Jackson Merrill

Jackson Merrill

San Diego PadresPosition Player2026
Reg0.203 / 4 HR / 19 RBI / 36 H / 9 SB / 46G
64.4% SO O 0.560.9% HRR O 0.552.2% H O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Jackson Merrill goes over 0.5 strikeouts 64.4% of the time (29-16-2)

Props — 202648 games with closing lines

Hits

48g
avg 0.6
52.2%Over: 24-22-2
0vs O 0.5-140
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 61.5%(26)A: 36.4%(22)
avg 0
8.7%Over: 4-42-2
0vs O 0.5+650
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 7.7%(26)A: 9.1%(22)

RBIs

48g
avg 0.2
28.3%Over: 13-33-2
0vs O 0.5+250
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 26.9%(26)A: 27.3%(22)
avg 0.3
39.1%Over: 18-28-2
0vs O 0.5+200
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 42.3%(26)A: 31.8%(22)
avg 1.2
63%Over: 29-17-2
1vs O 0.5-313
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 53.8%(26)A: 71.4%(21)
avg 0.8
32.6%Over: 15-31-2
0vs O 1.5+200
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 30.8%(26)A: 33.3%(21)
avg 0.3
28.3%Over: 13-33-2
0vs O 0.5+219
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 30.8%(26)A: 22.7%(22)
avg 0.2
19.6%Over: 9-37-2
0vs O 0.5+880
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 19.2%(26)A: 18.2%(22)
avg 0.1
19.6%Over: 9-37-2
0vs O 0.5+577
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 19.2%(26)A: 18.2%(22)
60.9%Over: 28-18-2
0vs O 0.5-175
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 69.2%(26)A: 45.5%(22)
avg 0.4
39.1%Over: 18-28-2
0vs O 0.5+135
vsDodgers5/20
P
H: 50%(26)A: 22.7%(22)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.4
5-Star Games
11(22%)
Total Matchups
49
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Merrill's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
63.6%(7-4)0%(0-11)18.2%(2-9)
50%(7-7)14.3%(2-12)42.9%(6-8)
54.5%(6-5)0%(0-11)9.1%(1-10)
50%(4-4)25%(2-6)50%(4-4)
0%(0-3)0%(0-3)0%(0-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Jeffrey Springs
5/22

Matchup data is limited but favors Springs.

vs Shohei Ohtani
5/20

Merrill is batting just .174 (15-for-86) against top tier right-handers like Ohtani over the last 2 seasons.

vs Emmet Sheehan
5/19

Merrill has an OPS of .880 against right-handers with high flyball rates over the last two seasons but is batting just .196 (30-for-153) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
309-1154-66 Over1529 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/20vsDodgersDoublesO 0.50L+577
5/20vsDodgersHitsO 3.50L+20000
5/20vsDodgersHitsO 0.50L-140
5/20vsDodgersHitsO 1.50L+400
5/20vsDodgersHitsO 2.50L+2200
5/20vsDodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-175
5/20vsDodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L+150
5/20vsDodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+280
5/20vsDodgersHome RunsO 0.50L+650
5/20vsDodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+550
5/20vsDodgersHome RunsO 1.50L+10000
5/20vsDodgersRBIsO 1.50L+800
5/20vsDodgersRBIsO 0.50L+250
5/20vsDodgersRuns ScoredO 0.50L+200
5/20vsDodgersRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1700
5/20vsDodgersSinglesO 0.50L+135
5/20vsDodgersStolen BasesO 0.50L+880
5/20vsDodgersStolen BasesO 1.50L+12500
5/20vsDodgersTotal BasesO 3.50L+525
5/20vsDodgersTotal BasesO 1.50L+200
5/20vsDodgersTotal BasesO 2.50L+380
5/20vsDodgersTotal BasesO 4.50L+1200
5/20vsDodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+1000
5/20vsDodgersSinglesO 1.50L+810
5/20vsDodgersStrikeoutsO 1.51L+200
5/20vsDodgersStrikeoutsO 0.51W-313
5/20vsDodgersStrikeoutsO 2.51L+1140
5/20vsDodgersWalksO 0.50L+219
5/20vsDodgersRBIsO 3.50L+7000
5/20vsDodgersRBIsO 4.50L+6000
5/20vsDodgersRBIsO 2.50L+2200
5/20vsDodgersRuns ScoredO 2.50L+5000
5/20vsDodgersTotal BasesO 0.50L-140
5/19vsDodgersDoublesO 0.50L+446
5/19vsDodgersHitsO 2.51L+2000
5/19vsDodgersHitsO 1.51L+375
5/19vsDodgersHitsO 3.51L+15000
5/19vsDodgersHitsO 0.51W-150
5/19vsDodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.51L+450
5/19vsDodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.51L+125
5/19vsDodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.51W-190
5/19vsDodgersHome RunsO 1.50L+8000
5/19vsDodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.51L+240
5/19vsDodgersRBIsO 1.50L+650
5/19vsDodgersHome RunsO 0.50L+552
5/19vsDodgersRBIsO 0.50L+220
5/19vsDodgersRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1200
5/19vsDodgersRuns ScoredO 0.50L+165
5/19vsDodgersStolen BasesO 0.50L+880
5/19vsDodgersSinglesO 0.51W+135

San Diego Padres Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on hits 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on hits 0.5 52.2% of the time in 2026, going 24-22-2 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,198.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-42-2 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,640.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on rbis 0.5 28.3% of the time in 2026, going 13-33-2 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,008.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on runs scored 0.5 39.1% of the time in 2026, going 18-28-2 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$681.
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 64.4% of the time in 2026, going 29-16-2 with an average actual of 1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$103.
What are Jackson Merrill's best prop bets in 2026?
Jackson Merrill's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 64.4% (29-16); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 60.9% (28-18); Hits O 0.5 at 52.2% (24-22).

Jackson Merrill 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.48 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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