Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves80% HA O 5.575% ER O 2.571.4% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Carlos Carrasco propsProps — 20258 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g75%Over: 6-2
6vs O 2.5-165
@
Mets8/13
Mets8/13✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✓
H: 50%(4)A: 100%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Carrasco's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
8/13Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.53 against the Mets in the past 30 days.
★★★★★
8/7Current Marlins hitters are batting .285 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Carrasco over the last two years.
★★★★★
7/31Current Reds hitters have struck out 24.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Carrasco over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
6-2 Over8g · 8 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on earned runs 2.5 75% of the time in 2025, going 6-2 with an average actual of 3.5.
Is Carlos Carrasco over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2025, betting $100 on Carlos Carrasco over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$364 (+45.5% ROI). The hit rate is 75% with an average actual of 3.5.
What is Carlos Carrasco's earned runs average this season?
Carlos Carrasco averages 3.5 earned runs per game in 2025 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.