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Players/MLB/San Diego Padres/Manny Machado
Manny Machado

Manny Machado

San Diego Padres•2026
.216AVG24HR72RBI65R102H2SB127G
.216AVG24HR72RBI65R102H2SB127G
66.7% SO O 0.554.3% H O 0.544.9% R O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Manny Machado goes over 0.5 strikeouts 66.7% of the time (84-42-2)

Props — 2026130 games with closing lines

Hits

130g
avg 1
54.3%Over: 69-58-3
0vs O 0.5-181
vsTwins8/22
✗✓✗✓✓✗✗✓✗✓
H: 53.8%(65)A: 52.3%(65)

Home Runs

130g
avg 0.1
17.3%Over: 22-105-3
0vs O 0.5+475
vsTwins8/22
✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 13.8%(65)A: 20%(65)

RBIs

130g
avg 0.5
34.6%Over: 44-83-3
0vs O 0.5+188
vsTwins8/22
✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 35.4%(65)A: 32.3%(65)

Runs Scored

130g
avg 0.6
44.9%Over: 57-70-3
1vs O 0.5+131
vsTwins8/22
✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 41.5%(65)A: 46.2%(65)

Total Bases

130g
avg 1.6
35.4%Over: 45-82-3
0vs O 1.5+145
vsTwins8/22
✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 33.8%(65)A: 35.9%(64)

Stolen Bases

130g
avg 0
1.6%Over: 2-125-3
0vs O 0.5+2400
vsTwins8/22
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 1.5%(65)A: 1.5%(65)

Strikeouts

129g
avg 1
66.9%Over: 85-42-2
1vs O 0.5-179
vsTwins8/22
✓✗✓✓✗✓✓✗✗✗
H: 62.5%(64)A: 68.8%(64)

Walks

129g
avg 0.4
37.8%Over: 48-79-2
2vs O 0.5+192
vsTwins8/22
✓✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 35.9%(64)A: 38.5%(65)

Doubles

129g
avg 0.1
14.2%Over: 18-109-2
0vs O 0.5+425
vsTwins8/22
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 13.8%(65)A: 14.1%(64)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

129g
avg 2.1
31.5%Over: 40-87-2
1vs O 2.5+197
vsTwins8/22
✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 29.2%(65)A: 32.8%(64)

Singles

129g
avg 0.8
33.9%Over: 43-84-2
0vs O 0.5+123
vsTwins8/22
✗✓✗✓✓✗✗✓✗✓
H: 35.4%(65)A: 31.3%(64)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
56(43%)
Total Matchups
130
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Machado's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★50%(28-28)10.7%(6-50)28.6%(16-40)
★★★★★62.5%(15-9)16.7%(4-20)33.3%(8-16)
★★★★★46.2%(12-14)15.4%(4-22)34.6%(9-17)
★★★★★50%(6-6)33.3%(4-8)50%(6-6)
★★★★★63.6%(7-4)36.4%(4-7)45.5%(5-6)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bailey Ober
8/23

Machado is slugging .525 in his last 113 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Ober over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Dean Kremer
8/22

Machado is batting .400 over the last 5 days.

★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
8/21

Machado is batting just .162 (6-for-37) against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Prielipp over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
926-3541-70 Over4537 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/22vsTwinsDoublesO 0.50L+425
8/22vsTwinsHitsO 0.50L-181
8/22vsTwinsHitsO 1.50L+333
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.51W-238
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.51L+103
8/22vsTwinsHome RunsO 1.50L+6100
8/22vsTwinsHome RunsO 0.50L+475
8/22vsTwinsRBIsO 1.50L+531
8/22vsTwinsRBIsO 0.50L+188
8/22vsTwinsRuns ScoredO 0.51W+131
8/22vsTwinsSinglesO 0.50L+123
8/22vsTwinsRuns ScoredO 1.51L+950
8/22vsTwinsStolen BasesO 0.50L+2400
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 3.50L+389
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 4.50L+890
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 1.50L+145
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 2.50L+288
8/22vsTwinsHitsO 2.50L+1840
8/22vsTwinsRBIsO 2.50L+1200
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 6.50L—
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 5.50L—
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 0.50L-220
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.51L—
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.51L—
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.51L+197
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.51L+374
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.51L+720
8/22vsTwinsWalksO 0.52W+192
8/22vsTwinsStrikeoutsO 1.51L+354
8/22vsTwinsRBIsO 3.50L+3300
8/22vsTwinsWalksO 1.52W+930
8/22vsTwinsStrikeoutsO 0.51W-179
8/22vsTwinsSinglesO 1.50L+810
8/22vsTwinsRuns ScoredO 2.51L+4500
8/22vsTwinsDoublesO 1.50L—
8/22vsTwinsHome RunsO 2.50L—
8/22vsTwinsHitsO 3.50L+8000
8/22vsTwinsRBIsO 4.50L+4500
8/21vsTwinsDoublesO 0.50L+425
8/21vsTwinsHitsO 0.52W-200
8/21vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.54W-115
8/21vsTwinsHome RunsO 0.50L+450
8/21vsTwinsRuns ScoredO 0.51W+114
8/21vsTwinsRBIsO 0.51W+164
8/21vsTwinsStrikeoutsO 0.50L-257
8/21vsTwinsSinglesO 0.52W+115
8/21vsTwinsTotal BasesO 1.52W+130
8/21vsTwinsWalksO 0.50L+170
8/21vsTwinsHitsO 2.52L+1500
8/21vsTwinsHitsO 1.52W+280

San Diego Padres Teammates

View all
Fernando Tatis Jr.Jackson MerrillXander BogaertsGavin SheetsTy FranceLuis RengifoFreddy FerminJake CronenworthMiguel AndujarLuis CampusanoSung-Mun SongNick CastellanosSamad TaylorJase BowenBryce Johnson

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Manny Machado hit the over on hits 0.5?
Manny Machado hits the over on hits 0.5 54.3% of the time in 2026, going 69-58-3 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,385.
How often does Manny Machado hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Manny Machado hits the over on home runs 0.5 17.3% of the time in 2026, going 22-105-3 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$634.
How often does Manny Machado hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Manny Machado hits the over on rbis 0.5 34.6% of the time in 2026, going 44-83-3 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,276.
How often does Manny Machado hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Manny Machado hits the over on runs scored 0.5 44.9% of the time in 2026, going 57-70-3 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$123.
How often does Manny Machado hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Manny Machado hits the over on total bases 1.5 35.7% of the time in 2026, going 45-81-3 with an average actual of 1.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,065.
What are Manny Machado's best prop bets in 2026?
Manny Machado's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 66.7% (84-42); Hits O 0.5 at 54.3% (69-58); Runs Scored O 0.5 at 44.9% (57-70).

Manny Machado 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.130 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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