
69.4% SO O 0.560.5% HRR O 0.555.8% H O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Jackson Merrill goes over 0.5 strikeouts 69.4% of the time (59-26-4)
Props — 202690 games with closing lines
Home Runs
90g11.6%Over: 10-76-4
0vs O 0.5+505
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✗
H: 4.4%(45)A: 17.8%(45)
Runs Scored
90g36%Over: 31-55-4
0vs O 0.5+140
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✓✗
H: 35.6%(45)A: 33.3%(45)
Strikeouts
90g68.6%Over: 59-27-4
1vs O 0.5-172
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✓
H: 62.2%(45)A: 70.5%(44)
Total Bases
90g38.4%Over: 33-53-4
2vs O 1.5+142
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
✓✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 33.3%(45)A: 40.9%(44)
Stolen Bases
90g19.8%Over: 17-69-4
0vs O 0.5+640
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✗
H: 17.8%(45)A: 20%(45)
avg 1.8
60.5%Over: 52-34-3
2vs O 0.5-248
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
✓✓✗✓✓✗✓✓✓✓
H: 60%(45)A: 56.8%(44)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
17(19%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Merrill's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 5.9%(1-16) | 17.6%(3-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 63.2%(12-7) | 21.1%(4-15) | 52.6%(10-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(14-14) | 3.6%(1-27) | 10.7%(3-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(9-6) | 20%(3-12) | 46.7%(7-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 30%(3-7) | 10%(1-9) | 10%(1-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
7/7Merrill is batting just .100 (1-10) against Gallen.
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
7/6Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .579 against left-handed batters with high ISOs like Merrill over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
7/5Merrill is batting just .213 (26-for-122) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Sheehan over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
601-2296-107 Over3004 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/6 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -101 |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +364 |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -248 |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +192 |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +690 |
| 7/6 | vs | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +225 |
| 7/6 | vs | Singles | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +103 |
| 7/6 | vs | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +425 |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -200 |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +278 |
| 7/6 | vs | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 7/6 | vs | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +505 |
| 7/6 | vs | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 7/6 | vs | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +572 |
| 7/6 | vs | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +140 |
| 7/6 | vs | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 7/6 | vs | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +850 |
| 7/6 | vs | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +278 |
| 7/6 | vs | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +397 |
| 7/6 | vs | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +142 |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +1500 |
| 7/6 | vs | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 7/6 | vs | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/6 | vs | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -220 |
| 7/6 | vs | Singles | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +630 |
| 7/6 | vs | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/6 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +640 |
| 7/6 | vs | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +353 |
| 7/6 | vs | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -172 |
| 7/6 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 7/6 | vs | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 7/6 | vs | Hits | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +10000 |
| 7/6 | vs | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 7/6 | vs | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/6 | vs | Doubles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/6 | vs | Runs Scored | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @ | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -165 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +325 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -210 |
| 7/5 | @ | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +110 |
| 7/5 | @ | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 7/5 | @ | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 7/5 | @ | RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +198 |
| 7/5 | @ | RBIs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +561 |
| 7/5 | @ | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 7/5 | @ | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +135 |
| 7/5 | @ | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on hits 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on hits 0.5 55.8% of the time in 2026, going 48-38-4 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,530.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on home runs 0.5 11.6% of the time in 2026, going 10-76-4 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,732.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on rbis 0.5 27.9% of the time in 2026, going 24-62-4 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,660.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on runs scored 0.5 36% of the time in 2026, going 31-55-4 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,610.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 69.4% of the time in 2026, going 59-26-4 with an average actual of 1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$16.
What are Jackson Merrill's best prop bets in 2026?
Jackson Merrill's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 69.4% (59-26); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 60.5% (52-34); Hits O 0.5 at 55.8% (48-38).

Inside Edge