Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

San Diego PadresPosition Player2026
Reg0.282 / 5 HR / 34 RBI / 98 H / 21 SB / 89G
78.7% HRR O 0.570.8% H O 0.559.6% 1B O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Fernando Tatis Jr. goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 78.7% of the time (70-19-1)

Props — 202690 games with closing lines

Hits

90g
avg 1.2
70.8%Over: 63-26-1
0vs O 0.5-285
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 73.3%(45)A: 66.7%(45)
avg 0.1
4.5%Over: 4-85-1
0vs O 0.5+450
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 4.4%(45)A: 4.4%(45)

RBIs

90g
avg 0.5
29.2%Over: 26-63-1
0vs O 0.5+185
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 33.3%(45)A: 24.4%(45)
avg 0.6
38.2%Over: 34-55-1
0vs O 0.5-107
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 24.4%(45)A: 51.1%(45)
avg 0.8
59.6%Over: 53-36-1
1vs O 0.5-146
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 55.6%(45)A: 61.4%(44)
avg 2
38.2%Over: 34-55-1
0vs O 1.5+109
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 35.6%(45)A: 38.6%(44)
avg 0.3
33.7%Over: 30-59-1
0vs O 0.5+195
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 37.8%(45)A: 28.9%(45)
avg 0.2
23.6%Over: 21-68-1
0vs O 0.5+390
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 26.7%(45)A: 20%(45)
avg 0.4
19.1%Over: 17-72-1
0vs O 0.5+414
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 15.6%(45)A: 22.2%(45)
avg 2.4
78.7%Over: 70-19-1
0vs O 0.5-375
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 80%(45)A: 75.6%(45)
avg 0.7
59.6%Over: 53-36-1
0vs O 0.5-144
vsDiamondbacks7/6
H: 66.7%(45)A: 51.1%(45)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.9
5-Star Games
45(50%)
Total Matchups
90
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Jr.'s prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
65.9%(29-15)0%(0-44)27.3%(12-32)
76.9%(10-3)0%(0-13)30.8%(4-9)
68.4%(13-6)10.5%(2-17)36.8%(7-12)
71.4%(5-2)14.3%(1-6)14.3%(1-6)
83.3%(5-1)16.7%(1-5)33.3%(2-4)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Zac Gallen
7/7

Tatis Jr. is slugging .615 with 4 extra base hits in 26 AB's against Gallen.

vs Brandon Pfaadt
7/6

Tatis Jr. performs at high rates in several matchup categories today.

vs Emmet Sheehan
7/5

Matchup data is limited but favors Tatis Jr..

Game Log

Bet
$
697-2374-33 Over3104 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/6vsDiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L
7/6vsDiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+280
7/6vsDiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L-144
7/6vsDiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+518
7/6vsDiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-375
7/6vsDiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+143
7/6vsDiamondbacksHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.50L
7/6vsDiamondbacksWalksO 0.50L+195
7/6vsDiamondbacksDoublesO 0.50L+414
7/6vsDiamondbacksHitsO 0.50L-285
7/6vsDiamondbacksHitsO 1.50L+187
7/6vsDiamondbacksHome RunsO 1.50L+5000
7/6vsDiamondbacksHome RunsO 0.50L+450
7/6vsDiamondbacksRBIsO 0.50L+185
7/6vsDiamondbacksRBIsO 1.50L+600
7/6vsDiamondbacksRuns ScoredO 0.50L-107
7/6vsDiamondbacksSinglesO 0.50L-144
7/6vsDiamondbacksRuns ScoredO 1.50L+550
7/6vsDiamondbacksTotal BasesO 4.50L+650
7/6vsDiamondbacksTotal BasesO 2.50L+229
7/6vsDiamondbacksTotal BasesO 3.50L+333
7/6vsDiamondbacksTotal BasesO 1.50L+109
7/6vsDiamondbacksHitsO 2.50L+890
7/6vsDiamondbacksRBIsO 2.50L+1700
7/6vsDiamondbacksTotal BasesO 0.50L-295
7/6vsDiamondbacksTotal BasesO 5.50L+1240
7/6vsDiamondbacksHitsO 3.50L+5500
7/6vsDiamondbacksSinglesO 1.50L+386
7/6vsDiamondbacksHome RunsO 2.50L
7/6vsDiamondbacksStolen BasesO 1.50L+2700
7/6vsDiamondbacksStolen BasesO 0.50L+390
7/6vsDiamondbacksStrikeoutsO 0.51W-146
7/6vsDiamondbacksStrikeoutsO 1.51L+410
7/6vsDiamondbacksRBIsO 3.50L+5000
7/6vsDiamondbacksRBIsO 4.50L+5500
7/6vsDiamondbacksRuns ScoredO 2.50L+3000
7/6vsDiamondbacksRuns ScoredO 3.50L
7/6vsDiamondbacksDoublesO 1.50L
7/5@DodgersDoublesO 0.51W+365
7/5@DodgersHitsO 0.53W-235
7/5@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.55W-304
7/5@DodgersHitsO 1.53W+218
7/5@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.55W-121
7/5@DodgersHome RunsO 0.50L+360
7/5@DodgersHome RunsO 1.50L+3400
7/5@DodgersRBIsO 0.51W+182
7/5@DodgersRBIsO 1.51L+562
7/5@DodgersRuns ScoredO 1.51L+600
7/5@DodgersRuns ScoredO 0.51W+100
7/5@DodgersSinglesO 0.52W-104

San Diego Padres Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Fernando Tatis Jr. hit the over on hits 0.5?
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits the over on hits 0.5 70.8% of the time in 2026, going 63-26-1 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$156.
How often does Fernando Tatis Jr. hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits the over on home runs 0.5 4.5% of the time in 2026, going 4-85-1 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$6,280.
How often does Fernando Tatis Jr. hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits the over on rbis 0.5 29.2% of the time in 2026, going 26-63-1 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,256.
How often does Fernando Tatis Jr. hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits the over on runs scored 0.5 38.2% of the time in 2026, going 34-55-1 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,765.
How often does Fernando Tatis Jr. hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 59.1% of the time in 2026, going 52-36-1 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,201.
What are Fernando Tatis Jr.'s best prop bets in 2026?
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 78.7% (70-19); Hits O 0.5 at 70.8% (63-26); Singles O 0.5 at 59.6% (53-36).

Fernando Tatis Jr. 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.90 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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