San Diego Padres54% SO O 0.546% HRR O 0.536% TB O 0.5
Season
All Freddy Fermin propsProps — 202672 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
72g26%Over: 13-37-22
0vs O 0.5+240
@
Dodgers7/3
Dodgers7/3P✗✗✓✗✗✗P✗P
H: 20.5%(39)A: 15.2%(33)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
78Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Fermin's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(10-20) | 13.3%(4-26) | 3.4%(1-28) |
| ★★★★★ | 10.3%(3-26) | 6.9%(2-27) | 6.9%(2-27) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
7/3Fermin is batting just .184 (7-for-38) against top tier right-handers like Ohtani over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Roki Sasaki
7/2Fermin is batting just .143 in his last 14 AB's.
★★★★★vs Colin Rea
7/1Fermin is batting just .180 (16-for-89) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Rea over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
15-123-60 Over72g · 198 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +240 |
| 7/3 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1650 |
| 7/3 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +5500 |
| 7/2 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 7/2 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 7/2 | @Dodgers | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/2 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/1 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 7/1 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 7/1 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 7/1 | @Cubs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/30 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +950 |
| 6/30 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +151 |
| 6/30 | @Cubs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/30 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 6/29 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +137 |
| 6/29 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 6/29 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 6/29 | @Cubs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/28 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +230 |
| 6/28 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 6/28 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 6/27 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +269 |
| 6/27 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 6/27 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 6/27 | vsDodgers | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +230 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +5500 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 3.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/24 | vs Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 6/24 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 6/24 | vsBraves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 6/24 | vsBraves | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/14 | @ Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +155 |
| 6/14 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +900 |
| 6/14 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +3500 |
| 6/13 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 6/13 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 6/13 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 6/12 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 6/12 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/12 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/10 | vs Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +165 |
| 6/10 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +4500 |
| 6/10 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +249 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 6/8 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1400 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Freddy Fermin hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Freddy Fermin hits the over on runs scored 0.5 26% of the time in 2026, going 13-37-22 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Freddy Fermin over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 72 games in 2026, betting $100 on Freddy Fermin over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$1,247 (-17.32% ROI). The hit rate is 26% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Freddy Fermin's runs scored average this season?
Freddy Fermin averages 0.2 runs scored per game in 2026 across 72 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge