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Players/MLB/San Diego Padres/Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin

Freddy Fermin

San Diego Padres•2026
.193AVG4HR16RBI19R38H0SB66G
.193AVG4HR16RBI19R38H0SB66G
54.4% HRR O 0.551.5% SO O 0.547.1% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Freddy Fermin goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 54.4% of the time (37-31-27)

Props — 202697 games with closing lines

Hits

97g
avg 0.7
46.4%Over: 32-37-28
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✓✗✓P✓✗P✗✓
H: 26.5%(49)A: 39.6%(48)

RBIs

97g
avg 0.2
14.5%Over: 10-59-28
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✗✗✗P✗✗P✗✗
H: 10.2%(49)A: 10.4%(48)

Runs Scored

97g
avg 0.2
25%Over: 17-51-29
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✓✗✗P✗✗P✗✗
H: 22.4%(49)A: 12.5%(48)

Total Bases

97g
avg 0.9
47.1%Over: 32-36-29
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✓✗✓P✓✗P✗✓
H: 27.7%(47)A: 43.2%(44)

Home Runs

96g
avg 0
5.9%Over: 4-64-28
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✗✗✗P✗✗P✗✗
H: 8.2%(49)A: 0%(47)

Doubles

95g
avg 0.2
16.2%Over: 11-57-27
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✗✗✗P✗✗P✗✓
H: 6.1%(49)A: 17.4%(46)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

95g
avg 1
54.4%Over: 37-31-27
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✓✗✓P✓✗P✗✓
H: 32.7%(49)A: 45.7%(46)

Singles

95g
avg 0.5
32.8%Over: 22-45-28
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✓✗✓P✓✗P✗✗
H: 18.4%(49)A: 28.3%(46)

Strikeouts

90g
avg 0.5
51.5%Over: 35-33-22
0vs O 0.5-104
vsTwins8/23
P✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✗
H: 36.2%(47)A: 41.9%(43)

Walks

78g
avg 0.2
21.9%Over: 14-50-14
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 21.4%(42)A: 13.9%(36)

Stolen Bases

61g
avg 0
0%Over: 0-50-11
0vs O 0.5
vsTwins8/23
P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(29)A: 0%(32)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
112
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Fermin's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★62.5%(5-3)25%(2-6)0%(0-8)
★★★★★40%(4-6)0%(0-10)0%(0-10)
★★★★★37.2%(16-27)14%(6-37)4.8%(2-40)
★★★★★20%(7-28)5.7%(2-33)5.7%(2-33)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bailey Ober
8/23

Fermin has a Well-Hit Rate of just 11.1% in 36 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Ober over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.

★★★★★vs Dean Kremer
8/22

Fermin does not have a well hit ball in 7 AB's over the last 5 days.

★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
8/21

Right-handed batters with low well-hit rates like Fermin are hitless in 14 AB's against Prielipp over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
302-1801-764 Over2867 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/23vsTwinsDoublesO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsHitsO 1.50P—
8/23vsTwinsHitsO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50P—
8/23vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsHome RunsO 1.50P+12500
8/23vsTwinsRBIsO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsHome RunsO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsRBIsO 1.50P—
8/23vsTwinsRuns ScoredO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsRuns ScoredO 1.50P—
8/23vsTwinsSinglesO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsTotal BasesO 3.50P—
8/23vsTwinsTotal BasesO 2.50P—
8/23vsTwinsTotal BasesO 4.50P—
8/23vsTwinsTotal BasesO 1.50P—
8/23vsTwinsRBIsO 2.50P—
8/23vsTwinsHitsO 2.50P—
8/23vsTwinsTotal BasesO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50P—
8/23vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50P—
8/23vsTwinsSinglesO 1.50P+790
8/23vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50P—
8/23vsTwinsStolen BasesO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsStrikeoutsO 1.50P—
8/23vsTwinsWalksO 0.50P—
8/23vsTwinsStrikeoutsO 0.50P-104
8/22vsTwinsDoublesO 0.50L+550
8/22vsTwinsHitsO 1.51L+430
8/22vsTwinsHitsO 0.51W-142
8/22vsTwinsHitsO 2.51L+3000
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.52W-155
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.52W+128
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.52L+550
8/22vsTwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.52L+270
8/22vsTwinsHome RunsO 0.50L+910
8/22vsTwinsHome RunsO 1.50L+12500
8/22vsTwinsRBIsO 3.50L+5500
8/22vsTwinsRBIsO 2.50L+2200
8/22vsTwinsRBIsO 1.50L+800
8/22vsTwinsRBIsO 0.50L+254
8/22vsTwinsRuns ScoredO 2.51L+8000
8/22vsTwinsRuns ScoredO 0.51W+174
8/22vsTwinsRuns ScoredO 1.51L+1300
8/22vsTwinsSinglesO 0.51W+114
8/22vsTwinsStolen BasesO 0.50L+3500
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 3.51L+750
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 4.51L+1700
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 2.51L+477
8/22vsTwinsTotal BasesO 1.51L+216

San Diego Padres Teammates

View all
Fernando Tatis Jr.Jackson MerrillManny MachadoXander BogaertsGavin SheetsTy FranceLuis RengifoJake CronenworthMiguel AndujarLuis CampusanoSung-Mun SongNick CastellanosSamad TaylorJase BowenBryce Johnson

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Freddy Fermin hit the over on hits 0.5?
Freddy Fermin hits the over on hits 0.5 46.4% of the time in 2026, going 32-37-28 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,460.
How often does Freddy Fermin hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Freddy Fermin hits the over on rbis 0.5 14.5% of the time in 2026, going 10-59-28 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$3,412.
How often does Freddy Fermin hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Freddy Fermin hits the over on runs scored 0.5 25% of the time in 2026, going 17-51-29 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,850.
How often does Freddy Fermin hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Freddy Fermin hits the over on total bases 0.5 47.1% of the time in 2026, going 32-36-23 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,461.
How often does Freddy Fermin hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Freddy Fermin hits the over on home runs 0.5 5.9% of the time in 2026, going 4-64-28 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,090.
What are Freddy Fermin's best prop bets in 2026?
Freddy Fermin's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 54.4% (37-31); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 51.5% (35-33); Total Bases O 0.5 at 47.1% (32-36).

Freddy Fermin 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.97 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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