Matt Shaw

Chicago CubsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.242 / 3 HR / 12 RBI / 23 H / 3 SB / 37G

56.5% SO O 0.552.2% HRR O 0.546.2% H O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Matt Shaw goes over 0.5 strikeouts 56.5% of the time (13-10-1)

Props — 202628 games with closing lines

Hits

28g

avg 0.7

46.2%Over: 12-14-2

0vs O 0.5-117

Brewers5/20

P✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✓

H: 50%(14)A: 38.5%(13)

Home Runs

28g

avg 0.1

7.7%Over: 2-24-2

0vs O 0.5+1200

Brewers5/20

P✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗

H: 0%(14)A: 15.4%(13)

RBIs

28g

avg 0.3

26.9%Over: 7-19-2

0vs O 0.5+250

Brewers5/20

P✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗

H: 14.3%(14)A: 38.5%(13)

Total Bases

28g

avg 1.1

26.9%Over: 7-19-2

0vs O 1.5+260

Brewers5/20

P✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✓

H: 15.4%(13)A: 20%(10)

Stolen Bases

27g

avg 0.1

12%Over: 3-22-2

0vs O 0.5+630

Brewers5/20

P✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✓

H: 15.4%(13)A: 7.7%(13)

Runs Scored

27g

avg 0.3

16%Over: 4-21-2

0vs O 0.5+216

Brewers5/20

P✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗

H: 7.7%(13)A: 23.1%(13)

Doubles

25g

avg 0.2

13%Over: 3-20-2

0vs O 0.5+560

Brewers5/20

P✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗

H: 0%(13)A: 25%(12)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

25g

avg 1.4

52.2%Over: 12-11-2

0vs O 0.5-172

Brewers5/20

P✗✓✗✓✗✓✗✗✓

H: 46.2%(13)A: 50%(12)

Singles

25g

avg 0.4

39.1%Over: 9-14-2

0vs O 0.5+137

Brewers5/20

P✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✓

H: 46.2%(13)A: 25%(12)

Walks

25g

avg 0.2

16.7%Over: 4-20-1

0vs O 0.5+197

Brewers5/20

P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✓

H: 9.1%(11)A: 23.1%(13)

Strikeouts

24g

avg 0.6

56.5%Over: 13-10-1

0vs O 0.5-206

Brewers5/20

P✓✓✗✗✓✗✓✓✗

H: 50%(10)A: 61.5%(13)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Shaw's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	60%(3-2)	0%(0-5)	0%(0-5)
★★★★★	53.3%(8-7)	13.3%(2-13)	40%(6-9)
★★★★★	14.3%(1-6)	0%(0-7)	14.3%(1-6)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti

5/22

Shaw is hitless in his last 14 AB's.

★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison

5/20

nan like Shaw are batting just .182 (8-for-44) against Harrison over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski

5/19

Shaw is batting just .077 (2-for-26) against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Misiorowski over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

123-571-54 Over748 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Result	Odds
5/20	vsBrewers	Doubles	O 0.5	P	+560
5/20	vsBrewers	Hits	O 2.5	P	+3000
5/20	vsBrewers	Hits	O 1.5	P	+534
5/20	vsBrewers	Hits	O 0.5	P	-117
5/20	vsBrewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	P	-172
5/20	vsBrewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	P	+660
5/20	vsBrewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	P	+326
5/20	vsBrewers	Home Runs	O 0.5	P	+1200
5/20	vsBrewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	P	+155
5/20	vsBrewers	RBIs	O 1.5	P	+850
5/20	vsBrewers	Home Runs	O 1.5	P	+35000
5/20	vsBrewers	RBIs	O 0.5	P	+250
5/20	vsBrewers	Runs Scored	O 1.5	P	+1800
5/20	vsBrewers	Runs Scored	O 0.5	P	+216
5/20	vsBrewers	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	P	+630
5/20	vsBrewers	Singles	O 0.5	P	+137
5/20	vsBrewers	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	P	+7500
5/20	vsBrewers	Total Bases	O 3.5	P	+900
5/20	vsBrewers	Total Bases	O 2.5	P	+590
5/20	vsBrewers	Total Bases	O 1.5	P	+260
5/20	vsBrewers	Total Bases	O 4.5	P	+2000
5/20	vsBrewers	Singles	O 1.5	P	+920
5/20	vsBrewers	Strikeouts	O 1.5	P	+298
5/20	vsBrewers	Strikeouts	O 0.5	P	-206
5/20	vsBrewers	Walks	O 0.5	P	+197
5/20	vsBrewers	RBIs	O 4.5	P	+6000
5/20	vsBrewers	Hits	O 3.5	P	+20000
5/20	vsBrewers	RBIs	O 3.5	P	+3500
5/20	vsBrewers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	P	+1260
5/20	vsBrewers	Runs Scored	O 2.5	P	+4500
5/20	vsBrewers	Total Bases	O 0.5	P	-160
5/20	vsBrewers	RBIs	O 2.5	P	+1800
5/16	@White Sox	Doubles	O 0.5	L	+470
5/16	@White Sox	Hits	O 1.5	L	+340
5/16	@White Sox	Hits	O 2.5	L	+1900
5/16	@White Sox	Hits	O 3.5	L	+12500
5/16	@White Sox	Hits	O 0.5	L	-175
5/16	@White Sox	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	L	+443
5/16	@White Sox	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	L	+227
5/16	@White Sox	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	L	-230
5/16	@White Sox	Home Runs	O 0.5	L	+740
5/16	@White Sox	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	L	+130
5/16	@White Sox	Home Runs	O 1.5	L	+10000
5/16	@White Sox	RBIs	O 2.5	L	+1900
5/16	@White Sox	RBIs	O 0.5	L	+227
5/16	@White Sox	RBIs	O 1.5	L	+680
5/16	@White Sox	RBIs	O 3.5	L	+5500
5/16	@White Sox	Runs Scored	O 2.5	L	+8000
5/16	@White Sox	Runs Scored	O 1.5	L	+1300
5/16	@White Sox	Runs Scored	O 0.5	L	+165

Chicago Cubs Teammates

View all

Ian Happ Dansby Swanson Michael Busch Pete Crow-Armstrong Alex Bregman Nico Hoerner Carson Kelly Seiya Suzuki Moisés Ballesteros Miguel Amaya Michael Conforto Edward Cabrera Shota Imanaga Jameson Taillon Colin Rea

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on hits 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on hits 0.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 12-14-2 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$588.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on home runs 0.5 7.7% of the time in 2026, going 2-24-2 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$680.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on rbis 0.5 26.9% of the time in 2026, going 7-19-2 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$242.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on total bases 1.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on total bases 1.5 19% of the time in 2026, going 4-17-2 with an average actual of 1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$980.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 12% of the time in 2026, going 3-22-2 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$180.

What are Matt Shaw's best prop bets in 2026?

Matt Shaw's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 56.5% (13-10); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 52.2% (12-11); Hits O 0.5 at 46.2% (12-14).