Washington Nationals63% ER O 2.560.9% HA O 5.555.6% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Mitchell Parker goes over 2.5 earned runs 63% of the time (17-10)
Props — 202530 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
30Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Parker's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 80%(4-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(2-2) | 20%(1-4) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(4-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 14.3%(1-6) | 53.8%(7-6) | 61.5%(8-5) | 60%(9-6) | 37.5%(3-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/15Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Parker have an ERA of 4.40 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★
9/9Marlins hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Parker.
★★★★★
9/3Left-handed starters have an ERA of 6.16 against the Marlins in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
79-80 Over159 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/15 | vs Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 9/15 | vsBraves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -123 |
| 9/15 | vsBraves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 10 | W | -130 |
| 9/15 | vsBraves | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +102 |
| 9/9 | @ Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -118 |
| 9/9 | @Marlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -125 |
| 9/9 | @Marlins | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -135 |
| 9/9 | @Marlins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -135 |
| 9/9 | @Marlins | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 23 | W | -106 |
| 9/3 | vsMarlins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +124 |
| 9/3 | vsMarlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 9/3 | vsMarlins | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -125 |
| 9/3 | vsMarlins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 9/3 | vsMarlins | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -120 |
| 8/29 | vs Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +134 |
| 8/29 | vsRays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -160 |
| 8/29 | vsRays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -150 |
| 8/29 | vsRays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -115 |
| 8/29 | vsRays | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 19 | W | +110 |
| 8/23 | @ Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -104 |
| 8/23 | @Phillies | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 8/23 | @Phillies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -150 |
| 8/23 | @Phillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -130 |
| 8/23 | @Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +125 |
| 8/23 | @Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -165 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 0 | L | -148 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +120 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -125 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -145 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 5 | L | +100 |
| 8/12 | @ Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +130 |
| 8/12 | @Royals | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 8/12 | @Royals | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 8/12 | @Royals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -115 |
| 8/12 | @Royals | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 16 | L | +122 |
| 8/12 | @Royals | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -125 |
| 8/7 | vs Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 8/7 | vsAthletics | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 8/7 | vsAthletics | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -140 |
| 8/7 | vsAthletics | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 8/7 | vsAthletics | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 15 | L | +112 |
| 8/7 | vsAthletics | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -120 |
| 8/1 | vs Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
| 8/1 | vsBrewers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -140 |
| 8/1 | vsBrewers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 12 | W | -110 |
| 8/1 | vsBrewers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 8/1 | vsBrewers | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 12 | L | -110 |
| 7/26 | @ Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -120 |
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Mitchell Parker hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Mitchell Parker hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 26.7% of the time in 2025, going 4-11 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$728.
How often does Mitchell Parker hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Mitchell Parker hits the over on earned runs 2.5 63% of the time in 2025, going 17-10 with an average actual of 3.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$433.
How often does Mitchell Parker hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Mitchell Parker hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 60.9% of the time in 2025, going 14-9 with an average actual of 5.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$328.
How often does Mitchell Parker hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Mitchell Parker hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 55.6% of the time in 2025, going 15-12 with an average actual of 1.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$41.
How often does Mitchell Parker hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Mitchell Parker hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 35.7% of the time in 2025, going 5-9 with an average actual of 15.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$420.
What are Mitchell Parker's best prop bets in 2025?
Mitchell Parker's highest-hitting props in 2025: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 63% (17-10); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 60.9% (14-9); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 55.6% (15-12).
Inside Edge