
72.9% HRR O 0.568.1% SO O 0.566.7% H O 0.5
Season
All Fernando Tatis Jr. propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
49g33.3%Over: 16-32-1
0vs O 0.5+150
vs
Dodgers5/20
✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 23.1%(26)A: 43.5%(23)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
30(61%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jr.'s prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 60%(18-12) | 0%(0-30) | 26.7%(8-22) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 0%(0-6) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(6-4) | 0%(0-10) | 20%(2-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs
5/22Springs has allowed a slugging percentage of .509 against hitters like Tatis Jr. over the last two years, but Tatis Jr. is batting just .200 (19-for-95) against left-handers with high flyball rates over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
5/20Tatis Jr. has a wOBA of just .192 over his last 5 games in 22 PA's.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
5/19Tatis Jr. has an OPS of .834 against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last two years but is batting just .095 (2-for-21) over his last 5 games.
Game Log
Bet
$
17-120-3 Over49g · 140 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Fernando Tatis Jr. hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits the over on runs scored 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 16-32-1 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Fernando Tatis Jr. over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 49 games in 2026, betting $100 on Fernando Tatis Jr. over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$1,404 (-28.65% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Fernando Tatis Jr.'s runs scored average this season?
Fernando Tatis Jr. averages 0.3 runs scored per game in 2026 across 49 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge