Chicago Cubs60.6% HRR O 0.557.6% SO O 0.550% H O 0.5
Season
All Matt Shaw propsProps — 202645 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
44g11.4%Over: 4-31-9
0vs O 0.5+610
vs
Padres6/29
Padres6/29P✗✗✗P✓P✗PP
H: 10%(20)A: 4.5%(22)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
70Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Shaw's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | Home RunsO 0.5 | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-10) | 60%(6-4) | 10%(1-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 15%(3-17) | 45%(9-11) | 40%(8-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-14) | 23.1%(3-10) | 15.4%(2-11) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Griffin Canning
6/29Shaw has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.3% in 12 AB's against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Peralta over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Brandon Woodruff
6/28Shaw is batting just .153 (9-for-59) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Woodruff over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
6/27nan like Shaw are batting just .175 (7-for-40) against Harrison over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-61-17 Over42g · 82 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Matt Shaw hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 11.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-31-9 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Matt Shaw over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 44 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matt Shaw over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$477 (-10.84% ROI). The hit rate is 11.4% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Matt Shaw's stolen bases average this season?
Matt Shaw averages 0.1 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 44 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge