San Diego Padres69.4% SO O 0.560.5% HRR O 0.555.8% H O 0.5
Season
All Jackson Merrill propsProps — 202690 games with closing lines
Home Runs
90g11.6%Over: 10-76-4
0vs O 0.5+505
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
Diamondbacks7/6✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✗
H: 4.4%(45)A: 17.8%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
17(19%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Merrill's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 5.9%(1-16) | 17.6%(3-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 63.2%(12-7) | 21.1%(4-15) | 52.6%(10-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(14-14) | 3.6%(1-27) | 10.7%(3-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(9-6) | 20%(3-12) | 46.7%(7-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 30%(3-7) | 10%(1-9) | 10%(1-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
7/7Merrill is batting just .100 (1-10) against Gallen.
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
7/6Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .579 against left-handed batters with high ISOs like Merrill over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
7/5Merrill is batting just .213 (26-for-122) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Sheehan over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-186-8 Over90g · 204 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on home runs 0.5 11.6% of the time in 2026, going 10-76-4 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Jackson Merrill over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 90 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jackson Merrill over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,732 (-19.24% ROI). The hit rate is 11.6% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Jackson Merrill's home runs average this season?
Jackson Merrill averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 90 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge