Casey Mize

Detroit TigersPitcher•2026

Reg2.58 ERA / 43 K / 41.8 IP / 9.3 K/9 / 8G

66.7% OUT O 16.550% K O 4.537.5% BBA O 1.5

Season

All Casey Mize props

Props — 20268 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

avg 5.4

50%Over: 4-4

4vs O 4.5-104

Guardians5/21

✗✗✗✓✓✓✗✓

H: 50%(4)A: 50%(4)

Seasonality

Mar

100%1-0

Apr

60%3-2

May

0%0-2

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.4★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(13%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mize's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 16.5
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	—	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	0%(0-1)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-2)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	33.3%(1-2)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	100%(2-0)	0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo

5/21

Guardians hitters have a 1 star average matchup against Mize.

★★★★★vs Mason Fluharty

5/16

Current Blue Jays hitters have struck out 17% of the time against pitchers similar to Mize over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Martin Perez

4/28

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.16 against the Braves in the past 30 days.

Game Log

Bet

29-25 Over8g · 54 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/21	vsGuardians	O 2.5	4	W	-700
5/21	vsGuardians	O 5.5	4	L	+200
5/21	vsGuardians	O 4.5	4	L	-104
5/21	vsGuardians	O 3.5	4	W	-250
5/21	vsGuardians	O 6.5	4	L	+430
5/21	vsGuardians	O 7.5	4	L	+840
5/21	vsGuardians	O 1.5	4	W	-3800
5/21	vsGuardians	O 8.5	4	L	+1660
5/16	vsBlue Jays	O 3.5	4	W	-158
5/16	vsBlue Jays	O 4.5	4	L	+146
5/16	vsBlue Jays	O 6.5	4	L	+700
5/16	vsBlue Jays	O 2.5	4	W	-409
5/16	vsBlue Jays	O 5.5	4	L	+326
5/16	vsBlue Jays	O 1.5	4	W	-1540
5/16	vsBlue Jays	O 7.5	4	L	+1400
4/28	@Braves	O 4.5	3	L	-109
4/28	@Braves	O 2.5	3	W	-700
4/28	@Braves	O 3.5	3	L	-248
4/28	@Braves	O 5.5	3	L	+196
4/28	@Braves	O 6.5	3	L	+410
4/28	@Braves	O 7.5	3	L	+870
4/28	@Braves	O 8.5	3	L	+1760
4/28	@Braves	O 1.5	3	W	-3200
4/22	vsBrewers	O 4.5	7	W	-159
4/22	vsBrewers	O 2.5	7	W	-1120
4/22	vsBrewers	O 3.5	7	W	-370
4/22	vsBrewers	O 5.5	7	W	+134
4/22	vsBrewers	O 6.5	7	W	+274
4/22	vsBrewers	O 7.5	7	L	+555
4/22	vsBrewers	O 8.5	7	L	+1120
4/17	@Red Sox	O 4.5	7	W	-152
4/17	@Red Sox	O 2.5	7	W	-1040
4/17	@Red Sox	O 3.5	7	W	-352
4/17	@Red Sox	O 5.5	7	W	+148
4/17	@Red Sox	O 6.5	7	W	+310
4/17	@Red Sox	O 7.5	7	L	+630
4/17	@Red Sox	O 8.5	7	L	+1120
4/11	vsMarlins	O 4.5	5	W	+111
4/11	vsMarlins	O 1.5	5	W	-2300
4/11	vsMarlins	O 2.5	5	W	-554
4/11	vsMarlins	O 3.5	5	W	-209
4/11	vsMarlins	O 5.5	5	L	+241
4/11	vsMarlins	O 6.5	5	L	+522
4/11	vsMarlins	O 7.5	5	L	+1120
4/11	vsMarlins	O 8.5	5	L	+1820
4/6	@Twins	O 4.5	4	L	-140
4/6	@Twins	O 5.5	4	L	+126
3/31	@Diamondbacks	O 4.5	9	W	+124
3/31	@Diamondbacks	O 3.5	9	W	-184
3/31	@Diamondbacks	O 1.5	9	W	-1980

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Casey Mize hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Casey Mize hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 4-4 with an average actual of 5.4.

Is Casey Mize over 4.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Casey Mize over 4.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned -$28 (-3.5% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 5.4.

What is Casey Mize's pitcher ks average this season?

Casey Mize averages 5.4 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.