
71.7% SO O 0.563.8% HRR O 0.548.9% H O 0.5
Season
All Manny Machado propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Home Runs
49g12.8%Over: 6-41-2
0vs O 0.5+730
vs
Dodgers5/20
✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 15.4%(26)A: 8.7%(23)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
31(63%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Machado's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 48.4%(15-16) | 6.5%(2-29) | 25.8%(8-23) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 16.7%(1-5) | 16.7%(1-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs
5/22Springs has allowed a slugging percentage of .509 against hitters like Machado over the last two years, but Machado is batting just .133 (2-for-15) over his last 5 games.
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
5/20Machado is batting just .111 over the last 5 days.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
5/19Matchup data is limited but favors Machado.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-95-4 Over49g · 106 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Manny Machado hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Manny Machado hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.8% of the time in 2026, going 6-41-2 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Manny Machado over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 49 games in 2026, betting $100 on Manny Machado over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,157 (-23.61% ROI). The hit rate is 12.8% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Manny Machado's home runs average this season?
Manny Machado averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 49 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge