Inside Edge
Minnesota Twins63.6% K O 5.558.3% BBA O 1.557.1% ER O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Pablo Lopez goes over 5.5 pitcher ks 63.6% of the time (7-4)
Props — 202514 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(29%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lopez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/19Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.44 against the Guardians in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
★★★★★
9/12Diamondbacks hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Lopez.
★★★★★
9/5Royals hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Lopez.
Game Log
Bet
$
26-29 Over55 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/19 | vs Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +113 |
| 9/19 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +121 |
| 9/19 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -150 |
| 9/19 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -109 |
| 9/19 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -185 |
| 9/12 | vs Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 9/12 | vsDiamondbacks | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 9/12 | vsDiamondbacks | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -135 |
| 9/12 | vsDiamondbacks | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +110 |
| 9/5 | @ Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -180 |
| 9/5 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +130 |
| 9/5 | @Royals | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 9/5 | @Royals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -140 |
| 9/5 | @Royals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +135 |
| 6/3 | @ Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 6/3 | @Athletics | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 6/3 | @Athletics | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +100 |
| 6/3 | @Athletics | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +105 |
| 5/28 | @ Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -130 |
| 5/28 | @Rays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 5/28 | @Rays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -110 |
| 5/28 | @Rays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +120 |
| 5/23 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -115 |
| 5/23 | vsRoyals | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -140 |
| 5/23 | vsRoyals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 5/23 | vsRoyals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 5/17 | @ Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -145 |
| 5/17 | @Brewers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -140 |
| 5/17 | @Brewers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
| 5/17 | @Brewers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +145 |
| 5/11 | vs Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +110 |
| 5/11 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 5/11 | vsGiants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 5/11 | vsGiants | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +100 |
| 5/11 | vsGiants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +110 |
| 5/6 | vs Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 11 | W | -135 |
| 5/6 | vsOrioles | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 5/6 | vsOrioles | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 5/6 | vsOrioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +155 |
| 4/30 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +114 |
| 4/30 | @Guardians | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -160 |
| 4/30 | @Guardians | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +125 |
| 4/30 | @Guardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -130 |
| 4/25 | vs Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +108 |
| 4/25 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -160 |
| 4/25 | vsAngels | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +115 |
| 4/25 | vsAngels | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -135 |
| 4/25 | vsAngels | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +135 |
| 4/8 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +118 |
| 4/8 | @Royals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Pablo Lopez hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Pablo Lopez hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 63.6% of the time in 2025, going 7-4 with an average actual of 5.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$217.
How often does Pablo Lopez hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Pablo Lopez hits the over on earned runs 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 4-3 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$1.
How often does Pablo Lopez hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Pablo Lopez hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 28.6% of the time in 2025, going 2-5 with an average actual of 4.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$294.
How often does Pablo Lopez hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Pablo Lopez hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 58.3% of the time in 2025, going 7-5 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$317.
What are Pablo Lopez's best prop bets in 2025?
Pablo Lopez's highest-hitting props in 2025: Pitcher Ks O 5.5 at 63.6% (7-4); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 58.3% (7-5); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 57.1% (4-3).