Inside Edge
Washington Nationals64.7% ER O 2.564.3% HA O 5.557.1% K O 3.5
Season
All Trevor Williams propsProps — 202517 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
17g64.7%Over: 11-6
7vs O 2.5-120
vs
Tigers7/2
Tigers7/2✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✓
H: 60%(10)A: 71.4%(7)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Williams's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(4-2) | 66.7%(4-2) | 16.7%(1-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
7/2Current Tigers hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
★★★★★
7/1Current Tigers hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
★★★★★
6/24Current Padres hitters have struck out just 17.2% of the time against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Williams over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
11-6 Over17g · 17 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | vsTigers | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -120 |
| 6/24 | @ Padres | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -135 |
| 6/19 | vs Rockies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -145 |
| 6/14 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 6/8 | vs Rangers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 6/3 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -125 |
| 5/28 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -150 |
| 5/22 | vs Braves | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -110 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 5/10 | vs Cardinals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -105 |
| 5/3 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -155 |
| 4/28 | vs Mets | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 4/23 | vs Orioles | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -125 |
| 4/17 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 4/12 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +110 |
| 4/6 | vs Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +100 |
| 4/1 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Trevor Williams hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Trevor Williams hits the over on earned runs 2.5 64.7% of the time in 2025, going 11-6 with an average actual of 3.4.
Is Trevor Williams over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2025, betting $100 on Trevor Williams over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$345 (+20.29% ROI). The hit rate is 64.7% with an average actual of 3.4.
What is Trevor Williams's earned runs average this season?
Trevor Williams averages 3.4 earned runs per game in 2025 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.