San Diego Padres54% SO O 0.546% HRR O 0.536% TB O 0.5
Season
All Freddy Fermin propsProps — 202672 games with closing lines
Home Runs
71g6%Over: 3-47-21
0vs O 0.5+900
@
Dodgers7/3
Dodgers7/3P✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗P
H: 7.7%(39)A: 0%(32)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
78Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Fermin's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(10-20) | 13.3%(4-26) | 3.4%(1-28) |
| ★★★★★ | 10.3%(3-26) | 6.9%(2-27) | 6.9%(2-27) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
7/3Fermin is batting just .184 (7-for-38) against top tier right-handers like Ohtani over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Roki Sasaki
7/2Fermin is batting just .143 in his last 14 AB's.
★★★★★vs Colin Rea
7/1Fermin is batting just .180 (16-for-89) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Rea over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-107-42 Over71g · 152 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6000 |
| 7/3 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +900 |
| 7/2 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/2 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +825 |
| 7/2 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/1 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/1 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 7/1 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/30 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 6/30 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +577 |
| 6/30 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/29 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 6/29 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 6/29 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/28 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 6/28 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 6/28 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/27 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 6/27 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/27 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +20000 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/24 | vs Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 6/24 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/24 | vsBraves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/14 | @ Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +850 |
| 6/14 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 6/13 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/13 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 6/12 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/12 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1020 |
| 6/10 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +5500 |
| 6/10 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +800 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 6/8 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +960 |
| 6/8 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +17500 |
| 6/7 | vs Mets | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +17500 |
| 6/7 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1120 |
| 6/6 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +35000 |
| 6/6 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1300 |
| 6/5 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1200 |
| 6/5 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +22500 |
| 6/4 | @ Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1260 |
| 6/3 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1300 |
| 6/3 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +35000 |
| 6/2 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 6/2 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Freddy Fermin hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Freddy Fermin hits the over on home runs 0.5 6% of the time in 2026, going 3-47-21 with an average actual of 0.
Is Freddy Fermin over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 71 games in 2026, betting $100 on Freddy Fermin over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,320 (-18.59% ROI). The hit rate is 6% with an average actual of 0.
What is Freddy Fermin's home runs average this season?
Freddy Fermin averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 71 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge