Minnesota Twins63.6% K O 5.558.3% BBA O 1.557.1% ER O 1.5
Season
All Pablo Lopez propsProps — 202514 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
12g33.3%Over: 4-8
12vs O 17.5-128
vs
Guardians9/19
Guardians9/19✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✓✗✓
H: 25%(4)A: 50%(2)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(29%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lopez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/19Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.44 against the Guardians in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
★★★★★
9/12Diamondbacks hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Lopez.
★★★★★
9/5Royals hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Lopez.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-10 Over12g · 14 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/19 | vsGuardians | O 17.5 | 12 | L | -128 |
| 9/12 | vs Diamondbacks | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -132 |
| 9/12 | vsDiamondbacks | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -125 |
| 9/5 | @ Royals | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -120 |
| 6/3 | @ Athletics | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -205 |
| 5/28 | @ Rays | O 18.5 | 15 | L | +146 |
| 5/23 | vsRoyals | O 18.5 | 17 | L | +145 |
| 5/17 | @ Brewers | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -165 |
| 5/11 | vs Giants | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -170 |
| 5/6 | vs Orioles | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -160 |
| 4/30 | @Guardians | O 18.5 | 19 | W | +140 |
| 4/25 | vs Angels | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +115 |
| 4/25 | vsAngels | O 16.5 | 15 | L | +165 |
| 4/8 | @Royals | O 18.5 | 14 | L | +140 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Pablo Lopez hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Pablo Lopez hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 33.3% of the time in 2025, going 2-4 with an average actual of 15.5.
Is Pablo Lopez over 17.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 12 games in 2025, betting $100 on Pablo Lopez over 17.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$457 (-38.08% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 15.5.
What is Pablo Lopez's outs recorded average this season?
Pablo Lopez averages 15.5 outs recorded per game in 2025 across 12 games. The primary line is set at 17.5.
Inside Edge