Inside Edge
Detroit Tigers66.7% OUT O 16.550% K O 4.537.5% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Casey Mize goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (7-0)
Props — 20268 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(13%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mize's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
5/21Guardians hitters have a 1 star average matchup against Mize.
★★★★★vs Mason Fluharty
5/16Current Blue Jays hitters have struck out 17% of the time against pitchers similar to Mize over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Martin Perez
4/28Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.16 against the Braves in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
45-48 Over93 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | vs Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -700 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +200 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -104 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -250 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +430 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 20 | W | -120 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +840 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -3800 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -141 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +1660 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +113 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -195 |
| 5/16 | vs Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -158 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +146 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +700 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -409 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +326 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -161 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -123 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -1540 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +1400 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +102 |
| 5/16 | vsBlue Jays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +143 |
| 4/28 | @ Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -109 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -700 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -248 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +196 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +410 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +870 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1760 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -117 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +105 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 7 | L | -107 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -3200 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 4/22 | vs Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -159 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -1120 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -370 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +134 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +274 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +555 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +1120 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -125 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -122 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -135 |
| 4/17 | @ Red Sox | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 20 | W | -114 |
| 4/17 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -152 |
| 4/17 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -1040 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 4-4 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$28.
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on earned runs 2.5 20% of the time in 2026, going 1-4 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$276.
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 4.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$336.
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$259.
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-2 with an average actual of 15.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$129.
What are Casey Mize's best prop bets in 2026?
Casey Mize's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 16.5 at 66.7% (4-2); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 50% (4-4); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 37.5% (3-5).