Washington Nationals63% ER O 2.560.9% HA O 5.555.6% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Mitchell Parker propsProps — 202530 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
28g46.4%Over: 13-15
15vs O 15.5+102
vs
Braves9/15
Braves9/15✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✓
H: 42.9%(7)A: 28.6%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
30Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Parker's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 80%(4-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(2-2) | 20%(1-4) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(4-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 14.3%(1-6) | 53.8%(7-6) | 61.5%(8-5) | 60%(9-6) | 37.5%(3-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/15Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Parker have an ERA of 4.40 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★
9/9Marlins hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Parker.
★★★★★
9/3Left-handed starters have an ERA of 6.16 against the Marlins in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
16-19 Over28g · 35 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/15 | vsBraves | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +102 |
| 9/9 | @ Marlins | O 15.5 | 23 | W | -106 |
| 9/3 | vsMarlins | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -120 |
| 8/29 | vs Rays | O 15.5 | 19 | W | +110 |
| 8/23 | @ Phillies | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +125 |
| 8/23 | @Phillies | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -165 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | O 15.5 | 5 | L | +100 |
| 8/12 | @ Royals | O 16.5 | 16 | L | +122 |
| 8/12 | @Royals | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -125 |
| 8/7 | vs Athletics | O 17.5 | 15 | L | +112 |
| 8/7 | vsAthletics | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -120 |
| 8/1 | vs Brewers | O 16.5 | 12 | L | -110 |
| 7/26 | @ Twins | O 15.5 | 17 | W | +100 |
| 7/26 | @Twins | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -105 |
| 7/19 | vs Padres | O 16.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
| 7/11 | @Brewers | O 16.5 | 14 | L | +108 |
| 7/5 | vs Red Sox | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -114 |
| 6/29 | @ Angels | O 16.5 | 15 | L | +100 |
| 6/29 | @Angels | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -105 |
| 6/23 | @Padres | O 16.5 | 18 | W | +114 |
| 6/7 | vs Rangers | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +120 |
| 6/1 | @ Diamondbacks | O 16.5 | 15 | L | +114 |
| 6/1 | @Diamondbacks | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -120 |
| 5/27 | @ Mariners | O 15.5 | 14 | L | +116 |
| 5/20 | vsBraves | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -125 |
| 5/14 | @Braves | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -114 |
| 5/14 | @Braves | O 17.5 | 14 | L | -105 |
| 5/9 | vs Cardinals | O 16.5 | 12 | L | -118 |
| 5/2 | @ Reds | O 17.5 | 12 | L | +122 |
| 4/27 | vs Mets | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -135 |
| 4/22 | vs Orioles | O 17.5 | 24 | W | -148 |
| 4/16 | @ Pirates | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 4/11 | @Marlins | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -135 |
| 4/5 | vsDiamondbacks | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -120 |
| 3/30 | vsPhillies | O 15.5 | 19 | W | +148 |
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Mitchell Parker hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Mitchell Parker hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 35.7% of the time in 2025, going 5-9 with an average actual of 15.4.
Is Mitchell Parker over 16.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 28 games in 2025, betting $100 on Mitchell Parker over 16.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$235 (-8.39% ROI). The hit rate is 35.7% with an average actual of 15.4.
What is Mitchell Parker's outs recorded average this season?
Mitchell Parker averages 15.4 outs recorded per game in 2025 across 28 games. The primary line is set at 16.5.
Inside Edge