Inside Edge
San Diego Padres60% SO O 0.553.3% HRR O 0.540% TB O 0.5
Season
All Freddy Fermin propsProps — 202643 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
43g30%Over: 9-21-13
0vs O 0.5+280
vs
Dodgers5/20
Dodgers5/20✗✗P✗✗✗P✗P✓
H: 21.7%(23)A: 20%(20)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Fermin's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.8%(7-12) | 10.5%(2-17) | 0%(0-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 7.7%(1-12) | 0%(0-13) | 0%(0-13) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs
5/22Fermin is batting just .148 in his last 27 AB's.
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
5/20Right-handed batters with low well-hit rates like Fermin have a Well-Hit Rate of just 6.2% against Ohtani over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
5/19Fermin does not have a well hit ball in 11 AB's over the last 5 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-61-32 Over43g · 104 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Freddy Fermin hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Freddy Fermin hits the over on runs scored 0.5 30% of the time in 2026, going 9-21-13 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Freddy Fermin over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 43 games in 2026, betting $100 on Freddy Fermin over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$403 (-9.37% ROI). The hit rate is 30% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Freddy Fermin's runs scored average this season?
Freddy Fermin averages 0.3 runs scored per game in 2026 across 43 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.