
73.2% SO O 0.557.1% H O 0.547.6% HRR O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Willi Castro goes over 0.5 strikeouts 73.2% of the time (30-11-6)
Props — 202651 games with closing lines
avg 1.4
47.6%Over: 20-22-9
3vs O 1.5+118
@
Diamondbacks5/22
✓✗✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✗
H: 50%(24)A: 30.8%(26)
Stolen Bases
50g7.1%Over: 3-39-8
0vs O 0.5+575
@
Diamondbacks5/22
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 4.2%(24)A: 7.7%(26)
Total Bases
50g38.1%Over: 16-26-8
2vs O 1.5+165
@
Diamondbacks5/22
✓✗✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✗
H: 39.1%(23)A: 26.9%(26)
Runs Scored
49g45.2%Over: 19-23-7
1vs O 0.5+167
@
Diamondbacks5/22
✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✓✓
H: 34.8%(23)A: 42.3%(26)
Strikeouts
48g71.4%Over: 30-12-6
0vs O 0.5-281
@
Diamondbacks5/22
✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✗
H: 65.2%(23)A: 62.5%(24)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(4%)
Total Matchups
52Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Castro's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 61.5%(8-5) | 23.1%(3-10) | 7.7%(1-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 30%(3-7) | 30%(3-7) | 0%(0-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 53.3%(8-7) | 13.3%(2-13) | 6.7%(1-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 33.3%(3-6) | 0%(0-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
5/23Bottom-tier hitters like Castro are batting just .213 (90-for-422) against Gallen over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Mike Soroka
5/22Castro is batting just .204 (10-for-49) against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like Soroka over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Eduardo Rodriguez
5/21Castro is batting .308 (4-for-13) against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Rodriguez over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
270-1037-217 Over1524 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/22 | @ | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +380 |
| 5/22 | @ | Hits | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +1700 |
| 5/22 | @ | Hits | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 5/22 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +342 |
| 5/22 | @ | Hits | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +10000 |
| 5/22 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -218 |
| 5/22 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +118 |
| 5/22 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +248 |
| 5/22 | @ | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/22 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +498 |
| 5/22 | @ | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 5/22 | @ | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 5/22 | @ | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +236 |
| 5/22 | @ | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1200 |
| 5/22 | @ | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +167 |
| 5/22 | @ | Singles | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +118 |
| 5/22 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +575 |
| 5/22 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/22 | @ | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +165 |
| 5/22 | @ | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +1400 |
| 5/22 | @ | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +362 |
| 5/22 | @ | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +650 |
| 5/22 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +960 |
| 5/22 | @ | Singles | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +760 |
| 5/22 | @ | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -281 |
| 5/22 | @ | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +217 |
| 5/22 | @ | Strikeouts | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 5/22 | @ | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +196 |
| 5/22 | @ | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/22 | @ | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/22 | @ | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/22 | @ | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 5/22 | @ | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -212 |
| 5/21 | @ | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +343 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1200 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +252 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +390 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -295 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
| 5/21 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +190 |
| 5/21 | @ | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/21 | @ | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/21 | @ | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/21 | @ | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +230 |
| 5/21 | @ | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/21 | @ | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/21 | @ | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/21 | @ | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -118 |
Colorado Rockies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Willi Castro hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5?
Willi Castro hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5 47.6% of the time in 2026, going 20-22-9 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$59.
How often does Willi Castro hit the over on hits 0.5?
Willi Castro hits the over on hits 0.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 24-18-8 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$341.
How often does Willi Castro hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Willi Castro hits the over on rbis 0.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 12-30-8 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$189.
How often does Willi Castro hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Willi Castro hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 7.1% of the time in 2026, going 3-39-8 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,901.
How often does Willi Castro hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Willi Castro hits the over on home runs 0.5 4.8% of the time in 2026, going 2-40-8 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,351.
What are Willi Castro's best prop bets in 2026?
Willi Castro's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 73.2% (30-11); Hits O 0.5 at 57.1% (24-18); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 1.5 at 47.6% (20-22).

Inside Edge