
78.7% HRR O 0.570.8% H O 0.559.6% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Fernando Tatis Jr. propsProps — 202690 games with closing lines
Home Runs
90g4.5%Over: 4-85-1
0vs O 0.5+450
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗
H: 4.4%(45)A: 4.4%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
45(50%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jr.'s prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 65.9%(29-15) | 0%(0-44) | 27.3%(12-32) |
| ★★★★★ | 76.9%(10-3) | 0%(0-13) | 30.8%(4-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 68.4%(13-6) | 10.5%(2-17) | 36.8%(7-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(5-2) | 14.3%(1-6) | 14.3%(1-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 16.7%(1-5) | 33.3%(2-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
7/7Tatis Jr. is slugging .615 with 4 extra base hits in 26 AB's against Gallen.
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
7/6Tatis Jr. performs at high rates in several matchup categories today.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
7/5Matchup data is limited but favors Tatis Jr..
Game Log
Bet
$
5-200-2 Over90g · 207 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Fernando Tatis Jr. hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits the over on home runs 0.5 4.5% of the time in 2026, going 4-85-1 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Fernando Tatis Jr. over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 90 games in 2026, betting $100 on Fernando Tatis Jr. over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$6,280 (-69.78% ROI). The hit rate is 4.5% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Fernando Tatis Jr.'s home runs average this season?
Fernando Tatis Jr. averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 90 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge