Detroit Tigers77.8% OUT O 16.553.8% K O 4.541.7% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer
Casey Mize goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (12-0-1)
Props — 202614 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(15%)
Total Matchups
13Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mize's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker
7/5Rangers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Mize.
★★★★★vs Ryan Weathers
6/29Yankees hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Mize.
★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón
6/23Current Yankees hitters have struck out 23.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Mize over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Yankees.
Game Log
Bet
$
83-85-10 Over178 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @ Rangers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -105 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -124 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -173 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +1160 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +285 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +600 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -419 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | — |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +132 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -1280 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 20 | W | — |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 4 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -178 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +112 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 4 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +130 |
| 6/29 | @ Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 10 | W | -450 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 10 | W | +220 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 10 | W | -200 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 10 | W | -1200 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 10 | W | +430 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 10 | W | +104 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 10 | W | +810 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 10 | W | — |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -106 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 10 | W | +1640 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -101 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 10 | L | — |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +410 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -450 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +210 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -1400 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -200 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 6 | W | — |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | +1620 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +820 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -118 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 17 | W | -114 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +102 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 6 | L | — |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -105 |
| 6/17 | @ Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +260 |
| 6/17 | @Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +118 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6-1 with an average actual of 5.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$83.
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on earned runs 2.5 22.2% of the time in 2026, going 2-7 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$351.
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 41.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-7 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$151.
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 30.8% of the time in 2026, going 4-9-1 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$547.
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 77.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-2 with an average actual of 17. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$319.
What are Casey Mize's best prop bets in 2026?
Casey Mize's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 16.5 at 77.8% (7-2); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 53.8% (7-6); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 41.7% (5-7).
Inside Edge