
73.2% SO O 0.557.1% H O 0.547.6% HRR O 1.5
Season
All Willi Castro propsProps — 202651 games with closing lines
Home Runs
50g4.8%Over: 2-40-8
0vs O 0.5+1040
@
Diamondbacks5/22
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 4.3%(23)A: 3.8%(26)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(4%)
Total Matchups
52Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Castro's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 61.5%(8-5) | 23.1%(3-10) | 7.7%(1-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 30%(3-7) | 30%(3-7) | 0%(0-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 53.3%(8-7) | 13.3%(2-13) | 6.7%(1-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 33.3%(3-6) | 0%(0-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
5/23Bottom-tier hitters like Castro are batting just .213 (90-for-422) against Gallen over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Mike Soroka
5/22Castro is batting just .204 (10-for-49) against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like Soroka over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Eduardo Rodriguez
5/21Castro is batting .308 (4-for-13) against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Rodriguez over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-86-17 Over49g · 105 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/22 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/22 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 5/21 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/21 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/20 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 5/20 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/19 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 5/18 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/18 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1380 |
| 5/17 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +830 |
| 5/17 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/16 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8200 |
| 5/16 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 5/15 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/15 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 5/14 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/14 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/13 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/13 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/12 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1350 |
| 5/12 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/10 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +940 |
| 5/10 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/9 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +730 |
| 5/9 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/8 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/8 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1020 |
| 5/7 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/7 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 5/6 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +920 |
| 5/6 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 5/4 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +840 |
| 5/4 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/3 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 5/3 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/2 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 5/2 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/1 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/1 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/30 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 4/30 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/29 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9600 |
| 4/29 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 4/28 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +725 |
| 4/28 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 4/26 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1060 |
| 4/26 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +17500 |
| 4/26 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1040 |
| 4/26 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
Colorado Rockies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Willi Castro hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Willi Castro hits the over on home runs 0.5 4.8% of the time in 2026, going 2-40-8 with an average actual of 0.
Is Willi Castro over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Willi Castro over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$2,351 (-47.02% ROI). The hit rate is 4.8% with an average actual of 0.
What is Willi Castro's home runs average this season?
Willi Castro averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge