Inside Edge
Washington Nationals63% ER O 2.560.9% HA O 5.555.6% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Mitchell Parker propsProps — 202530 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
30g63.3%Over: 19-11
6vs O 2.5-123
vs
Braves9/15
Braves9/15✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✗
H: 58.8%(17)A: 70%(10)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
30Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Parker's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 80%(4-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(2-2) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(4-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 14.3%(1-6) | 53.8%(7-6) | 61.5%(8-5) | 60%(9-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/15Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Parker have an ERA of 4.40 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★
9/9Marlins hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Parker.
★★★★★
9/3Left-handed starters have an ERA of 6.16 against the Marlins in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
20-12 Over30g · 32 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/15 | vsBraves | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -123 |
| 9/9 | @ Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -125 |
| 9/3 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 8/29 | vs Rays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -160 |
| 8/23 | @ Phillies | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +120 |
| 8/17 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 8/12 | @ Royals | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 8/7 | vs Athletics | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 8/1 | vs Brewers | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -140 |
| 7/26 | @ Twins | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 7/26 | @Twins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -165 |
| 7/19 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -150 |
| 7/11 | @Brewers | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -160 |
| 7/5 | vs Red Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 6/29 | @ Angels | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -130 |
| 6/23 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -105 |
| 6/18 | vs Rockies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 6/13 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -125 |
| 6/7 | vs Rangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -140 |
| 6/1 | @ Diamondbacks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 5/27 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +100 |
| 5/20 | vsBraves | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -120 |
| 5/14 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -135 |
| 5/9 | vs Cardinals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 5/2 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 4/27 | vs Mets | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +110 |
| 4/22 | vs Orioles | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 4/16 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
| 4/11 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +130 |
| 4/5 | vsDiamondbacks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 3/30 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Mitchell Parker hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Mitchell Parker hits the over on earned runs 2.5 63% of the time in 2025, going 17-10 with an average actual of 3.3.
Is Mitchell Parker over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 30 games in 2025, betting $100 on Mitchell Parker over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$549 (+18.3% ROI). The hit rate is 63% with an average actual of 3.3.
What is Mitchell Parker's earned runs average this season?
Mitchell Parker averages 3.3 earned runs per game in 2025 across 30 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.