| 5/28 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -165 |
| 5/28 | @Mariners | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -150 |
| 5/28 | @Mariners | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +100 |
| 5/28 | @Mariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 5/28 | @Mariners | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +128 |
| 5/22 | vs Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -130 |
| 5/22 | vsBraves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -110 |
| 5/22 | vsBraves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 5/22 | vsBraves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +110 |
| 5/22 | vsBraves | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 11 | L | +136 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -158 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +135 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -150 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -130 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 13 | L | -118 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 13 | L | -115 |
| 5/10 | vs Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -134 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Trevor Williams hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Trevor Williams hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 8-6 with an average actual of 3.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$35.
How often does Trevor Williams hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Trevor Williams hits the over on earned runs 2.5 64.7% of the time in 2025, going 11-6 with an average actual of 3.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$345.
How often does Trevor Williams hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Trevor Williams hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 64.3% of the time in 2025, going 9-5 with an average actual of 6.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$474.
How often does Trevor Williams hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Trevor Williams hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 35.3% of the time in 2025, going 6-11 with an average actual of 1.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$636.
How often does Trevor Williams hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Trevor Williams hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 33.3% of the time in 2025, going 4-8 with an average actual of 14.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$319.
What are Trevor Williams's best prop bets in 2025?
Trevor Williams's highest-hitting props in 2025: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 64.7% (11-6); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 64.3% (9-5); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 57.1% (8-6).
Inside Edge