Detroit Tigers77.8% OUT O 16.553.8% K O 4.541.7% HA O 4.5
Season
All Casey Mize propsProps — 202614 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
13g69.2%Over: 9-4
20vs O 16.5
@
Rangers7/5
Rangers7/5✓✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✓
H: 100%(4)A: 60%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(15%)
Total Matchups
13Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mize's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker
7/5Rangers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Mize.
★★★★★vs Ryan Weathers
6/29Yankees hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Mize.
★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón
6/23Current Yankees hitters have struck out 23.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Mize over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Yankees.
Game Log
Bet
$
15-6 Over13g · 21 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @Rangers | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -105 |
| 7/5 | @Rangers | O 16.5 | 20 | W | — |
| 6/29 | @ Yankees | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -106 |
| 6/29 | @Yankees | O 15.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | O 15.5 | 17 | W | -114 |
| 6/23 | vsYankees | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -105 |
| 6/17 | @ Astros | O 13.5 | 14 | W | -112 |
| 6/17 | @Astros | O 14.5 | 14 | L | -102 |
| 5/27 | vs Angels | O 17.5 | 12 | L | -125 |
| 5/21 | vs Guardians | O 16.5 | 20 | W | -120 |
| 5/16 | vs Blue Jays | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +102 |
| 4/28 | @ Braves | O 16.5 | 7 | L | -107 |
| 4/22 | vs Brewers | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -135 |
| 4/17 | @ Red Sox | O 15.5 | 20 | W | -114 |
| 4/17 | @Red Sox | O 16.5 | 20 | W | -110 |
| 4/11 | vs Marlins | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -108 |
| 4/11 | vsMarlins | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -124 |
| 4/6 | @ Twins | O 15.5 | 13 | L | -135 |
| 4/6 | @Twins | O 16.5 | 13 | L | -113 |
| 3/31 | @ Diamondbacks | O 14.5 | 18 | W | -175 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Casey Mize hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Casey Mize hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 77.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-2 with an average actual of 17.
Is Casey Mize over 16.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 13 games in 2026, betting $100 on Casey Mize over 16.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$278 (+21.38% ROI). The hit rate is 77.8% with an average actual of 17.
What is Casey Mize's outs recorded average this season?
Casey Mize averages 17 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 13 games. The primary line is set at 16.5.
Inside Edge