Casey Mize

Detroit TigersPitcher•2026

Reg2.76 ERA / 72 K / 68.4 IP / 9.5 K/9 / 13G

77.8% OUT O 16.553.8% K O 4.541.7% HA O 4.5

Season

All Casey Mize props

Props — 202614 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

14g

avg 5.1

53.8%Over: 7-6-1

4vs O 4.5-173

Rangers7/5

✗✓✓✗P✓✗✗✗✓

H: 66.7%(6)A: 37.5%(8)

SeasonalityAll lines

100%

60%

33%

50%

Mar
1-0

Apr
3-2

May
1-2

Jun
2-2

Jul
0-1

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.6★★★★★

5-Star Games

2(15%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mize's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 16.5
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-1)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	100%(2-0)
★★★★★	60%(3-2)	33.3%(1-2)	60%(3-2)	0%(0-5)	100%(2-0)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	33.3%(1-2)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)	33.3%(1-2)	66.7%(2-1)	50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker

7/5

Rangers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Mize.

★★★★★vs Ryan Weathers

6/29

Yankees hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Mize.

★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón

6/23

Current Yankees hitters have struck out 23.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Mize over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Yankees.

Game Log

Bet

52-48-7 Over14g · 107 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/5	@Rangers	O 4.5	4	L	-173
7/5	@Rangers	O 8.5	4	L	+1160
7/5	@Rangers	O 6.5	4	L	+285
7/5	@Rangers	O 7.5	4	L	+600
7/5	@Rangers	O 3.5	4	W	-419
7/5	@Rangers	O 1.5	4	W	—
7/5	@Rangers	O 5.5	4	L	+132
7/5	@Rangers	O 2.5	4	W	-1280
7/5	@Rangers	O 9.5	4	L	—
7/5	@Rangers	O 10.5	4	L	—
6/29	@Yankees	O 3.5	10	W	-450
6/29	@Yankees	O 6.5	10	W	+220
6/29	@Yankees	O 4.5	10	W	-200
6/29	@Yankees	O 2.5	10	W	-1200
6/29	@Yankees	O 7.5	10	W	+430
6/29	@Yankees	O 5.5	10	W	+104
6/29	@Yankees	O 8.5	10	W	+810
6/29	@Yankees	O 1.5	10	W	—
6/29	@Yankees	O 9.5	10	W	+1640
6/29	@Yankees	O 10.5	10	L	—
6/23	vsYankees	O 7.5	6	L	+410
6/23	vsYankees	O 3.5	6	W	-450
6/23	vsYankees	O 6.5	6	L	+210
6/23	vsYankees	O 5.5	6	W	+105
6/23	vsYankees	O 2.5	6	W	-1400
6/23	vsYankees	O 4.5	6	W	-200
6/23	vsYankees	O 1.5	6	W	—
6/23	vsYankees	O 9.5	6	L	+1620
6/23	vsYankees	O 8.5	6	L	+820
6/23	vsYankees	O 10.5	6	L	—
6/17	@Astros	O 5.5	3	L	+260
6/17	@Astros	O 4.5	3	L	+118
6/17	@Astros	O 3.5	3	L	-189
6/17	@Astros	O 6.5	3	L	+528
6/17	@Astros	O 2.5	3	W	-500
6/17	@Astros	O 1.5	3	W	-2200
6/17	@Astros	O 8.5	3	L	+1800
6/17	@Astros	O 7.5	3	L	+1080
6/14	@Guardians	O 2.5	0	P	-420
6/14	@Guardians	O 4.5	0	P	+135
6/14	@Guardians	O 5.5	0	P	+290
6/14	@Guardians	O 3.5	0	P	-165
6/14	@Guardians	O 6.5	0	P	+630
6/14	@Guardians	O 7.5	0	P	+1240
6/14	@Guardians	O 1.5	0	P	-1660
5/27	vsAngels	O 2.5	6	W	-2400
5/27	vsAngels	O 6.5	6	L	+188
5/27	vsAngels	O 8.5	6	L	+680
5/27	vsAngels	O 7.5	6	L	+390
5/27	vsAngels	O 9.5	6	L	+1300

Detroit Tigers Teammates

View all

Kevin McGonigle Riley Greene Spencer Torkelson Dillon Dingler Colt Keith Matt Vierling Zach McKinstry Kerry Carpenter Gleyber Torres Hao-Yu Lee James Outman Jake Rogers Jahmai Jones Zack Short Gage Workman

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Casey Mize hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Casey Mize hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6-1 with an average actual of 5.1.

Is Casey Mize over 4.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Casey Mize over 4.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned -$83 (-5.93% ROI). The hit rate is 53.8% with an average actual of 5.1.

What is Casey Mize's pitcher ks average this season?

Casey Mize averages 5.1 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.