Matt Shaw

Chicago CubsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.246 / 4 HR / 20 RBI / 32 H / 4 SB / 50G

60.6% HRR O 0.557.6% SO O 0.550% H O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Matt Shaw goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 60.6% of the time (20-13-8)

Props — 202645 games with closing lines

Home Runs

45g

avg 0.1

8.3%Over: 3-33-9

0vs O 0.5+533

Padres6/29

P✗✗✗P✗P✗PP

H: 4.8%(21)A: 9.1%(22)

Hits

44g

avg 0.6

50%Over: 18-18-8

0vs O 0.5-200

Padres6/29

P✗✓✗P✗P✓PP

H: 52.4%(21)A: 33.3%(21)

RBIs

44g

avg 0.4

30.6%Over: 11-25-8

0vs O 0.5+181

Padres6/29

P✗✗✗P✓P✗PP

H: 23.8%(21)A: 23.8%(21)

Stolen Bases

44g

avg 0.1

11.4%Over: 4-31-9

0vs O 0.5+610

Padres6/29

P✗✗✗P✓P✗PP

H: 10%(20)A: 4.5%(22)

Total Bases

44g

avg 1.1

27.8%Over: 10-26-8

0vs O 1.5+144

Padres6/29

P✗✗✗P✗P✗PP

H: 25%(20)A: 11.1%(18)

Runs Scored

43g

avg 0.5

31.4%Over: 11-24-8

0vs O 0.5

Padres6/29

P✗✓✗P✗P✓PP

H: 30%(20)A: 23.8%(21)

Doubles

41g

avg 0.1

9.1%Over: 3-30-8

0vs O 0.5+417

Padres6/29

P✗✗✗P✗P✗PP

H: 0%(20)A: 15%(20)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

41g

avg 1.5

60.6%Over: 20-13-8

0vs O 0.5-268

Padres6/29

P✗✓✗P✓P✓PP

H: 55%(20)A: 40%(20)

Singles

41g

avg 0.4

42.4%Over: 14-19-8

0vs O 0.5-101

Padres6/29

P✗✓✗P✗P✓PP

H: 45%(20)A: 25%(20)

Walks

40g

avg 0.3

29.4%Over: 10-24-6

0vs O 0.5+199

Padres6/29

P✓✓✓P✓P✗PP

H: 16.7%(18)A: 30%(20)

Strikeouts

39g

avg 0.6

57.6%Over: 19-14-6

0vs O 0.5-137

Padres6/29

P✗✓✗P✓P✓PP

H: 47.1%(17)A: 50%(20)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Shaw's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	Home RunsO 0.5	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	0%(0-10)	60%(6-4)	10%(1-9)
★★★★★	15%(3-17)	45%(9-11)	40%(8-12)
★★★★★	0%(0-14)	23.1%(3-10)	15.4%(2-11)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Griffin Canning

6/29

Shaw has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.3% in 12 AB's against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Peralta over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.

★★★★★vs Brandon Woodruff

6/28

Shaw is batting just .153 (9-for-59) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Woodruff over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison

6/27

nan like Shaw are batting just .175 (7-for-40) against Harrison over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

207-855-256 Over1318 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 6.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-268
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+548
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+315
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+171
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	-116
6/29	vsPadres	Walks	O 0.5	0	P	+199
6/29	vsPadres	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+533
6/29	vsPadres	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+5900
6/29	vsPadres	Home Runs	O 2.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+417
6/29	vsPadres	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-200
6/29	vsPadres	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+273
6/29	vsPadres	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+181
6/29	vsPadres	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+505
6/29	vsPadres	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+610
6/29	vsPadres	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+4200
6/29	vsPadres	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	-101
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	P	+405
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+144
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	+282
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	P	+830
6/29	vsPadres	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+1340
6/29	vsPadres	RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+1180
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 5.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Singles	O 1.5	0	P	+599
6/29	vsPadres	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	P	+477
6/29	vsPadres	Strikeouts	O 0.5	0	P	-137
6/29	vsPadres	Walks	O 1.5	0	P	+1180
6/29	vsPadres	Hits	O 3.5	0	P	+4500
6/29	vsPadres	RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+4000
6/29	vsPadres	Runs Scored	O 2.5	0	P	+2800
6/29	vsPadres	Doubles	O 1.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Runs Scored	O 3.5	0	P	—
6/28	@Brewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	0	L	—
6/28	@Brewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	—
6/28	@Brewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	L	+1320
6/28	@Brewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	L	+346
6/28	@Brewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	L	+690
6/28	@Brewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+166
6/28	@Brewers	Walks	O 0.5	1	W	—
6/28	@Brewers	Doubles	O 0.5	0	L	—
6/28	@Brewers	Hits	O 0.5	0	L	—
6/28	@Brewers	Hits	O 1.5	0	L	—
6/28	@Brewers	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	—

Chicago Cubs Teammates

View all

Ian Happ Pete Crow-Armstrong Michael Busch Dansby Swanson Alex Bregman Nico Hoerner Seiya Suzuki Carson Kelly Moisés Ballesteros Miguel Amaya Michael Conforto Nicky Lopez Shota Imanaga Colin Rea Edward Cabrera

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-33-9 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$600.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on hits 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on hits 0.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 18-18-8 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$534.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on rbis 0.5 30.6% of the time in 2026, going 11-25-8 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$89.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 11.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-31-9 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$477.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on total bases 1.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on total bases 1.5 22.6% of the time in 2026, going 7-24-8 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,111.

What are Matt Shaw's best prop bets in 2026?

Matt Shaw's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 60.6% (20-13); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 57.6% (19-14); Hits O 0.5 at 50% (18-18).