San Diego Padres69.8% SO O 0.560.9% HRR O 0.556.3% H O 0.5
Season
All Jackson Merrill propsProps — 202691 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
91g36.8%Over: 32-55-4
1vs O 0.5+100
vs
Diamondbacks7/7
Diamondbacks7/7✓✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✓
H: 37%(46)A: 33.3%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
17(19%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Merrill's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 5.9%(1-16) | 17.6%(3-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 63.2%(12-7) | 21.1%(4-15) | 52.6%(10-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(14-14) | 3.6%(1-27) | 10.7%(3-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(9-6) | 20%(3-12) | 46.7%(7-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.4%(4-7) | 9.1%(1-10) | 18.2%(2-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
7/7Merrill is batting just .100 (1-10) against Gallen.
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
7/6Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .579 against left-handed batters with high ISOs like Merrill over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
7/5Merrill is batting just .213 (26-for-122) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Sheehan over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
39-231-10 Over91g · 280 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Jackson Merrill hits the over on runs scored 0.5 36.8% of the time in 2026, going 32-55-4 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Jackson Merrill over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 91 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jackson Merrill over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$1,510 (-16.59% ROI). The hit rate is 36.8% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Jackson Merrill's runs scored average this season?
Jackson Merrill averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 91 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge