Detroit Tigers77.8% OUT O 16.553.8% K O 4.541.7% HA O 4.5
Season
All Casey Mize propsProps — 202614 games with closing lines
Walks Allowed
14g30.8%Over: 4-9-1
2vs O 1.5+112
@
Rangers7/5
Rangers7/5✓✗✗✗P✗✗✗✗✓
H: 16.7%(6)A: 37.5%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(15%)
Total Matchups
13Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mize's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker
7/5Rangers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Mize.
★★★★★vs Ryan Weathers
6/29Yankees hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Mize.
★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón
6/23Current Yankees hitters have struck out 23.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Mize over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Yankees.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-9-1 Over14g · 14 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +112 |
| 6/29 | @ Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -101 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +102 |
| 6/17 | @ Astros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 6/14 | @ Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +138 |
| 5/27 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +107 |
| 5/21 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -195 |
| 5/16 | vs Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +143 |
| 4/28 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 4/22 | vs Brewers | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -122 |
| 4/17 | @ Red Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -124 |
| 4/11 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -118 |
| 4/6 | @ Twins | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -198 |
| 3/31 | @ Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +109 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 30.8% of the time in 2026, going 4-9-1 with an average actual of 1.1.
Is Casey Mize over 1.5 walks allowed a good bet?
Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Casey Mize over 1.5 walks allowed at best closing odds has returned -$547 (-39.07% ROI). The hit rate is 30.8% with an average actual of 1.1.
What is Casey Mize's walks allowed average this season?
Casey Mize averages 1.1 walks allowed per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.
Inside Edge