San Diego Padres66.7% SO O 0.563.6% HRR O 0.553.4% H O 0.5
Season
All Manny Machado propsProps — 202690 games with closing lines
Home Runs
90g19.3%Over: 17-71-2
0vs O 0.5+420
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
Diamondbacks7/6✗✓✗✗✓✗✓✗✓✗
H: 17.8%(45)A: 20%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
43(48%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Machado's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(21-21) | 9.5%(4-38) | 26.2%(11-31) |
| ★★★★★ | 61.5%(8-5) | 23.1%(3-10) | 46.2%(6-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 55.6%(10-8) | 22.2%(4-14) | 38.9%(7-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 37.5%(3-5) | 37.5%(3-5) | 37.5%(3-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(4-4) | 37.5%(3-5) | 37.5%(3-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
7/7Machado has an OPS of 1.046 in his last 60 PA's.
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
7/6Machado is slugging .632 with 3 extra base hits in 19 AB's against Pfaadt.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
7/5Machado has taken Sheehan deep 2 times in his last 6 ABs against him but is batting just .216 in his last 116 PA's.
Game Log
Bet
$
18-183-4 Over90g · 205 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Manny Machado hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Manny Machado hits the over on home runs 0.5 19.3% of the time in 2026, going 17-71-2 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Manny Machado over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 90 games in 2026, betting $100 on Manny Machado over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$721 (+8.01% ROI). The hit rate is 19.3% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Manny Machado's home runs average this season?
Manny Machado averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 90 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge