Matt Shaw

Chicago Cubs•2026

.246AVG4HR20RBI19R32H4SB50G

.246AVG4HR20RBI19R32H4SB50G

57.6% SO O 0.550% H O 0.542.4% HRR O 1.5

Season

Best Performer

Matt Shaw goes over 0.5 strikeouts 57.6% of the time (19-14-6)

Props — 202646 games with closing lines

Home Runs

46g

avg 0.1

8.3%Over: 3-33-10

0vs O 0.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✗✗P✗P✗P

H: 4.5%(22)A: 9.1%(22)

Hits

45g

avg 0.5

50%Over: 18-18-9

0vs O 0.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✓✗P✗P✓P

H: 50%(22)A: 33.3%(21)

RBIs

45g

avg 0.3

30.6%Over: 11-25-9

0vs O 0.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✗✗P✓P✗P

H: 22.7%(22)A: 23.8%(21)

Stolen Bases

45g

avg 0.1

11.4%Over: 4-31-10

0vs O 0.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✗✗P✓P✗P

H: 9.5%(21)A: 4.5%(22)

Total Bases

45g

avg 0.9

27.8%Over: 10-26-9

0vs O 1.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✗✗P✗P✗P

H: 23.8%(21)A: 11.1%(18)

Runs Scored

44g

avg 0.5

31.4%Over: 11-24-9

0vs O 0.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✓✗P✗P✓P

H: 28.6%(21)A: 23.8%(21)

Doubles

42g

avg 0

9.1%Over: 3-30-9

0vs O 0.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✗✗P✗P✗P

H: 0%(21)A: 15%(20)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

42g

avg 1.2

42.4%Over: 14-19-9

0vs O 0.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✓✗P✗P✓P

H: 40%(20)A: 30%(20)

Singles

42g

avg 0.4

42.4%Over: 14-19-9

0vs O 0.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✓✗P✗P✓P

H: 42.9%(21)A: 25%(20)

Walks

41g

avg 0.3

29.4%Over: 10-24-7

0vs O 0.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✓✓✓P✓P✗P

H: 15.8%(19)A: 30%(20)

Strikeouts

40g

avg 0.6

57.6%Over: 19-14-7

0vs O 1.5

vs

Blue Jays8/6

PP✗✓✗P✓P✓P

H: 47.1%(17)A: 50%(20)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

70

Distribution

5

4

3

2

1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Shaw's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	Home RunsO 0.5	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	0%(0-10)	60%(6-4)	10%(1-9)
★★★★★	15%(3-17)	45%(9-11)	40%(8-12)
★★★★★	0%(0-14)	23.1%(3-10)	15.4%(2-11)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Griffin Canning

6/29

Shaw has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.3% in 12 AB's against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Peralta over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.

★★★★★vs Brandon Woodruff

6/28

Shaw is batting just .153 (9-for-59) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Woodruff over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison

6/27

nan like Shaw are batting just .175 (7-for-40) against Harrison over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

$

207-855-278 Over1340 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Doubles	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Singles	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	P	—
8/6	vsBlue Jays	Walks	O 0.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 6.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-268
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+548
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+315
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+171
6/29	vsPadres	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	-116
6/29	vsPadres	Walks	O 0.5	0	P	+199
6/29	vsPadres	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+533
6/29	vsPadres	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+5900
6/29	vsPadres	Home Runs	O 2.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+417
6/29	vsPadres	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-200
6/29	vsPadres	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+273
6/29	vsPadres	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+181
6/29	vsPadres	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+505
6/29	vsPadres	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	—
6/29	vsPadres	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+610
6/29	vsPadres	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+4200
6/29	vsPadres	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	-101
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	P	+405
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+144
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	+282
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	P	+830
6/29	vsPadres	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+1340
6/29	vsPadres	RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+1180
6/29	vsPadres	Total Bases	O 5.5	0	P	—

Chicago Cubs Teammates

Pete Crow-Armstrong Ian Happ Michael Busch Alex Bregman Nico Hoerner Seiya Suzuki Dansby Swanson Carson Kelly Miguel Amaya Michael Conforto Nicky Lopez Tyrone Taylor Gabriel Arias Moisés Ballesteros Shota Imanaga

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-33-10 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$600.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on hits 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on hits 0.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 18-18-9 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$534.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on rbis 0.5 30.6% of the time in 2026, going 11-25-9 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$89.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 11.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-31-10 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$477.

How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on total bases 1.5?

Matt Shaw hits the over on total bases 1.5 22.6% of the time in 2026, going 7-24-9 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,111.

What are Matt Shaw's best prop bets in 2026?

Matt Shaw's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 57.6% (19-14); Hits O 0.5 at 50% (18-18); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 1.5 at 42.4% (14-19).