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Players/MLB/San Diego Padres/Casey Mize/Outs Recorded
Casey Mize

Casey Mize

San Diego Padres•Pitcher•2026
3.60ERA95K100IP8.6K/920G
3.60ERA95K100IP8.6K/920G
57.1% OUT O 14.550% K O 4.550% ER O 1.5
Season
All Casey Mize props

Props — 202622 games with closing lines

Outs Recorded

21g
avg 15
65%Over: 13-7-1
8vs O 14.5
vsTwins8/22
✗✓✓✗P✓✗✓✓✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 40%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
100%
0%
50%
50%
Mar
1-0
Jun
0-1
Jul
1-1
Aug
2-2
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(19%)
Total Matchups
21
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mize's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 1.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 14.5
★★★★★25%(1-3)100%(2-0)50%(2-2)25%(1-3)0%(0-1)
★★★★★0%(0-1)—0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★42.9%(3-4)20%(1-4)57.1%(4-3)14.3%(1-6)33.3%(1-2)
★★★★★80%(4-1)66.7%(2-1)50%(2-2)60%(3-2)100%(1-0)
★★★★★50%(2-2)—33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Dean Kremer
8/22

Twins hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Mize.

★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee
8/16

Current Guardians hitters are batting .244 against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like like Mize over the the last two years.

★★★★★vs Logan Henderson
8/10

Brewers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Mize.

Game Log

Bet
$
28-19-5 Over21g · 52 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/22vsTwinsO 17.58L-106
8/22vsTwinsO 20.58L—
8/22vsTwinsO 14.58L—
8/16@GuardiansO 16.518W-105
8/16@GuardiansO 14.518W—
8/16@GuardiansO 20.518L—
8/16@GuardiansO 17.518W—
8/16@GuardiansO 15.518W-130
8/10vsBrewersO 16.518W-105
8/10vsBrewersO 20.518L—
8/10vsBrewersO 17.518W—
8/10vsBrewersO 14.518W—
8/10vsBrewersO 15.518W-135
8/5@DiamondbacksO 15.510L-105
8/5@DiamondbacksO 14.510L—
8/5@DiamondbacksO 20.510L—
8/5@DiamondbacksO 17.510L—
7/31@AthleticsO 15.50P—
7/31@AthleticsO 17.50P—
7/31@AthleticsO 20.50P—
7/31@AthleticsO 14.50P—
7/31@AthleticsO 3.50P+105
7/25vsRoyalsO 16.518W-132
7/25vsRoyalsO 17.518W-107
7/25vsRoyalsO 20.518L—
7/25vsRoyalsO 14.518W—
7/25vsRoyalsO 1718W—
7/19@AngelsO 17.510L-105
7/19@AngelsO 16.510L-128
7/11vsPhilliesO 17.517L+100
7/11vsPhilliesO 16.517W-135
7/5@RangersO 17.520W-105
7/5@RangersO 16.520W—
6/29@YankeesO 16.521W-106
6/29@YankeesO 15.521W—
6/23vsYankeesO 15.517W-114
6/23vsYankeesO 16.517W-105
6/17@AstrosO 13.514W-112
6/17@AstrosO 14.514L-102
5/27vsAngelsO 17.512L-125
5/21vsGuardiansO 16.520W-120
5/16vsBlue JaysO 15.518W+102
4/28@BravesO 16.57L-107
4/22vsBrewersO 17.518W+100
4/22vsBrewersO 16.518W-135
4/17@Red SoxO 15.520W-114
4/17@Red SoxO 16.520W-110
4/11vsMarlinsO 17.517L-108
4/11vsMarlinsO 16.517W-124
4/6@TwinsO 15.513L-135

San Diego Padres Teammates

View all
Fernando Tatis Jr.Jackson MerrillManny MachadoXander BogaertsGavin SheetsTy FranceLuis RengifoFreddy FerminJake CronenworthMiguel AndujarLuis CampusanoSung-Mun SongNick CastellanosSamad TaylorJase Bowen

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Casey Mize hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3-1 with an average actual of 13.
Is Casey Mize over 14.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 21 games in 2026, betting $100 on Casey Mize over 14.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$147 (+7% ROI). The hit rate is 57.1% with an average actual of 13.
What is Casey Mize's outs recorded average this season?
Casey Mize averages 13 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 21 games. The primary line is set at 14.5.

Casey Mize 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.22 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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