
60.6% HRR O 0.557.6% SO O 0.550% H O 0.5
Season
All Matt Shaw propsProps — 202645 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
43g31.4%Over: 11-24-8
0vs O 0.5
vs
Padres6/29
P✗✓✗P✗P✓PP
H: 30%(20)A: 23.8%(21)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
70Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Shaw's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | Home RunsO 0.5 | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-10) | 60%(6-4) | 10%(1-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 15%(3-17) | 45%(9-11) | 40%(8-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-14) | 23.1%(3-10) | 15.4%(2-11) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Griffin Canning
6/29Shaw has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.3% in 12 AB's against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Peralta over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Brandon Woodruff
6/28Shaw is batting just .153 (9-for-59) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Woodruff over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
6/27nan like Shaw are batting just .175 (7-for-40) against Harrison over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
16-82-25 Over41g · 123 props
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matt Shaw hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Matt Shaw hits the over on runs scored 0.5 31.4% of the time in 2026, going 11-24-8 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Matt Shaw over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 43 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matt Shaw over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$666 (-15.49% ROI). The hit rate is 31.4% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Matt Shaw's runs scored average this season?
Matt Shaw averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 43 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge