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Players/MLB/Atlanta Braves/Carlos Carrasco
Carlos Carrasco

Carlos Carrasco

Atlanta Braves•Pitcher•2025
6.55ERA37K49.5IP6.7K/912G
6.55ERA37K49.5IP6.7K/912G
80% HA O 5.575% ER O 2.571.4% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer

Carlos Carrasco goes over 5.5 hits allowed 80% of the time (4-1)

Props — 20258 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

8g
avg 3
37.5%Over: 3-5
2vs O 3.5+126
@Mets8/13
✗✗✓✗✗✓✗✓
H: 50%(4)A: 25%(4)

Earned Runs

8g
avg 3.5
75%Over: 6-2
6vs O 2.5-165
@Mets8/13
✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✓
H: 50%(4)A: 100%(4)

Hits Allowed

8g
avg 5.5
75%Over: 6-2
6vs O 5.5+115
@Mets8/13
✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✓
H: 50%(2)A: 100%(3)

Walks Allowed

8g
avg 1.8
75%Over: 6-2
3vs O 2.5+120
@Mets8/13
✓✓✗✓✓✓✗✓
H: 100%(4)A: 33.3%(3)

Outs Recorded

7g
avg 14
42.9%Over: 3-4
17vs O 15.5-113
vsMarlins8/7
✓✗✓✗✗✗✓
H: 100%(1)A: 0%(3)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Carrasco's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 3.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 14.5
★★★★★0%(0-2)100%(2-0)100%(1-0)50%(1-1)0%(0-2)
★★★★★0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)—
★★★★★60%(3-2)60%(3-2)66.7%(2-1)75%(3-1)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★
8/13

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.53 against the Mets in the past 30 days.

★★★★★
8/7

Current Marlins hitters are batting .285 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Carrasco over the last two years.

★★★★★
7/31

Current Reds hitters have struck out 24.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Carrasco over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
24-18 Over42 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/13@MetsPitcher KsO 2.52L-170
8/13@MetsPitcher KsO 3.52L+126
8/13@MetsEarned RunsO 2.56W-165
8/13@MetsHits AllowedO 5.56W+115
8/13@MetsWalks AllowedO 2.53W+120
8/7vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 3.52L-128
8/7vsMarlinsEarned RunsO 2.56W+105
8/7vsMarlinsHits AllowedO 5.59W+100
8/7vsMarlinsWalks AllowedO 1.52W-115
8/7vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 15.517W-113
4/30@OriolesPitcher KsO 3.55W+125
4/30@OriolesEarned RunsO 2.54W-118
4/30@OriolesHits AllowedO 5.58W+125
4/30@OriolesWalks AllowedO 1.50L-150
4/30@OriolesOuts RecordedO 14.510L+125
4/30@OriolesOuts RecordedO 13.510L-125
4/25vsBlue JaysPitcher KsO 3.52L+138
4/25vsBlue JaysEarned RunsO 2.50L-110
4/25vsBlue JaysHits AllowedO 5.53L-115
4/25vsBlue JaysWalks AllowedO 1.52W+105
4/25vsBlue JaysOuts RecordedO 14.515W-165
4/19@RaysPitcher KsO 3.51L-122
4/19@RaysEarned RunsO 2.54W-120
4/19@RaysHits AllowedO 5.56W-120
4/19@RaysWalks AllowedO 1.52W+105
4/19@RaysOuts RecordedO 14.512L-175
4/14vsRoyalsPitcher KsO 3.54W+105
4/14vsRoyalsEarned RunsO 2.51L+110
4/14vsRoyalsHits AllowedO 4.51L-160
4/14vsRoyalsWalks AllowedO 1.52W+140
4/14vsRoyalsOuts RecordedO 15.515L+135
4/8@TigersPitcher KsO 3.53L-162
4/8@TigersPitcher KsO 4.53L+135
4/8@TigersEarned RunsO 2.54W+105
4/8@TigersHits AllowedO 4.56W-155
4/8@TigersWalks AllowedO 1.51L-175
4/8@TigersOuts RecordedO 14.513L-160
4/3vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 3.55W+135
4/3vsDiamondbacksEarned RunsO 2.53W+125
4/3vsDiamondbacksHits AllowedO 4.55W-118
4/3vsDiamondbacksWalks AllowedO 1.52W-120
4/3vsDiamondbacksOuts RecordedO 13.516W-125

Atlanta Braves Teammates

View all
Matt OlsonMichael Harris IIOzzie AlbiesMarcell OzunaNick AllenAustin RileyDrake BaldwinJurickson ProfarSean MurphyHa-Seong KimEli WhiteNacho Alvarez Jr.Orlando ArciaJake FraleyAlex Verdugo

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 37.5% of the time in 2025, going 3-5 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$135.
How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on earned runs 2.5 75% of the time in 2025, going 6-2 with an average actual of 3.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$364.
How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 80% of the time in 2025, going 4-1 with an average actual of 6.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$323.
How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 71.4% of the time in 2025, going 5-2 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$320.
How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 25% of the time in 2025, going 1-3 with an average actual of 12.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$239.
What are Carlos Carrasco's best prop bets in 2025?
Carlos Carrasco's highest-hitting props in 2025: Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 80% (4-1); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 75% (6-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 71.4% (5-2).

Carlos Carrasco 2025 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.8 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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