Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves80% HA O 5.575% ER O 2.571.4% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Carlos Carrasco goes over 5.5 hits allowed 80% of the time (4-1)
Props — 20258 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Carrasco's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
8/13Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.53 against the Mets in the past 30 days.
★★★★★
8/7Current Marlins hitters are batting .285 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Carrasco over the last two years.
★★★★★
7/31Current Reds hitters have struck out 24.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Carrasco over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
21-13 Over34 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13 | @ Mets | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -170 |
| 8/13 | @Mets | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +126 |
| 8/13 | @Mets | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -165 |
| 8/13 | @Mets | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 8/13 | @Mets | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +120 |
| 8/7 | vs Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -128 |
| 8/7 | vsMarlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 8/7 | vsMarlins | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +100 |
| 8/7 | vsMarlins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -115 |
| 4/30 | @ Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 4/30 | @Orioles | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -118 |
| 4/30 | @Orioles | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +125 |
| 4/30 | @Orioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -150 |
| 4/25 | vs Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +138 |
| 4/25 | vsBlue Jays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 4/25 | vsBlue Jays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -115 |
| 4/25 | vsBlue Jays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +105 |
| 4/19 | @ Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -122 |
| 4/19 | @Rays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -120 |
| 4/19 | @Rays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 4/19 | @Rays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +105 |
| 4/14 | vs Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +140 |
| 4/8 | @ Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -162 |
| 4/8 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +135 |
| 4/8 | @Tigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 4/8 | @Tigers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 4/8 | @Tigers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 4/3 | vs Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +135 |
| 4/3 | vsDiamondbacks | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 4/3 | vsDiamondbacks | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -118 |
| 4/3 | vsDiamondbacks | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -120 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 37.5% of the time in 2025, going 3-5 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$135.
How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on earned runs 2.5 75% of the time in 2025, going 6-2 with an average actual of 3.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$364.
How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 80% of the time in 2025, going 4-1 with an average actual of 6.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$323.
How often does Carlos Carrasco hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Carlos Carrasco hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 71.4% of the time in 2025, going 5-2 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$320.
What are Carlos Carrasco's best prop bets in 2025?
Carlos Carrasco's highest-hitting props in 2025: Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 80% (4-1); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 75% (6-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 71.4% (5-2).